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U.S. Support for Democratic Openings in Conflict-Affected Countries: Lessons From Ethiopia and Sudan
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry discussed Core Insights - Ethiopia and Sudan experienced significant democratic openings in 2018 and 2019, respectively, which presented opportunities for U.S. support for democratization, but ultimately failed to lead to democratic consolidation and descended into civil wars [5][9] - The U.S. government missed opportunities to support peaceful democratic change and exacerbated conflict drivers through exclusionary and short-sighted policies [5][9] - The report emphasizes the need for the U.S. to better seize opportunities for democracy, aligning policies with high-level commitments and recognizing the role of emerging powers [5][10] Summary by Sections Introduction - The U.S. faces challenges in supporting democratic openings in fragile and conflict-affected states, particularly in the context of a global democratic recession and competing interests [8] Four Key Lessons - The report outlines four key lessons for U.S. policymakers: align policy with high-level commitment, factor in the role of emerging powers, recognize underlying structural factors, and prioritize inclusivity [10][11] Ethiopia - Ethiopia's democratic opening was marked by significant reforms under Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, but internal political fragmentation and external influences complicated the transition [33][39] - The U.S. response to Ethiopia's opening was characterized by a lack of high-level commitment and insufficient resources, leading to missed opportunities for supporting democratization [50][52] Sudan - Sudan's democratic opening faced similar challenges, with the U.S. failing to adequately engage with emerging powers and misreading the political landscape, which contributed to the eventual coup [10][21] - The report highlights the importance of recognizing structural factors and the need for inclusive policies to support democratic transitions in both countries [25][30] Conclusion - The report concludes that the U.S. must learn from these cases to improve its approach to supporting democratic openings in the future, emphasizing the importance of commitment, inclusivity, and understanding local contexts [5][10]
Planning for Transit-Oriented Development in Emerging Cities
世界银行· 2024-10-02 23:03
Industry Overview - The report focuses on **Transit-Oriented Development (TOD)** in emerging cities, emphasizing the integration of land use and transport planning to create sustainable, walkable, and transit-friendly urban environments [17][18] - Emerging cities, which house 75% of the global urban population, are expected to grow significantly, particularly in Asia and Africa, adding 2.3 billion urban dwellers by 2050 [21][86] - Urban transport is a major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, with private vehicles being the least carbon-efficient mode of transport per passenger-kilometer [22][87] Core Findings - **Low-carbon mobility** is already prevalent in many developing cities, with high modal shares of walking, biking, and public transport, and low motorization rates compared to developed countries [25][90] - **Density** in developing cities is a key advantage, with many informal settlements exceeding 60,000 inhabitants per km², supporting public transport and active mobility [26][92] - Despite these advantages, many emerging cities face challenges such as **inefficient urban planning**, **scattered development patterns**, and **lack of integration between transport and land use policies**, leading to increased motorization and congestion [29][93] Theoretical Framework - The report uses a **3-Value Framework (3V)** to analyze TOD, focusing on **node value** (transit ridership), **place value** (urban quality and walkability), and **market potential value** (real estate development potential) [36][128] - **Urban economics** highlights the trade-off between travel costs and rent, with higher densities near transit hubs generating demand for public transport [33][108] - **Land Use Regulations (LUR)** play a critical role in shaping urban development, with zoning, floor area ratios (FAR), and parking policies influencing transit ridership and walkability [38][162] Sandbox Model Insights - A **sandbox model** was developed to simulate the impact of LUR on transit ridership, showing that **higher FAR** and **plot coverage ratios** increase public transport use, while **setback requirements** and **parking mandates** reduce it [40][42] - The model predicts that **transit-friendly LUR** throughout the city, not just near transit corridors, is essential for