Nuveen Municipal OPPORTUNITY FUND Inc：Still no sign of turning profitable

Investment Rating - Maintain HOLD rating with a target price reduction from US$6.20 to US$5.60, based on 1.3x revised FY24E revenue estimates [2][3][6]. Core Insights - NIO's average selling price (ASP) in 1Q24 decreased by RMB12,000 QoQ, falling 2% below prior projections, with further guidance indicating a drop of about RMB23,000 in 2Q24 [3][4]. - Vehicle gross profit margin (GPM) in 1Q24 was approximately 1 percentage point lower than forecasted, while GPM for other income exceeded expectations, resulting in an overall in-line GPM for the quarter [3][4]. - The company reported a net loss of RMB5.3 billion in 1Q24, with net cash decreasing by RMB10 billion QoQ, which was worse than previous projections [3][4]. - Management's breakeven assumptions for NIO and Onvo brands, as well as battery swap operations, are viewed as overly optimistic, particularly in the context of a price war [3][4]. - Projected FY24E sales volume is expected to rise 25% YoY to 0.2 million units, with a revised revenue forecast cut by 5% due to faster-than-expected ASP declines [3][4]. - The forecast for FY24E net loss has been adjusted from RMB17.2 billion to RMB17.8 billion, with expectations of net losses exceeding RMB10 billion in FY25E and FY26E [3][4]. Financial Summary - FY24E revenue is projected at RMB62.04 billion, with a gross profit of RMB4.648 billion and a net loss of RMB17.785 billion [4][11]. - Gross margin is expected to be 7.5% in FY24E, improving to 10.1% by FY26E [4][11]. - Operating profit is forecasted to be a loss of RMB19.268 billion in FY24E, narrowing to a loss of RMB14.376 billion by FY26E [4][11]. Earnings Summary - Revenue growth is projected at 11.5% YoY for FY24E, with further growth of 28.7% and 20.1% expected in FY25E and FY26E respectively [4][11]. - The company has seen a significant decline in gross margin from 10.4% in FY22A to an expected 7.5% in FY24E [4][11]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to improve from a loss of RMB18.475 billion in FY23A to a loss of RMB15.475 billion in FY24E [4][11].