Midea Group(000333) East Money Securities·2024-03-31 16:00Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 372.04 billion yuan in 2023, a YoY increase of 8.18%, and non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of 32.98 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 15.26% [1] - The company's ToB business accelerated growth, with HVAC/consumer appliances/robotics, automation systems, and other manufacturing revenues of 161.11/124.69/37.26 billion yuan, YoY increases of 6.95%/7.51%/24.49% respectively [1] - Domestic and overseas revenues increased by 9.87% and 5.79% YoY respectively, while online and offline revenues increased by 13.7% and 6.81% YoY respectively [1] - The "COLMO + Toshiba" dual high-end brand strategy achieved a retail sales growth of over 20% in 2023 [1] - The company strengthened its global presence and self-brand building, with significant sales growth in North America and EMEA regions [1] - The company's operating cash flow increased significantly to 57.90 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 67.07%, and contract liabilities increased by 49.38% to 41.77 billion yuan [1] - The company announced a cash dividend of 30 yuan per 10 shares, with a total cash dividend of 20.76 billion yuan and a dividend payout ratio of 61.57% [2] - The company launched a 2024 equity incentive plan, targeting a weighted average ROE of no less than 18%, 18%, 17%, and 16.5% from 2024 to 2027 respectively [2] Financial Forecasts - The company's revenue is expected to be 399.62/429.41/458.22 billion yuan in 2024/2025/2026, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 37.72/42.31/45.62 billion yuan, and EPS of 5.41/6.07/6.55 yuan [5] - The company's PE ratios are expected to be 11.93/10.64/9.87 times in 2024/2025/2026, and PB ratios are expected to be 2.24/1.85/1.56 times [5] - The company's EV/EBITDA ratios are expected to be 8.67/7.16/5.99 times in 2024/2025/2026 [6] Business Performance - The company's operating cash flow was 57.90 billion yuan in 2023, a YoY increase of 67.07%, while investment cash flow was -31.22 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 177.10 billion yuan [1] - The company's contract liabilities were 41.77 billion yuan at the end of 2023, a YoY increase of 49.38% [1] - The company's total assets were 486.04 billion yuan in 2023, with total liabilities of 311.74 billion yuan and equity attributable to the parent company of 162.88 billion yuan [8] - The company's ROE was 20.70% in 2023, with a net profit margin of 9.07% and a gross profit margin of 26.49% [8]