Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 4.9, indicating a potential upside of 33% from the current price of HKD 3.68 [4][2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.06 billion in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 16%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18.9% to RMB 180 million due to increased administrative and financial expenses [1][2]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to RMB 310 million, RMB 400 million, and RMB 510 million, respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.25, HKD 0.32, and HKD 0.40 [1][2]. - The new production capacity from the second-phase factory, which commenced operations in February 2024, is expected to enhance market supply, particularly for high-end products [1][2]. Revenue Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.06 billion, with a comparable growth rate of 13% after excluding the impact of the CQV acquisition [1][2]. - The sales volume of pearlescent pigments reached 18,700 tons, a 4% increase year-on-year, with an average selling price of RMB 52,000 per ton, up 8.9% [1][2]. Cost and Profitability - The administrative expenses rose by 47% to RMB 188 million, while financial expenses increased by RMB 40 million to RMB 51 million, primarily due to the acquisition of CQV and the establishment of a new M&A team [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for 2023 was approximately 49.7%, with a net profit margin of 20% [3][14]. Future Growth Prospects - The company anticipates rapid growth in its Korean operations following the acquisition of CQV, which has alleviated raw material supply constraints and reduced costs [2][1]. - The second-phase factory is expected to contribute an additional 6,000 tons of pearlescent pigment production in 2024, enhancing the company's ability to meet market demand [1][2]. Valuation Analysis - The report employs both comparable company analysis and DCF methods for valuation, assigning a PE multiple of 20x based on expected high growth and market conditions [8][10]. - The estimated market value of the company is projected to be HKD 5.0 billion, corresponding to a target price of HKD 4.9, reflecting a 33% upside potential [8][10].
23年平稳收官，24年增长可期