Workflow
福昕软件(688095):一季度需求回暖提升全年预期,逆周期调节带来国产软件新机遇

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown a recovery in demand in the first quarter, which enhances the expectations for the entire year, presenting new opportunities for domestic software due to counter-cyclical adjustments [1] - The company reported a revenue of 711 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.44%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 27 million yuan, compared to a loss of 91 million yuan in the same period last year [1][5] - The subscription transformation is gradually showing effects, with the annual recurring revenue (ARR) from subscription business expected to reach 411 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 64.42% year-on-year [3] - The company has maintained high R&D investment, fully implementing its AI empowerment strategy, which includes new features in traditional editing tools and the launch of the Intelligent Document Processing platform [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 202 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.78%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -6 million yuan, improving from -11 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 611 million yuan in 2023 to 1.205 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.8% [5] - The gross profit margin is expected to remain high, with estimates of 94.8% in 2023, gradually decreasing to 91.8% by 2027 [5] Market Performance - The company has seen significant revenue growth in various regions, with the Asia-Pacific market showing a remarkable increase of 53.42% year-on-year in 2024 [3] - The North American market accounted for 53% of total revenue, but its growth rate was slower at 9.41% year-on-year due to the impact of emerging markets and subscription transformation [3] - The company’s subscription revenue is expected to constitute 49.31% of total revenue in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 62.33% [3]