creating a compact, transit-oriented urban form [43][72] Recommendations for TOD - **Accessibility analyses** should be conducted to evaluate the impact of transport investments and urban form on mobility, particularly for vulnerable groups like women [68] - **Housing affordability** should be tracked through the ratio of median income to median housing prices, with LUR adjusted to allow for more housing supply [70] - **City-wide TOD strategies** should adopt LUR that maximize node, place, and market values, including high FAR, low setbacks, and mixed land uses, to promote transit-oriented development [75][77] Case Studies and Examples - **Japan's zoning system** allows mixed land uses and high FAR in all zones, promoting densification around transit stations and affordable housing [38][162] - **Barcelona's Superille (Super-Island)** concept demonstrates how transit-friendly LUR can improve public transport ridership and urban walkability [43][62] - **Curitiba and Bogota** are examples of cities that started with arterials and sidewalks, later upgrading to bus rapid transit systems as demand increased [62][64]
Amended Common Reporting Standard XML Schema
OECD· 2024-10-02 04:13
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The document serves as a user guide for the Amended Common Reporting Standard (CRS) XML Schema, which facilitates the automatic exchange of financial account information between tax administrations [6][11] - The CRS is designed to enhance transparency and combat tax evasion by enabling jurisdictions to obtain and exchange financial information on reportable accounts [11][12] - The XML schema is structured to support the reporting requirements of the CRS, including detailed specifications for data elements and their attributes [12][13] Summary by Sections Introduction - The OECD, in collaboration with G20 countries, developed a common standard for reporting and exchanging financial account information [11] - The schema is a technical solution for holding and transmitting information electronically [11][12] CRS Schema Information - The schema includes a message header, details about account holders, and reporting financial institutions [13] - It reuses elements from the FATCA schema, indicating some elements are optional for CRS reporting [15] Guidance on Correction Process - The user guide provides instructions on how to correct data items within a file that can be processed automatically [12][16] Appendix A - Contains diagrams representing the CRS XML Schema with all its elements [17] Appendix B - Includes a glossary of namespaces for the CRS XML Schema [17]
Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework XML Schema
OECD· 2024-10-02 04:08
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The document outlines the Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) approved by the OECD in 2023, which facilitates the automatic exchange of information between tax administrations regarding crypto-assets [6][12]. - The CARF XML Schema is designed for the exchange of information reported under CARF between competent authorities and can also be used for domestic reporting by Reporting Crypto-Asset Service Providers [13][12]. - The CARF Body contains information on Reporting Crypto-Asset Service Providers, Crypto-Asset Users, and relevant transactions, ensuring compliance with tax reporting requirements [67]. Summary by Sections Introduction - The CARF User Guide links to the CARF XML Schema, which is divided into logical sections detailing specific data elements and attributes [12]. CARF XML Schema - The schema includes a Message Header, Organisation Party type, Person Party type, and the CARF Body, which collectively facilitate the reporting process [12][67]. Message Header - The Message Header identifies the sender, recipient, message type, and reporting period, ensuring clarity in communication between tax administrations [18][19]. Organisation Party Type - This section defines the information related to Entity Reporting Crypto-Asset Service Providers and Entity Crypto-Asset Users, including residence country codes and tax identification numbers [26][29]. Person Party Type - The Person Party Type provides identification information for individual Reporting Crypto-Asset Service Providers and Crypto-Asset Users, including tax identification numbers and addresses [44][49]. CARF Body - The CARF Body includes details on Reporting Crypto-Asset Service Providers and Crypto-Asset Users, as well as information on relevant transactions, ensuring comprehensive reporting [67]. Annexes - The report includes diagrams and a glossary of namespaces related to the CARF XML Schema, aiding in understanding the structure and requirements of the schema [16][8].
