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2023年度业绩点评:2024年有望切入iPhone后摄,中长期发展逻辑清晰
01415COWELL(01415) 光大证券·2024-03-24 16:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is expected to enter the iPhone rear camera market in 2024, with a clearer long-term development logic. The anticipated market share may exceed previous expectations [2]. - The company's 2023 performance was slightly below expectations, primarily due to pressure on the iPad business, with a revenue decline of 17.2% year-on-year [2]. - The company has a stable long-term partnership with a major client in the front camera sector, which is expected to facilitate entry into the rear camera market [2]. - The iPad business is projected to see growth in both volume and price in 2024, driven by the release of new models and ongoing optical upgrades [2]. - The LiDAR market is expanding, with significant growth expected in automotive applications, and the company has a strong order outlook due to its partnership with a leading LiDAR firm [2]. - The company is well-positioned in the MR supply chain, with expectations for growth driven by the upcoming launch of Vision Pro [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved revenue of 924million,ayearonyeardecreaseof17.2924 million, a year-on-year decrease of 17.2%, with first half and second half revenues of 367 million and 557millionrespectively[2].Grossprofitfor2023was557 million respectively [2]. - Gross profit for 2023 was 128 million, with a gross margin decline of 1.8 percentage points to 13.8% [2]. - The net profit for 2023 was 47million,ayearonyeardeclineof44.747 million, a year-on-year decline of 44.7%, with a net profit margin of 5.0% [2]. Future Projections - For 2024, the company is expected to achieve a net profit of 90 million, with a projected growth rate of 91% [3]. - The revenue forecast for 2024 is 1.618billion,reflectingagrowthrateof75.11.618 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 75.1% [3]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in the unit value of its rear camera business, estimated to be around seven times that of the front camera [2]. Market Position - The company has a unique position in the MR supply chain, with expectations for growth as the consumer MR market expands [2]. - The global automotive LiDAR market is projected to grow from 330 million in 2022 to $4.65 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 55% [2].