Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Huaneng Power International [3][5][10] Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2024 is in line with expectations, driven by a significant recovery in thermal power profitability and a decrease in coal prices [7][10] - The report projects net profits for 2024-2026 to be CNY 12,132 million, CNY 13,230 million, and CNY 15,706 million respectively, with a target price set at HKD 5.32 based on a 7x PE valuation for 2024 [10] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2024, the company achieved revenue of CNY 65.367 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.15%, and a net profit of CNY 4.377 billion, a year-on-year increase of 117.98% [7][8] - The coal-fired sector contributed CNY 2.825 billion in profit, a year-on-year increase of 42 times, while the gas-fueled plants contributed CNY 536 million, a year-on-year increase of 64.34% [7][8] - The average on-grid electricity price in Q1 2024 was CNY 498 per MWh, a decrease of approximately 4% year-on-year [8][9] Segment Performance - The company sold 113.036 billion kWh of electricity in Q1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.63%, with significant growth in new energy sources [8][9] - New energy capacity increased by approximately 16GW in Q1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 99.7%, with wind power accounting for 54% of the new installations [9][10] Profitability Metrics - The report forecasts gross margins to improve from 12.1% in 2023 to 16.7% by 2026, with net margins expected to rise from 3.3% to 5.7% over the same period [6][10] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 7.0% in 2023 to 10.1% by 2026 [6][10]
火电利润同比大增，公司一季度盈利符合预期