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东方电缆(603606):25Q1业绩超预期,海缆业务有望进入释放期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that exceeds the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [8]. Core Views - The company has reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, with significant growth in its submarine cable business, which is anticipated to enter a release phase [2][8]. - The company’s revenue from submarine cable systems and marine engineering reached 3.666 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.49%, while the revenue from land cable systems was 5.416 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 41.52% [6]. - As of March 21, 2025, the company has a backlog of orders totaling 17.975 billion, with 8.827 billion from submarine cable systems, 6.353 billion from land cable systems, and 2.795 billion from marine engineering [6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 12.01 billion, 13.71 billion, and 14.31 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32.0%, 14.2%, and 4.4% [8]. - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is 1.55 billion, 2.00 billion, and 2.20 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.0%, 28.7%, and 10.3% [8]. - Key financial metrics for 2024A include revenue of 9.09 billion, net profit of 1.01 billion, and a gross margin of 18.8% [10]. Order Backlog and Product Classification - The company will adjust its product classification in regular reports starting in 2025, changing from "submarine cable systems, land cable systems, and marine engineering" to "power engineering and equipment cables (green transmission facilities), submarine cables and high-voltage cables (power new energy), and marine equipment and engineering operation and maintenance (deep-sea technology)" [7]. - As of April 21, 2025, the company’s order backlog is approximately 18.9 billion, with 11.5 billion from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, 4.4 billion from power engineering and equipment cables, and 3.0 billion from marine equipment and engineering operation and maintenance [7].