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京东方A(000725):折旧高点已至,自由现金流大幅增长
000725BOE(000725) 长江证券·2025-04-29 23:30

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 198.38 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.66%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.32 billion yuan, up 108.97% year-on-year, aligning with previous forecasts. The net operating cash flow reached 47.74 billion yuan, a 24.64% increase year-on-year, with free cash flow exceeding 15 billion yuan, significantly up from 9 billion yuan in 2023 and 7 billion yuan in 2022 [2][6]. - The company announced a shareholder return plan for the next three years, committing to distribute cash dividends of no less than 35% of the net profit attributable to shareholders each year, along with a minimum buyback of 1.5 billion yuan annually, with potential mid-term profit distributions when conditions permit [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 54.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.79% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.55%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 was 2.01 billion yuan, up 32.01% year-on-year and 96.30% quarter-on-quarter. The strong performance in Q4 was driven by domestic market demand stimulated by government policies and increased demand from North American clients [12]. - The company continues to advance its "1+4+N+ecosystem" strategy, with significant innovations in technology and new products. High-end LCD solutions and OLED products have seen substantial sales growth, and the company has established a strong presence in various segments, including smart finance and IoT [12]. - The company expects to reach a peak in depreciation in the upcoming quarters, with a gradual decline anticipated starting in 2028. The current price-to-book (PB) ratio is 1.1X, indicating a high margin of safety for investors [12]. Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the company are 0.22 yuan, 0.32 yuan, and 0.42 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17.54, 11.99, and 9.08 [12].