Neway CNC(688697) 中原证券·2024-04-16 16:00Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [9]. Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid growth in overseas revenue, which has driven its overall revenue growth despite challenging market conditions [42]. - The machine tool industry is showing signs of recovery after a prolonged downturn, with the company positioned to benefit significantly from this trend [36][37]. - The company has focused on high-end CNC machine tools, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.08% in revenue from 2017 to 2023, and a CAGR of 57.29% in net profit during the same period [16]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of 2.32 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 25.76%, and a net profit of 318 million yuan, up 21.13% year-on-year [32][42]. - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are 2.83 billion yuan, 3.34 billion yuan, and 3.83 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 387 million yuan, 465 million yuan, and 550 million yuan [40]. - The company's PE ratios for the next three years are projected to be 15.72X, 13.08X, and 11.06X, indicating a reasonable valuation [17]. Industry Context - The machine tool industry in China is cyclical and has shown signs of recovery, with a notable increase in production and demand for machine tools, particularly for those over ten years old [13][36]. - The government has initiated policies to support the replacement of outdated machinery, which is expected to further stimulate demand in the industry [37]. - The company is recognized as a leading domestic supplier of CNC machine tools, benefiting from the industry's recovery and increasing market share [41].