SCS(601555) 东吴证券国际经纪·2024-07-21 13:29Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The global photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity is expected to reach 490GW in 2024, representing a 21% year-on-year increase, with domestic demand projected to grow steadily [2][14] - The domestic market is anticipated to add 240GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11%, while the first five months of 2024 saw a 29.3% increase in new installations [14][16] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - The silicon material sector is expected to produce over 2 million tons in 2024, with prices dropping to 35,000-40,000 RMB per ton, indicating a significant decline in profitability [2] - The inverter market is benefiting from the rise in energy storage and overseas markets, with a notable increase in demand from emerging markets [2][16] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - In the first quarter of 2024, ground-mounted installations accounted for 47.9% of new capacity, with significant contributions from commercial and residential sectors [9] - The average bidding price for components has dropped below 0.9 RMB/W, with N-type and bifacial modules gaining market share [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The industry is entering a phase of supply clearing, with overcapacity in the main supply chain leading to pressure on profitability, particularly in the silicon wafer and module manufacturing sectors [2][4] - The company is focusing on new technologies such as N-type cells and perovskite materials to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with expectations for significant advancements in the coming years [2][4] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the high growth phase for PV demand has passed, and the industry is now entering a period of stable growth, with supply-demand balance expected to improve [6][14] - The management expressed concerns about potential policy changes and competition intensifying, which could impact future growth [2][4] Other Important Information - The company highlighted the importance of technological innovation in maintaining competitive advantages, particularly in the inverter and auxiliary materials sectors [2][4] - Risks include intensified competition, grid absorption issues, and unexpected changes in PV policies that could affect new installation volumes [2][4] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the domestic PV market in 2024? - The domestic market is expected to add 240GW in 2024, with a steady growth trajectory despite potential short-term bottlenecks due to grid absorption issues [14] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges in the silicon material sector? - The company is monitoring the price trends closely and is prepared to adjust production levels in response to market conditions to mitigate profitability pressures [2] Question: What are the key technological advancements the company is focusing on? - The company is investing in N-type cell technology and perovskite materials, which are expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs significantly in the near future [2][4]