Zoomlion(000157) 申万宏源证券·2025-05-12 14:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of 12.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.41 billion yuan, up 53.98% year-on-year [5][8] - The domestic engineering machinery market is showing signs of recovery, with significant growth in excavator and loader sales, while overseas sales continue to grow, with a 15.17% increase in Q1 [8] - The company's profitability and cash flow are improving, with a gross margin of 28.67% and a net cash flow from operating activities of 740 million yuan, up 140.96% year-on-year [8] - The company maintains a leading market share in traditional products and is expanding its presence in emerging markets, particularly in agricultural machinery [8] - The company is aggressively expanding its global footprint, with over 430 overseas service points and new manufacturing plants in Hungary and Germany [8] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained, with net profits expected to be 4.85 billion, 6.30 billion, and 7.84 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 14X, 11X, and 9X [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for Q1 2025 is reported at 12.12 billion yuan, with an expected total revenue of 53.26 billion yuan for the full year [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 is 1.41 billion yuan, with an expected net profit of 4.85 billion yuan for the full year [7] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 27.9% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.2% [7]