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迈瑞医疗:Awaiting domestic demand rebound-20250430
300760Mindray(300760) 招银国际·2025-04-30 02:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Mindray, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [16]. Core Insights - Mindray's revenue for 2024 is reported at RMB 36.7 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.1%, while the attributable net profit is RMB 11.7 billion, up 0.7% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) has decreased by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 63.1%, attributed to pricing pressures on IVD reagents and mid- to low-end medical equipment, as well as weaker IVD testing demand [1]. - Domestic revenue fell by 5.1% year-on-year to RMB 20.3 billion in 2024, with significant declines in the PMLS and MIS segments due to weak hospital procurement [8]. - Overseas revenue grew by 21.3% year-on-year to RMB 16.4 billion, accounting for 44.7% of total revenue, with Asia-Pacific being a key growth driver [8]. - The target price has been adjusted to RMB 249.19 from a previous target of RMB 328.81, reflecting a downside potential of 15.4% from the current price of RMB 215.85 [3]. Financial Summary - For FY24, revenue is projected to grow to RMB 40.2 billion in FY25, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.4% [2][13]. - The adjusted net profit for FY25 is estimated at RMB 12.3 billion, representing a growth of 6.5% year-on-year [2][13]. - The report indicates a decline in gross profit and operating profit forecasts for FY25E, with revenue expectations revised down by approximately 7.85% [9]. Share Performance - The market capitalization of Mindray is reported at RMB 261.7 billion, with a 52-week high of RMB 324.50 and a low of RMB 211.59 [3]. - The stock has experienced a decline of 20.4% over the past six months [5]. Shareholding Structure - The major shareholders include Smartco Development Limited with 27.0% and Magnifice (HK) Limited with 24.5% [4].