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深耕户外运动市场,多品牌发力乘势而上

Company Overview - Amer Sports is an international sports equipment group that started with tobacco business and expanded into sports through acquisitions, with two IPOs and one tender offer in its history [3] - The company has gone through four stages: tobacco business (1950-1987), focusing on sports (1988-2004), strengthening global influence (2005-2018), and strategic transformation (2019-present) [3][4] - In 2019, a consortium led by Anta Sports acquired all shares of Amer Sports for €4.6 billion, leading to a restructuring and simplification of the business [4] Brand Portfolio - Amer Sports has a well-established brand matrix covering various high-end outdoor scenarios, with three core brands accounting for about 90% of revenue [6] - The three core brands are Arc'teryx, Salomon, and Wilson, with Q1-Q3 2023 revenues of 940M,940M, 950M, and 870Mrespectively,growingat65870M respectively, growing at 65%, 35%, and 10% YoY [6] - Arc'teryx has a strong presence in Greater China, contributing 48% of its revenue, with over 1.7 million members in the region as of September 2023 [10] Financial Performance - Revenue grew at a CAGR of 21% from 2020 to 2023, reaching 4.37 billion in 2023, up 23% YoY [22] - Adjusted EBITDA grew 34.9% to 610millionin2023,withaCAGRof25610 million in 2023, with a CAGR of 25% from 2020 to 2023 [22] - Net loss narrowed to 209 million in 2023 from 253millionin2022,withprofitabilityexpectedtoturnpositivein2024afterdebtrepayment[22]MarketPositionTheglobalsportsequipmentmarketreached253 million in 2022, with profitability expected to turn positive in 2024 after debt repayment [22] Market Position - The global sports equipment market reached 149.5 billion in 2022, with a projected CAGR of 6% from 2023 to 2028 [32] - Asia is the largest market for sports equipment, with a size of 79.5billionin2022,expectedtoreach79.5 billion in 2022, expected to reach 116.6 billion by 2028 [39] - China has the largest and fastest-growing sports equipment market, with a size of 34.6billionin2022andaprojectedCAGRof7.034.6 billion in 2022 and a projected CAGR of 7.0% from 2022 to 2028 [39] Growth Drivers - The global sports apparel market was 395.7 billion in 2023, growing 6.3% YoY, with a projected CAGR of 7% from 2024 to 2028 [30] - Increasing per capita spending on sports apparel, rising health awareness post-pandemic, and the trend of athleisure are driving market growth [53] - The global sports market CR10 increased from 39% in 2014 to 45% in 2023, indicating a concentrated and competitive landscape [44] Valuation - Using EV/EBITDA valuation method, the target market cap is $10.1 billion, implying a 26% upside from the current valuation [84] - Comparable companies have an average EV/EBITDA of 16x for 2024, while Amer Sports is currently at 13x [84]