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一季报后AI算力展望依然乐观,去伪存真龙头受益
山西证券·2025-04-30 09:22

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "A" rating for the communication industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - The outlook for AI computing power remains optimistic post-Q1 earnings, with leading companies expected to benefit from the trend of "removing the false and retaining the true" [1]. - Strong capital expenditure from cloud giants is expected to drive growth in core sectors such as optical modules and copper connections, with significant year-on-year profit increases reported by key companies [3][11]. - Domestic computing power is anticipated to see stronger growth in the second half of the year, driven by increased capital expenditures and the introduction of new technologies [4][12]. - The military information technology sector is experiencing a notable recovery in orders, with a focus on smart, low-cost, and collaborative combat solutions [13]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Viewpoints and Investment Recommendations - The report highlights the robust capital expenditure from cloud giants, with Google reporting a 28% year-on-year revenue growth in its cloud division and a projected annual capital expenditure of 75billion,up4375 billion, up 43% [11]. - Domestic computing power is expected to benefit from increased capital expenditures in the AI infrastructure sector, with companies like Huawei leading the development of unified supernode technology standards [12]. 2. Market Overview - The overall market performance for the week (April 21-27, 2025) showed mixed results, with the ChiNext Index up 1.74% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.38% [14]. - The top-performing sectors included wireless RF (+15.8%), optical modules (+12.7%), and industrial internet (+7.2%) [14]. 3. Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies in the optical communication sector include Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Shijia Photon [5]. - In the copper connection sector, companies like Wolong Nuclear Materials and Ding Tong Technology are highlighted [5]. - For domestic computing power, companies such as Cambrian and Haiguang Information are suggested for investment consideration [5]. 4. Overseas Developments - Intel reported a Q1 revenue of 12.7 billion, exceeding market expectations, although its guidance for Q2 was below expectations, leading to a stock price drop [35]. - Samsung's advanced process foundry has faced challenges in attracting major clients, resulting in delays in the construction of its 4nm wafer fab in Texas [35]. 5. Industry News - The report notes that Quanta Computer has seen an increase in orders compared to last year, indicating a positive trend in demand from major cloud service providers [42]. - TSMC is set to unveil its new A14 process technology, expected to enhance AI capabilities and improve energy efficiency in applications [42].