证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 3 月 1 日 节后多数金属价格继续回暖，后续仍看好关键 金属全面行情 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ►印尼供应扰动提升市场供给偏紧预期，对镍矿价格或 有支撑 截止到 2 月 27 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 17685 美元/ 吨，较 2 月 20 日上涨 3.09%，LME 镍总库存为 287976 吨， 较 2 月 20 日增加 0.09%；沪镍报收 14.15 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 1.05%，沪镍库存为 60,791 吨，较 2 月 13 日增加 0.03%；截止到 2 月 27 日，硫酸镍报收 33 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 0.30%。根据 SMM，政策端，市场正密切关注印 尼 ESDM 于 2026 年 2 月 10 日发布 2026 年镍矿 RKAB 配 额，司长 Tri Winarno 确认本年度获批产量仅为 2.6 亿至 2.7 亿 吨。这一紧缩趋势在重点项目中尤为显著：据 Eramet 官方消 息，WBN 收到的最初配 ...

节后多数金属价格继续回暖，后续仍看好关键 金属全面行情 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ►印尼供应扰动提升市场供给偏紧预期，对镍矿价格或 有支撑 截止到 2 月 27 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 17685 美元/ 吨，较 2 月 20 日上涨 3.09%，LME 镍总库存为 287976 吨， 较 2 月 20 日增加 0.09%；沪镍报收 14.15 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 1.05%，沪镍库存为 60,791 吨，较 2 月 13 日增加 0.03%；截止到 2 月 27 日，硫酸镍报收 33 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 0.30%。根据 SMM，政策端，市场正密切关注印 尼 ESDM 于 2026 年 2 月 10 日发布 2026 年镍矿 RKAB 配 额，司长 Tri Winarno 确认本年度获批产量仅为 2.6 亿至 2.7 亿 吨。这一紧缩趋势在重点项目中尤为显著：据 Eramet 官方消 息，WBN 收到的最初配额仅为 1200 万湿吨，较去年的 4200 万湿吨大幅缩减。整体市场将维持供需紧平 ...

章源钨业发布2月26日关于调整焊接机夹刀片价格的通知函称，因钨原材料价格持续上涨，致使公司生产成本大 幅增长。为了公司的可持续发展，公司决定从2026年2月26日起，对焊接机夹刀片产品按新价格执行。自调价之 日起，产品一律按新价格执行。 另外，稀土行业方面，路透援引业内人士称，美国航空航天和半导体公司的供应商面临日益严重的稀土短缺问 题，其中两家供应商甚至因此拒绝了一些客户订单。短缺主要集中在例如钇和钪的稀土元素上，这是17种元素家 族中的小众成员，在国防技术、航空航天和半导体领域发挥着虽小但至关重要的作用。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | 最新 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002167 | 东方错业 | 東 | 10.03 | 121亿 | 26.15 | 15.58 | | 002842 | 翔雪铝业 | 1 | 10.01 | 136亿 | 187.41 | 41.56 | | 002378 | 直源铝业 | 1 | 10.00 | 488亿 | 186.32 | 40.60 | | 600 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective surge in rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks on February 25, with notable gains across various companies [1] - San Chuan Wisdom led the gains with a rise of 13.10%, while Baogang Co. and Northern Rare Earth both hit the 10% daily limit [1] - Other companies such as Zhongcai Resources and Xiamen Tungsten also experienced significant increases, with gains exceeding 8% [1] Group 2 - The total market capitalization of Baogang Co. is 132.7 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 23.11% [2] - Northern Rare Earth has a market cap of 218.5 billion and has seen a year-to-date increase of 31.03% [2] - Zhongcai Resources has a market cap of 31.8 billion and a remarkable year-to-date increase of 68.25% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks in the A-share market have collectively strengthened, indicating a positive trend in this sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - San Chuan Wisdom increased by 13% [1] - Baogang Co., Northern Rare Earth, and China Minmetals all hit the daily limit with a 10% increase [1] - Zhong Rare Earth and Xiamen Tungsten rose over 8% [1] - Jinli Permanent Magnet, Zhongkuang Resources, Zhengguang Co., Shenghe Resources, and Jiuling Technology all increased by over 7% [1] - China Rare Earth saw an increase of over 6% [1] - Zhenghai Magnetic Materials, China Aluminum, Huaxin Environmental Protection, Oriental Zirconium, and Zhongke Magnetic Materials all rose by over 5% [1]

