CGN POWER(003816) 海通证券·2024-04-06 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 82.549 billion yuan in 2023, a year-over-year decrease of 0.33%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 10.725 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.64% [4] - The company manages 27 operational nuclear power units and 11 under construction, with a total installed capacity of 30.568 million kilowatts, accounting for 43.48% of the national total [4] - The average on-grid electricity price in 2023 was 422.8 yuan per megawatt-hour, a slight increase of 3.1 yuan compared to 2022, supporting the company's annual performance growth [4] - The company has a clear asset injection plan, which is expected to provide stable growth, with new units projected to contribute to performance starting in 2024 [5] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 12.144 billion yuan, 12.524 billion yuan, and 12.846 billion yuan for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a total revenue of 82.549 billion yuan and a net profit of 10.725 billion yuan, with an EPS of 0.212 yuan per share [4][6] - The revenue for Q4 2023 was 22.706 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.97% year-over-year, while the net profit for the same period was 1.025 billion yuan, down 12.72% year-over-year [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a revenue increase in 2024, with projections of 88.938 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year growth of 7.7% [6] - The anticipated net profit for 2024 is 12.144 billion yuan, with a projected EPS of 0.24 yuan [6][9] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.94 yuan per 10 shares, corresponding to a dividend yield of 2.4% based on the closing price on April 3 [4] Valuation - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 19-20 times for 2024, with a reasonable value range of 4.56 to 4.8 yuan per share [5] - The projected gross margin for 2024 is expected to remain stable at 36.0% [9]