WBTL(603596) Changjiang Securities·2024-05-28 05:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the significant growth potential of the line control braking technology, driven by trends towards cost reduction and the upgrade of EMB technology [5][24] - The penetration rate of line control braking in new energy vehicles reached 74.3% in 2023, a substantial increase from 63.9% in 2022, indicating a strong market demand [6][36] - The company is positioned as a domestic leader in line control braking, having successfully mass-produced the One-box system, which is expected to benefit from the industry's growth [8][7] Summary by Sections Introduction: Current Perspective on Line Control Braking Development - The transition from internal combustion engines to electric motors has limited the use of traditional vacuum boosters, leading to the emergence of line control braking technology [5][20] - The report identifies two major trends in line control braking: cost reduction and the upgrade of EMB technology [24] Demand Expansion for Line Control Braking - The report anticipates further expansion in demand for line control braking due to the increasing penetration of this technology in the market [6][27] - The market size for line control braking is projected to grow from approximately 11 billion yuan in 2023 to 16.8 billion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of about 23.4% [6] Market Penetration and Trends - The penetration rate of line control braking in new energy vehicles is expected to continue rising, driven by the need for improved range and energy recovery capabilities [29][36] - The report notes that the One-box solution is rapidly gaining market share, accounting for over 65% of shipments in 2023 [6][50] Company Positioning and Product Development - The company has captured approximately 10% of the One-box market share, with a strong pipeline of projects and orders [7][8] - The company is actively developing new products, including cost-reduced and upgraded versions of its line control braking systems, which are expected to accelerate market share expansion [7][8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company, as a domestic leader in line control braking, is well-positioned to benefit from the industry's growth and technological advancements [8][9] - Projected net profits for the company from 2024 to 2026 are estimated at 1.15 billion, 1.55 billion, and 1.90 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18.7X, 13.8X, and 11.3X [8]