Yuanxing Energy(000683) 海通国际·2024-04-19 07:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [10][22][26] Core Views - In 2023, the company reported a 9.40% year-on-year decline in net profit excluding non-recurring items, with a planned cash dividend totaling RMB 1.12 billion. Revenue reached RMB 12.04 billion, up 9.62% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.41 billion, down 46.99% [20][21] - The Alashan project is progressing well, with significant growth in soda ash production and sales. In 2023, the company produced 5.68 million tons of various products, a 28.45% increase year-on-year, including 2.69 million tons of soda ash, which is a 74.20% increase [21][22] - The company plans to maintain a target price of RMB 8.64 for 2024, based on a 12x price-to-earnings ratio, reflecting a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.67 billion for 2024 [22][10] Financial Summary - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 12.04 billion, a 9.62% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.41 billion, down 46.99% [10][20] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 3 per 10 shares for 2023, totaling RMB 1.12 billion, which accounts for 90.29% of distributable profits [20][21] - The earnings forecast for 2024-2026 projects net profits of RMB 2.67 billion, RMB 3.04 billion, and RMB 3.62 billion, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of RMB 0.72, RMB 0.82, and RMB 0.97 [22][10] Production and Capacity - The company produced 5.68 million tons of various products in 2023, with soda ash production reaching 2.69 million tons, a 74.20% increase year-on-year [21][22] - The Alashan soda ash project plans a total capacity of 7.80 million tons/year of soda ash and 0.80 million tons/year of baking soda, with phase one contributing 5.00 million tons/year of soda ash [21][22] Market Position - The company is actively acquiring water rights for the Alashan project, with an annual quota of 21.82 million cubic meters approved for use from the Yellow River [22][21] - The company maintains a competitive position in the market, with a focus on expanding production capacity and improving operational efficiency [21][22]