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2023年报与2024年一季报点评:业绩短期承压,医疗信息化龙头地位稳固
688246GOODWILL(688246) 华创证券·2024-04-28 23:32

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 31.2 CNY based on a projected 40x PE for 2024 [9][11]. Core Insights - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue in 2023, with total revenue of 695 million CNY, down 3.04% year-on-year, and a net profit of 42 million CNY, down 37.53% year-on-year. However, Q1 2024 showed a recovery with revenue of 123 million CNY, up 14% year-on-year, and a reduced net loss of 12 million CNY, narrowing by 47.70% [9][11]. - The electronic medical record (EMR) platform revenue remained stable, generating 208 million CNY, while specialized EMR solutions saw significant growth, with revenue increasing threefold to 18 million CNY [11]. - The company is a leader in the medical big data sector, with a market share of 8.8% in 2022, and has expanded its product offerings to county-level medical institutions [11]. - The company has developed a medical large model leveraging AIGC technology, which supports various medical tasks and is expected to enhance product value [11]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported total revenue of 695 million CNY and a net profit of 42 million CNY. Projections for 2024-2026 indicate revenue growth to 869 million CNY, 1.06 billion CNY, and 1.27 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 108 million CNY, 151 million CNY, and 191 million CNY [11][12]. - The report highlights an increase in operating expenses, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios at 15.14%, 11.96%, and 20.85%, respectively [11]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to grow from 0.78 CNY in 2024 to 1.38 CNY in 2026, reflecting a positive outlook despite short-term challenges [11].