Mindray(300760) 国信证券·2025-05-15 11:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][35]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant improvement in domestic business performance starting from the third quarter of 2025, following a period of adjustment due to various pressures [9][33]. - The company has strong R&D capabilities and is positioned as a leading domestic medical device manufacturer, with a digital transformation strategy that integrates "equipment + IT + AI" [3][35]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 36.726 billion yuan (+5.1%) and a net profit of 11.668 billion yuan (+0.7%). However, the fourth quarter saw a revenue decline of 5.1% and a net profit drop of 41.0% [9][3]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 8.237 billion yuan (-12.1%) and a net profit of 2.629 billion yuan (-16.8%), showing a significant quarter-on-quarter improvement [9][3]. Business Segments - The in-vitro diagnostics segment became the largest business unit, generating 13.765 billion yuan (+10.82%), with international sales growing over 30% [2][17]. - The life information and support segment generated 13.557 billion yuan (-11.1%), while the medical imaging segment achieved a revenue of 7.498 billion yuan (+6.60%) [2][18]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 63.11%, a decrease of 1.07 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to pressures from the life information and support and in-vitro diagnostics products [3][25]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 improved to 32.69%, despite a year-on-year decline [3][25]. Future Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 downwards but introduced a new forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 12.411 billion yuan, 14.103 billion yuan, and 16.188 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.4%, 13.6%, and 14.8% [3][35]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 22.7, 19.9, and 17.4 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][35].