Expulsión sin salida: la guerra en Gaza, un año después
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry discussed Core Insights - The first year of the Gaza conflict has resulted in the forced displacement of 85% of the population, with nearly two million people displaced and over 41,000 deaths reported [3][4] - The displacement is characterized as a strategic objective of the conflict, aimed at territorial expansion and intended to be permanent, with no possibility of return for the displaced [8][10] - The situation in Gaza exemplifies a failure of international humanitarian law and asylum protections, highlighting the inadequacies of the international response to the crisis [3][15] Summary by Sections Displacement and Conflict - The conflict has led to a significant humanitarian crisis, with the UN declaring the situation in Gaza as reaching unprecedented emergency levels [4][5] - The mechanisms of forced displacement include evacuation orders from the Israeli government, bombings destroying civilian infrastructure, and severe limitations on access to basic necessities [4][12] Historical Context - The expulsion and expansion dynamic has been a constant in Palestinian history since the establishment of Israel in 1948, with previous instances of mass displacement occurring during the Nakba and subsequent conflicts [11][16] - The report draws parallels between the situation in Gaza and other historical cases of organized forced migration, such as the Rohingya crisis in Myanmar [8][9] International Law and Responsibility - The report critiques the failure of international law to protect civilians in conflict, emphasizing the need for a reevaluation of the roles of UN agencies like UNRWA and ACNUR in providing refugee protection [17][19] - The geopolitical implications of the refugee crisis are significant, with neighboring countries reluctant to accept Palestinian refugees, further complicating the humanitarian response [21][22] Geopolitical Dynamics - The conflict has led to a geopolitization of migration, where states use migration policies as tools for negotiating international relations, particularly in the context of Egypt's role in managing refugee flows [21][24] - The report highlights the economic pressures on Egypt and the potential for international financial agreements to influence its refugee policies [22][25] Public Opinion and Future Implications - There is a growing disconnect between official government positions and public opinion regarding the conflict, particularly in Western countries, which may influence future political outcomes [29]
Trends in infrastructure: An evolving asset class
Mergermarket· 2024-10-02 02:03
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for infrastructure investment, with 70% of respondents expecting an increase in fundraising and investment activities over the next 24 months, and 30% anticipating a substantial increase [3][10]. Core Insights - The infrastructure asset class has experienced significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate in assets under management averaging 16% over the past decade, reaching over USD 1.1 trillion [2][6]. - The global infrastructure gap is estimated at USD 15 trillion through 2040, necessitating increased private financing to bridge this gap [2][18]. - Key drivers for future investment include the energy transition, digitalisation, and demographic changes, with 54% of respondents identifying energy transition as a primary investment catalyst [3][24]. Summary by Sections Part 1: Infrastructure: Into the Mainstream - Infrastructure has become one of the fastest-growing asset classes, with M&A activity increasing from 551 deals valued at USD 148.5 billion in 2015 to 2,105 deals worth USD 658.4 billion by 2022, representing increases of 282% in volume and 343% in value [7][6]. Part 2: Key Driver 1: The Road to Energy Transition - The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that annual investments in renewable energy need to triple to around USD 4.5 trillion by 2030 to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 [25][26]. - Solar photovoltaic (PV) and onshore wind are expected to attract the most investment, with 61% and 58% of respondents indicating these technologies as priorities [27][28]. Part 3: Key Driver 2: Digital Watch - Digitalisation is viewed as a primary investment driver by 36% of respondents, particularly in Europe, where it surpasses the energy transition in importance [37][38]. - Data centre investments reached USD 22 billion in the first five months of 2024, indicating strong growth in this sector driven by cloud computing and AI [40][41]. Part 4: Regions in the Spotlight - The Middle East is identified as the most attractive region for infrastructure investment, with 60% of respondents viewing it as highly attractive due to political stability and ambitious development plans [3][10]. - North America and Europe are expected to see the greatest investment in digital infrastructure, with 62% and 61% of respondents respectively indicating this trend [38][42]. Part 5: The Healthcare and Social Deficit - The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted significant deficits in healthcare and social infrastructure, prompting 35% of respondents to expect increased investment in these sectors, particularly in the Asia Pacific region [3][10]. Part 6: The Sustainability Imperative - ESG considerations are becoming increasingly significant, with 47% of respondents expecting the importance of ESG to grow significantly in the next two years, particularly in Africa and APAC [3][10]. Part 7: A Journey to the Core - Investors are increasingly focusing on core infrastructure assets for their stability and predictable cash flows, with 66% planning to increase exposure to core-only assets [3][10]. Part 8: Risky Business - Geopolitical risks remain a top concern for infrastructure investors, with 35% citing these as the biggest potential impediment to investment [3][10]. Part 9: Tackling a Risky Business - Investors are employing proactive asset monitoring and management strategies to mitigate risks, with at least two-thirds of respondents relying on these methods [3][10]. Part 10: Conclusion: Where Do We Go From Here? - The report concludes with cautious optimism for a continued rebound in infrastructure investment, supported by stabilising interest rates and the pressing need for renewable energy infrastructure [5][10].