Company Performance - Company released a profit forecast on January 29, 2026, expecting a net profit of 29 million to 34.5 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 75.11% to 108.32% [1] - The net profit for the third quarter of 2025 was 12.7962 million yuan, while the median of the annual forecast (31.75 million yuan) fell short of some investors' expectations for sustained high growth, potentially leading to profit-taking [1] Industry Sector Performance - On February 13, 2026, the rare earth permanent magnet sector index fell by 2.02%, and the non-ferrous metal sector dropped by 3.36%, both underperforming the market (Shanghai Composite Index down 1.26%) [2] - The company experienced a net outflow of main funds amounting to 45.5343 million yuan, which was a significant proportion of the total trading volume, while the financing balance increased by 41.9925 million yuan (an increase of 17.88%) over the past five days, indicating a growing divergence between leveraged funds and main funds [2] Company Valuation - As of the close on February 13, the company's stock price was 60.60 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) of 190.10, significantly higher than the industry average [3] - The stock price fell below the 5-day moving average (61.666 yuan), and the KDJ indicator showed the J line rising to 73.96, nearing the overbought zone, suggesting some technical selling pressure was released [3] Industry Policy and Environment - Despite recent price increases in rare earth raw materials like neodymium oxide (with a 30-day increase of 30.71%), there are market concerns that high raw material prices may squeeze the profit margins of midstream companies, particularly putting pressure on the company's gross margin (which was 17.28% in the third quarter of 2025) [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth concept stocks in the A-share market experienced a significant increase, driven by rising prices of rare earth products, particularly praseodymium oxide and neodymium oxide, which have seen substantial price hikes this year [1][2]. Price Trends - As of February 11, the average price of praseodymium oxide reached 877,000 yuan per ton, with an increase of over 260,000 yuan per ton this year, representing a growth of 43.42% - The average price of neodymium oxide reached 870,000 yuan per ton, with a year-to-date increase of 260,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a growth of 42.62% - The cumulative price increase for praseodymium-neodymium, metallic neodymium, and metallic praseodymium has exceeded 35% this year [1]. Stock Performance - 盛和资源 (Shenghe Resources) saw a price increase of 5.94% with a total market value of 53.5 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 41.66% [2] - 金田股份 (Jintian Co.) increased by 3.90%, with a market value of 20.3 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 8.61% [2] - 厦门铝业 (Xiamen Tungsten) rose by 3.42%, with a market value of 101.9 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 56.28% [2] - 华新环保 (Hua Xin Environmental) increased by 3.36%, with a market value of 4.469 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 6.04% [2] - Other notable stocks include 九菱科技 (Jiuling Technology) with a 2.59% increase, 中色股份 (China Nonferrous) with a 2.39% increase, and 中国稀土 (China Rare Earth) with a 2.26% increase [2].

Group 1 - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing significant activity, with Longmag Technology rising over 13% [1] - Other companies such as China Rare Earth, Jiuling Technology, Zhongke Magnetic Industry, Dadi Bear, Wanlang Magnetic Plastic, Galaxy Magnet, and Jinli Permanent Magnet also saw increases [1] - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide continues to rise, reaching 800,000 yuan per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 9.9% and a month-on-month increase of 28.8% [1]

Group 1 - North Mining Technology (600980) is a state-owned enterprise under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on mining equipment and magnetic materials, with a leading position in the global market for intelligent flotation machines and a 12% share in domestic sintered permanent magnetic ferrite production [1][25][26] - Greenme (002340) is a leader in the recycling of rare metals and new energy materials, with a dual business model of "urban mining + new energy materials," supplying major companies like CATL and BYD [1][27] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) is a leader in tungsten, molybdenum, and rare earth permanent magnetic materials, with a complete industrial chain from mining to high-end magnetic material production [2][28] Group 2 - Jiyuan Wanfang (000612) is a significant player in aluminum smelting and rare earth permanent magnetic materials, leveraging local resources to form a dual business model of "aluminum + rare earth" [3][29] - Wanlong Magnetic Plastic (603150) is a leader in refrigerator door seals and magnetic materials, producing ferrite magnets for major appliance manufacturers [4][30] - Northern Rare Earth (600111) is the largest rare earth producer globally, controlling over 40% of the world's rare earth oxide production and holding significant pricing power [5][30] Group 3 - Chifeng Gold (600988) is involved in gold mining and rare earth resource development, with a strong position in the domestic rare earth market [6][31] - Zhongmin Resources (002738) is a leader in lithium mining and rare earth resources, with significant overseas rare earth mining rights [7][33] - Galaxy Magnet (300127) specializes in sintered and bonded neodymium-iron-boron magnets, serving major clients like BYD and CATL [8][34] Group 4 - Zhong Rare Metals (600259) focuses on rare earth mining and functional materials, with a strong position in the medium and heavy rare earth sectors [9][35] - Tianhe Magnetic Materials (603072) is a leader in high-end neodymium-iron-boron magnets, supplying major automotive and industrial clients [10][36] - Oriental Zirconium (002167) produces zirconium products and rare earth functional materials, with a focus on the electronics and new energy sectors [11][37] Group 5 - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748) is a leading producer of rare earth permanent magnetic materials, with a strong presence in the automotive sector [12][38] - Huaxin Environmental (301265) focuses on environmental equipment and rare earth recycling, leveraging a dual business model [13][40] - China Rare Earth (000831) is a key player in rare earth mining and processing, with a focus on high-value applications in new energy and military sectors [14][49]

Group 1 - The A-share market's rare earth permanent magnet sector showed strong performance on February 9, with several stocks reaching their daily limit up [1] - Shenghe Resources experienced a limit-up increase of 10.01%, while China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth both rose over 6% [2] - Other notable gainers included San Chuan Wisdom, Zhong Rare Metal, and Huahong Technology, all of which saw increases exceeding 6% [1][2] Group 2 - The total market capitalization of Shenghe Resources is 47.6 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 26.06% [2] - China Rare Earth has a market cap of 58.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 18.88% [2] - Northern Rare Earth has a market cap of 193.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 15.96% [2]