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磷矿石量价利齐升、在建矿山奠定未来增长,高分红回馈股东,业绩符合预期
002895Chanhen(002895)2024-03-31 16:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company reported its 2023 annual results, which met expectations, with operating revenue of 4.32 billion yuan (yoy +25.3%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 766 million yuan (yoy +1.0%) [3]. - The decline in overall sales gross margin by 5.89 percentage points to 39.04% is noted, alongside significant increases in sales, management, and financial expenses [3]. - The company announced a cash dividend of 10.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 542 million yuan, which represents 71% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 [3]. - The increase in revenue and net profit is attributed to new production facilities coming online and increased sales of ammonium phosphate [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company achieved revenue of 1.248 billion yuan (yoy +25.81%, QoQ +4.72%) and a net profit of 275 million yuan (yoy +62.76%, QoQ +25.98%) [3]. - The company’s phosphate rock production increased by 19.11% to 2.99 million tons, with external sales rising by 13.28% to 754,000 tons [3]. - The average price of phosphate rock increased by 14% to 752 yuan/ton, with external sales gross margin improving by 16.71 percentage points to 82.50% [3]. Future Growth Prospects - The company is focusing on a "mining integration" model to enhance resource utilization and is developing new phosphate chemical projects [3]. - The completion of various projects, including a 200,000-ton wet-process phosphoric acid project, is expected to provide new profit growth points [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.126 billion yuan, 1.420 billion yuan, and 1.704 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.08, 2.62, and 3.14 yuan [3][13].