Securing Critical Infrastructure in the Age of AI
CSET· 2024-10-02 01:53
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The integration of AI in critical infrastructure (CI) presents both opportunities and risks, necessitating careful management and strategic implementation [3][4][27] - Resource disparities among CI providers significantly affect AI adoption and risk management capabilities, highlighting the need for support programs for less resourced entities [5][6][39] - The ambiguity in defining AI risk management responsibilities within corporate structures complicates the effective governance of AI systems [7][50] Summary by Sections Executive Summary - AI capabilities are improving, prompting CI operators to integrate AI systems, which can enhance operations and cyber threat detection while introducing new vulnerabilities [3] - The executive order from the previous year mandates assessments of AI-related risks in critical infrastructure sectors [3] Background - The report discusses the current and potential future use of AI technologies in various CI sectors, emphasizing the need for clarity on AI system types being utilized [15][19] Risks, Opportunities, and Barriers - AI risks are categorized into malicious use and system vulnerabilities, with concerns about AI enabling new attack vectors for cyber threats [28][30] - Opportunities for AI adoption include improved operational efficiency and enhanced threat detection capabilities [33] - Barriers to adoption include data privacy concerns, regulatory compliance challenges, and the need for skilled personnel [35][37] Observations - Disparities in resources between large and small CI providers impact AI adoption and cybersecurity resilience [39][40] - The unclear boundary between AI and cybersecurity complicates risk management and incident reporting [46] Recommendations - Cross-cutting recommendations emphasize the importance of information sharing and developing a skilled workforce to support AI integration in CI [60][64] - Government actors are encouraged to harmonize regulations and tailor guidance for specific sectors to facilitate AI adoption [67][69] - CI sectors should develop best practices and expand mutual assistance initiatives to support smaller providers [72][73] - Individual organizations are advised to integrate AI risk management into existing frameworks and designate clear ownership of AI risks [75][76]
The art of customer connection
凯捷研究院· 2024-10-02 00:33
Investment Rating - The report emphasizes a customer-centric strategy as crucial for growth in the retail financial institutions sector, indicating a positive outlook for companies that effectively implement such strategies. Core Insights - Financial institutions must prioritize understanding customer needs and preferences to drive growth, as 71% of executives believe this is critical, yet 54% admit to lacking sufficient customer insights [4][11][10] - The report identifies key drivers for enhancing customer relationships, including personalization, accessibility, convenience, and transparency, which are essential for building loyalty and achieving sustainable growth [4][13][29] - A four-pronged framework is proposed for implementing customer-centric strategies, focusing on advanced technologies like generative AI to better understand and meet customer needs [4][30][33] Summary by Sections Understanding Customers - Financial institutions recognize the importance of customer-centric strategies but often struggle with execution due to insufficient insights into customer needs and pain points [5][10] - Key findings from surveys indicate that customers value clear communication, quality service, and personalized experiences, which are often lacking in current offerings [6][9][11] Executive Priorities - A significant portion of executives (60%) do not engage enough with employees and customers to understand the impact of boardroom decisions on customer experiences [4][20] - The report highlights that 51% of executives find their goals misaligned with customer needs, indicating a critical challenge in strategy execution [17][19] Customer-Centric Strategy Framework - The proposed framework includes understanding customer archetypes, defining jobs to be done, optimizing interactions, and establishing core principles to guide organizational behavior [31][32] - Emphasizing the use of advanced technologies, particularly generative AI, is essential for enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency [33][34] Technology and Data Utilization - The report stresses the need for financial institutions to leverage data effectively, with 87% of executives acknowledging a lack of centralized customer views [26][27] - Generative AI is highlighted as a transformative tool for personalizing services and improving content management, with 73% of executives believing it will enhance service offerings [34][37] Conclusion - The report concludes that financial institutions must bridge the gap between their strategies and customer expectations by embracing data-driven insights and advanced technologies to foster deeper relationships and drive growth [47][48]
