Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector is experiencing a decline, Bitcoin prices are plummeting, and the U.S. labor market shows signs of weakness, which, combined with the revaluation of software companies, threatens the foundation of the AI-driven bull market [1][20] Group 1: Market Overview - The recent market turmoil has led to a loss of over $1.5 trillion in U.S. stock market value, raising doubts about the strength of the U.S. economy to support further stock market gains [20] - The rebound in the S&P 500 index on Friday does not indicate a stable market, as it often occurs during prolonged market pressure [1][20] - Various sectors are showing cracks, prompting investors to hedge against potential downturns [1][20] Group 2: Software Sector - The sell-off in software stocks is significant, with concerns that AI tools may disrupt the business of companies like DocuSign and Salesforce [29] - A report indicated that 72% of S&P 500 companies have updated disclosures regarding the significant risks posed by AI to their businesses [29] - The market is currently bearish on software stocks, raising concerns about risk spillover to other sectors [30][31] Group 3: Small Cap Stocks - Small-cap stocks were initially favored as investors moved away from overvalued tech stocks, but this strategy has faltered due to broad market adjustments and weak labor market data [4][22] - The Russell 2000 index has seen a decline of over 5% from recent highs, reflecting the impact of domestic economic conditions on small-cap companies [24][22] Group 4: Precious Metals - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and silver, has experienced extreme volatility, with the VanEck Gold Miners ETF suffering a 13% drop, the largest in over five years [25][27] - The sector has shifted from being a niche investment to a speculative tool for retail investors, raising concerns about its fundamental support [25][27] - Analysts note that the trading frenzy in precious metals has become "crazy," with significant price fluctuations that contradict their traditional role as safe-haven assets [27][9] Group 5: Digital Assets - Bitcoin, once referred to as "digital gold," is underperforming compared to physical gold, with its price dropping below $65,000, marking a 15-month low [28] - Companies involved in Bitcoin mining and digital asset management have seen significant stock price declines, with some dropping over 20% [28][10] - The largest Bitcoin exchange-traded fund also experienced a 16% drop, reflecting the broader downturn in the digital asset market [28] Group 6: Capital Markets - Concerns about AI disrupting various sectors may lead to a slowdown in capital market activities, including mergers and acquisitions, IPOs, and stock and bond issuances [29] - The technology sector was expected to contribute significantly to capital market revenues, but this outlook may be changing due to the potential disruptive effects of AI [29]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant recovery, with the S&P 500 rising by 2%, marking its best day since May. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1,206 points, or 2.5%, surpassing the 50,000 level for the first time, while the Nasdaq composite rose by 2.2% [1]. Technology Sector - Chip companies were pivotal in driving the market rally, with Nvidia's stock jumping by 7.8% and Broadcom climbing by 7.1%, helping to recover from earlier losses [2]. - The optimism surrounding continued spending on artificial intelligence technology contributed to the gains, with Amazon's CEO announcing an expected investment of approximately $200 billion this year in AI, chips, robotics, and low earth orbit satellites [3]. Concerns in the Market - Despite the surge, the S&P 500 faced its third losing week in four, driven by concerns over Big Tech spending and the potential impact of AI on software companies, particularly after AI firm Anthropic released free automation tools [4]. - Amazon's stock fell by 5.6% amid doubts about whether the substantial investments would yield sufficient profits [3]. Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin stabilized after a significant decline, rising back above $70,000 after dipping close to $60,000 [5]. - The recovery in Bitcoin prices positively affected stocks of companies involved in the crypto economy, with Robinhood Markets increasing by 14%, Coinbase Global rising by 13%, and Strategy, a company focused on Bitcoin investments, soaring by 26.1% [7]. Metals Market - Prices in the metals market showed signs of stabilization, with gold rising by 1.8% to settle at $4,979.80 per ounce and silver increasing by 0.2% [5].

