NHPM(601882) 国泰君安·2024-03-26 16:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 36.40 CNY, down from the previous forecast of 42.58 CNY [19]. Core Insights - The company's performance met expectations, achieving a revenue of 3.32 billion CNY in 2023, a 4.59% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 609 million CNY, up 17.06% [3]. - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets due to a sluggish domestic market, with overseas sales increasing by 76.06% in 2023 [3]. - The report highlights the potential for industry recovery driven by equipment upgrades and the company's efforts to optimize domestic and international production capacity [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.32 billion CNY in 2023 to 5.62 billion CNY by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% [1]. - Operating profit (EBIT) is expected to increase from 617 million CNY in 2023 to 1.15 billion CNY in 2026, with a significant growth rate of 31% in 2024 [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 609 million CNY in 2023 to 1.04 billion CNY in 2026, with a growth rate of 20% in 2024 [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 1.17 CNY in 2023 to 1.99 CNY in 2026 [1]. Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The company's operating profit margin is expected to improve from 18.6% in 2023 to 20.4% in 2026 [17]. - The net asset return rate (ROE) is projected to decrease slightly from 26.4% in 2023 to 21.0% in 2026 [17]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decline from 23.08 in 2023 to 13.52 in 2026, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [17].