Fighting Fire with Low-Carbon Buildings
RMI· 2024-10-02 00:18
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential of using mass timber from Colorado wildfire thinnings to create low-carbon buildings, which can benefit local forests, communities, and the global climate [9][10][30]. Summary by Sections Executive Summary - Colorado's forests face challenges due to climate change, overstocking from fire suppression, and increased population in wildland-urban interfaces, leading to severe wildfire risks [9][11]. - Forest thinning can enhance resilience against wildfires and protect water supplies, but it is costly, potentially costing taxpayers billions [9][10]. Colorado Forests' Challenging Future - Historical fire suppression has led to overstocked forests, increasing the likelihood of high-intensity wildfires [11][12]. - Nearly 1 million properties in Colorado are at risk of wildfire damage over the next 30 years, with the wildland-urban interface expected to double by 2040 [12][13]. Managing Forests, Managing Fire - Prescribed burns and mechanical thinning are effective strategies to reduce wildfire risks by lowering fuel loads [20][21]. - Thinning operations can yield marketable timber, but most harvested trees are small and have low market value, making it difficult to offset treatment costs [27][28]. "Eating the Problem" with Wood Products - A lack of robust markets for wood from forest management leads to insufficient management, while strong markets could support ecological sustainability and wildfire mitigation [28][29]. - Mass timber, a high-performance engineered wood product, can utilize small-diameter trees and has a lower embodied carbon footprint compared to traditional materials [29][30]. Jump-Starting Colorado's Resilient Local Forest Economies - Developing local forest economies can provide funding for wildfire mitigation treatments and create sustainable building practices [37][38]. - Public support for forest thinning is mixed, with some opposition that can delay management efforts [40][41]. Call to Action - Various stakeholders, including state officials and the general public, are encouraged to support forest management and local wood products [48][49]. Additional Information - The Colorado Mass Timber Coalition aims to enhance the forest and construction value chain to promote resilient local economies [50].
The pulse of nurses’ perspectives on AI in healthcare delivery
麦肯锡· 2024-10-02 00:08
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the healthcare industry or AI applications within it. Core Insights - Nurses express cautious enthusiasm about AI in healthcare, emphasizing the need to maintain high-quality care while integrating AI tools [2][7][24] - A national survey of 7,200 nurses reveals a significant interest in incorporating AI into their work, with 64% of respondents supporting more AI tools [4][7] - Concerns about AI include trust in accuracy, lack of human interaction, and insufficient knowledge on using AI technologies [13][15] Summary by Sections Survey Overview - The survey conducted by McKinsey and the American Nurses Foundation aimed to evaluate nurses' perceptions of AI, their familiarity with it, and the perceived risks and opportunities [4][6] Nurses' Perspectives on AI - 42% of nurses feel hopeful that AI will improve quality, while 23% express discomfort regarding its implications for patient care [10][11] - 61% of nurses rank trust in accuracy as their top concern regarding AI [13] Interest in AI Tools - 64% of surveyed nurses want more AI tools in their work, with higher interest among those aged 30 to 39 (71%) [7][9] - AI could potentially free up approximately 20% of a nurse's shift through technology [7] Addressing Concerns - To alleviate concerns, 73% of nurses suggest involving nursing input in AI tool design, while 69% want evidence of AI's effectiveness on quality and patient safety [15][17] - Enhanced training and education on AI usage is also a priority for 64% of respondents [17] Optimism and Engagement - Overall, nurses are cautiously optimistic about AI's potential to alleviate workloads and improve patient care [18][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of nurse engagement in the development and implementation of AI tools to ensure high-quality patient care remains a priority [24]