Group 1 - Lee & Man Paper (02314) has seen its stock price rise by over 30% year-to-date, with expected profits of approximately HKD 1.88 billion to HKD 2.00 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38% to 47% due to increased marginal profits [1] - Soundon Technology (02495) shares rose over 8.8% after winning a contract worth nearly RMB 300 million for an AI project in Sichuan province [1] - Zhongxin Innovation (03931) stock increased by over 3.8%, with a reported 630% year-on-year growth in commercial battery deliveries in January 2026, indicating a strong market strategy and capacity layout [1] Group 2 - Tea stocks experienced a rise, with Gu Ming (01364) up 4.12%, Cha Bai Dao (02555) up 3.74%, and others benefiting from a promotional campaign offering free milk tea at over 300,000 stores nationwide [2] - Innovent Biologics (09969) shares surged over 11% after announcing expected revenues of RMB 2.37 billion in 2025, a 134% increase, and a projected net profit of around RMB 630 million [2] - Jun Da Holdings (02865) rebounded over 4.6% following news of the U.S. Federal Communications Commission accepting SpaceX's data center application [2] Group 3 - Li Auto-W (02015) shares rose over 5.3% as the CEO teased the new Li L9 model, emphasizing the importance of AI in enhancing vehicle value [3] - JX International Resources (03858) saw a stock increase of over 4.6% as tungsten prices reached a recent high of CNY 1,545,000 per ton, up CNY 25,000 from the previous trading day [3] - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) shares increased by over 5.7% after announcing a profit forecast for FY26H1 of CNY 2.15 billion to CNY 2.25 billion, a year-on-year growth of 216% to 231% [3] Group 4 - Long Resources (01712) stock surged over 35%, reaching a historical high, with expected after-tax profits of AUD 58 million to AUD 62 million for the year ending December 31, 2025, a significant increase from AUD 12.9 million in the previous year [4] Group 5 - Forgent Power Solutions (FPS.US) debuted on the U.S. stock market with a closing increase of 7.41%, focusing on power solutions for data centers [5] - Bob's Discount Furniture (BOBS.US) also entered the market, with a slight increase of 0.12%, managing 206 showrooms across 26 states and projecting revenues of USD 2.32 billion for FY2025 [5] Group 6 - Eikon Therapeutics (EIKN.US) fell over 16.67% on its Nasdaq debut, focusing on cancer therapies with a candidate drug in mid-stage trials [6] - Cryptocurrency stocks saw significant declines, with Hut 8 (HUT.US) down 17.89% and others following suit amid a Bitcoin sell-off, which dropped nearly 10% [6] Group 7 - Major U.S. indices opened lower, with the Nasdaq down 1.6%, and notable tech stocks like Amazon (AMZN.US) and Tesla (TSLA.US) also declining [7] - Estée Lauder (EL.US) dropped nearly 19.19% despite meeting sales expectations, reflecting market volatility [7] Group 8 - NIO (NIO.US) shares rose 5.86% after announcing an expected adjusted operating profit of between RMB 700 million and RMB 1.2 billion for Q4 2025, marking its first quarterly adjusted operating profit [8] - Hims & Hers Health (HIMS.US) initially surged nearly 14% before closing down 3.77%, launching a new generic medication at a competitive price [9] - Qualcomm (QCOM.US) fell 8.46% amid concerns over weak earnings forecasts related to chip shortages affecting smartphone demand [9]

Group 1 - The Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF is flat year to date, despite Bitcoin's 20% decline over the past year, with most losses occurring recently [1][2] - The ETF has almost tripled from its trough to peak last year, indicating potential despite Bitcoin's current weaknesses [2] - The ETF is primarily composed of crypto mining companies pivoting to AI infrastructure, with eight of its top ten holdings focused on this transition [5][7] Group 2 - Iren is the largest position in the ETF, accounting for nearly 15% of total assets, while Applied Digital and Cipher Mining together make up over 12% [7] - Five of the top ten positions have more than doubled in value over the past year, representing about two-thirds of the fund's total assets [8] - The ETF has a high expense ratio of 0.85%, which is considered excessive compared to many index funds with ratios below 0.1% [9][10]

Regulatory Developments - South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service is enhancing its VISTA system with AI to detect price manipulation automatically [1] - Hong Kong plans to issue its first stablecoin licenses in March, with the Monetary Authority expecting to approve only a limited number initially [1] - The Bank of England is exploring the use of stablecoins and tokenized deposits to reduce merchant costs, potentially bypassing traditional card payments [1] Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment is risk-off, driven by macroeconomic concerns and the nomination of a hawkish Federal Reserve chair, leading capital towards safe havens like gold [2] - Bitcoin has notably decoupled from the tech rally, causing investor anxiety as leverage is removed from the system [2] Federal Reserve Nomination - The nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve is perceived as a mixed signal, with economists suggesting it may stabilize rather than expand market liquidity [3] Analyst Insights - Bernstein analysts view the current market drawdown as a temporary phase in an "institutional cycle," predicting a reversal by early 2026, which could set the stage for long-term growth [4] - CFTC Chairman Michael Selig's leadership and initiatives, including "Project Crypto," are seen as positive developments that may resolve regulatory uncertainties, benefiting companies like Coinbase Global and Circle [4] - H.C. Wainwright has initiated coverage on Hut 8 with a Buy rating and an $80 price target, highlighting its significant partnership with Anthropic and Fluidstack, which lowers debt costs and strengthens its position in high-performance computing [4] Price Action - As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading at $79,005.08 and Ether at $2,376.72 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant decline in cryptocurrency prices, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, raises questions about the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" and highlights the increasing risks associated with high leverage and lack of regulation in the crypto market [2][3][4]. Market Performance - Bitcoin's price dropped to a low of $81,000, with a maximum decline of over 7% within 24 hours, while Ethereum fell from $2,970 to $2,670, marking a 10% drop [2][3]. - The total liquidation amount in the past 24 hours exceeded $1.7 billion, affecting over 270,000 traders globally [4]. Influencing Factors - The decline in cryptocurrency prices is attributed to tightening liquidity, increasing regulatory scrutiny, institutional exits, and panic among investors [3][4]. - Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly statements from Iranian officials regarding U.S. actions, have contributed to market volatility [4]. Investment Trends - Major investors are reallocating their portfolios, with Jefferies' Christopher Wood removing Bitcoin from his long-term investment strategy, reallocating half to physical gold and the other half to gold mining stocks [5]. - Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant net outflows, exceeding $2 billion, while traditional stock ETFs are experiencing record inflows [6]. Mining and Network Performance - Bitcoin's network has seen a decline in hash rate, dropping over 15% from its historical peak, leading to many miners facing shutdown conditions due to high operational costs [6]. - The average daily block reward income for Bitcoin miners is projected to reach a historical low of $38,700 per EH/s by December 2025 [6]. Comparison with Gold - The price of gold has reached historical highs, contrasting sharply with Bitcoin's performance, which has retreated approximately 33% from its previous highs [7]. - The divergence in performance between Bitcoin and gold reflects their differing roles as assets, with gold serving as a stable reserve asset and Bitcoin being more speculative and influenced by market sentiment [8].

