CSCEC(601668) 光大证券·2025-04-30 04:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth with a significant increase in infrastructure orders, achieving a revenue of 555.34 billion yuan and a net profit of 15.01 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 1.1% and 0.6% respectively [1][2]. - The real estate development business has shown signs of recovery, with a notable increase in land reserves located in first-tier and strong second-tier cities, totaling 7,625 million square meters [2][4]. - The company has signed new contracts worth 1,270.2 billion yuan in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.9%, with significant growth in infrastructure and overseas contracts [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues from various segments: construction (364.9 billion yuan), infrastructure (128.3 billion yuan), real estate development (53.7 billion yuan), and surveying and design (2.3 billion yuan), with respective year-on-year changes of -0.2%, +0.5%, +15.5%, and -11.3% [2]. - The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 7.8% and 3.2%, showing slight declines compared to the previous year [2]. Contracting and Orders - The company secured new contracts totaling 12,702 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with the construction segment contributing 12,037 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.4% increase year-on-year [3]. - Specific growth in new contracts includes energy engineering (96.6% increase) and municipal engineering (44.4% increase) within the infrastructure sector [3]. Cash Flow and Management - The company has improved its cash flow management, with a net cash outflow from operating activities of 95.85 billion yuan, which is a reduction of 0.74 billion yuan compared to the previous year [4]. - The company has also seen a commitment from its parent group to increase shareholding, indicating confidence in its future performance [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains stable, with expected net profits of 47.49 billion yuan, 48.67 billion yuan, and 50.13 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5].