安德利（605198）：收入利润高增，积极扩产提升份额

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the stock of Andeli (605198) based on its strong performance and growth potential [8] Core Views - Andeli Juice has achieved significant revenue growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 430 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.0%, driven by strong performance in juice and flavor products [2] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity and diversifying its product offerings, with plans to establish new production lines and acquire assets to enhance its market share [2] - The company has established a stable customer base, primarily consisting of leading global enterprises, which mitigates the impact of trade tensions and ensures steady demand [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Andeli's gross margin decreased by 3.23 percentage points to 22.25%, while net profit margin remained stable at 20.02%, reflecting a 61.31% increase in net profit to 86.07 million yuan [2] - The company expects total revenue to grow from 876 million yuan in 2023 to 2.43 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.6% from 2024 to 2025 [3] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.05 yuan, 1.27 yuan, and 1.43 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 56, 46, and 41 [2][3] Market Position and Strategy - The concentrated juice industry is experiencing a competitive shift, with some competitors facing operational difficulties, allowing Andeli to capture a larger market share [2] - The company is expanding its production footprint across seven provinces and ten factories, enhancing its capacity to meet growing demand [2] - Andeli is diversifying its product line to include various types of juices, such as decolorized and deacidified concentrated juice, and plans to invest in new production projects [2] Customer Base and Demand Stability - The global apple juice market is primarily concentrated in developed countries, providing stable demand for Andeli's products [2] - The company is expanding its market reach into non-U.S. markets, leveraging its facilities to tap into emerging markets along the Belt and Road Initiative [2]