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福耀玻璃:汽玻主业持续“量价齐升”,汇兑收益推动利润增厚-20250522

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items for Q1 were 9.91 billion, 2.03 billion, and 1.99 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 12.16%, 46.25%, and 30.90% [2][3]. - The main business of automotive glass continues to show a "volume and price increase" logic, with profits further boosted by foreign exchange gains [3]. - The decline in gross profit margin is mainly due to changes in accounting policies and capacity ramp-up, but it is expected to recover steadily in the future [3][4]. - The company is focused on the automotive glass business and is steadily advancing its global layout, with high value-added products like panoramic glass and HUD glass continuing to penetrate the market, driving up the value per vehicle [3][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the automotive glass main business revenue was 9.03 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 11.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.3%, outperforming the downstream industry [3]. - The sales volume of Fuyao automotive glass increased by 7.84% year-on-year, indicating a potential market share increase, while the average selling price rose by 3.36% due to a higher proportion of high value-added products [3]. - The gross profit margin and net profit margin for Q1 were 35.40% and 20.50%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -1.42 percentage points and +4.78 percentage points [4]. Capacity Expansion - The company is entering a new round of global capacity expansion, with new plants in Fuzhou and Hefei expected to start production in Q4 2025 or early 2026, which will significantly increase production capacity [9]. - The U.S. plant has been successfully built and is expected to enhance Fuyao's business layout in North America, with current annual capacity near 7 million sets [9]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to further consolidate its leading position in the industry with an increase in market share and steady global expansion [10]. - The report forecasts net profits of 8.8 billion and 10.2 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 17X and 15X [10][11].