Market Overview - The global financial markets experienced significant volatility, with gold and silver prices dropping sharply after reaching historical highs, with maximum intraday declines of over 5% and 8% respectively [1][9][10] - The U.S. stock market also faced turbulence, with the Nasdaq index plunging 2.6% at one point before closing down 0.72% [2][11] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a major sell-off, with Bitcoin dropping over 5% to below $85,000, while Ethereum and other altcoins experienced declines exceeding 6% [3][6] - Cryptocurrency-related stocks also suffered, with Strategy stock falling over 9% and Coinbase Global down more than 4% [5] Gold and Silver Market - Gold prices experienced a sharp decline, falling from a peak of $5,600 per ounce to $5,105.83, marking a maximum drop of 5.7% before rebounding [9] - Silver prices also fell from a historical high of $121.67 per ounce to $106.80, with a maximum intraday decline of 8.5% [9] Investor Sentiment - There is a growing skepticism regarding Bitcoin's status as a macro hedge, as it has underperformed compared to gold and silver despite rising geopolitical tensions [6][7] - Recent data indicates that Bitcoin holders have entered a loss realization phase for the first time in 2023, suggesting a decline in investor confidence [6] Corporate Earnings Impact - Microsoft shares plummeted nearly 12% during trading after reporting a slowdown in cloud business growth, impacting the software sector significantly [11][12] - Other tech stocks reacted variably, with Meta seeing a 10.4% increase after announcing substantial capital expenditure plans, while other companies like ServiceNow and SAP faced declines [12][13]

Group 1 - The stock price of RIOT platform company decreased by 5.8% [1] - The stock price of Bit Digital company fell by 2.5% [1] - The stock price of MARA Holdings company dropped by 5.4% [1] Group 2 - Coinbase Global's stock price declined by 4.7% [1] - Bitfarms' stock price decreased by 5.3% [1] - Strategy's stock price fell by 6.4% [1] Group 3 - ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF dropped by 4.2% [1] - Grayscale Bitcoin Trust decreased by 4.2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - BitGo, a cryptocurrency infrastructure company, experienced a significant stock performance on its first day of trading, reflecting investor interest in the crypto sector despite a challenging regulatory environment [1][10]. Group 1: Company Overview - BitGo was founded in 2013 by Silicon Valley entrepreneur Belshe, who introduced multi-signature wallets, enhancing security for digital asset transactions [3]. - The company has expanded its services to include custody, prime brokerage, and institutional trading [3]. - BitGo is currently responsible for holding reserves for the stablecoin USD1, launched by World Liberty Financial, associated with former President Trump [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - BitGo reported profitability, with projected earnings of $156.6 million in 2024 and $35.3 million in the first nine months of 2025 [6][7]. - Revenue for the first six months of 2025 is expected to reach $4.19 billion, a substantial increase from $1.12 billion in the same period the previous year [7]. Group 3: Market Context - The IPO pricing was set at $18, raising $212.8 million by selling approximately 11.8 million shares, leading to a market capitalization of $2.1 billion at closing [1]. - The IPO is seen as a potential indicator of recovery in the cryptocurrency industry, especially following a downturn in crypto prices and investor sentiment [10]. - The regulatory environment remains a critical factor, with delays in key legislative votes impacting market dynamics [10].

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global stock experienced significant declines, ranking among the worst performers in the S&P 500, primarily due to self-inflicted issues [1] Company Summary - The decline in Coinbase's stock price is attributed to internal factors rather than external market conditions [1]