贝特瑞(835185)2024年年报及2025年一季报点评：海外负极产能率先投产，积极布局固态电池新技术方向

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 8.1 billion, 10.0 billion, and 12.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 28, 22, and 18 [14]. Core Views - The company is expected to ship over 430,000 tons of negative electrode materials in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19%, slightly below industry growth due to a slowdown in overseas demand [11]. - The company has established a solid-state electrolyte production line with an annual capacity exceeding 100 tons, serving clients in the power and 3C sectors, and has already achieved shipments [16]. - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at 14.24 billion, with a net profit of 930 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 43% [2]. Summary by Sections Negative Electrode - The company is expected to achieve a gross profit of approximately 2,800 yuan per ton in the negative electrode segment for 2024, with projected profits of 2,900 yuan and 1,700 yuan per ton for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 respectively [11]. - The decline in Q1 profitability is attributed to foreign exchange losses estimated at 60-70 million yuan, competitive pressure from overseas clients, and rising petroleum coke prices affecting performance [11]. Positive Electrode - The company has a production capacity of 63,000 tons per year for positive electrode materials, with a new high-nickel positive electrode project in Changzhou expected to be completed in 2024 [4]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 39.7 million and a net profit of 2.6 million for Q4 2024, showing a year-on-year decline of 17% and 10% respectively, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23% and 45% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenues of 33.9 million, with a net profit of 1.8 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 4% and 19% respectively [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, with an integrated project in Indonesia for 80,000 tons of negative electrode materials gradually coming online, which is expected to enhance shipment volumes and global market share [11].