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Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2022 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AMG reported economic earnings per share of 4.21,reflectinga54.21, reflecting a 5% year-over-year growth, driven by new investment activity and share repurchases, which offset market declines and foreign exchange impacts [18][21][22] - The company expects earnings per share to grow approximately 10% in 2022, building on a 37% growth in 2021 [5][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alternatives businesses reported 3 billion in net inflows, primarily from private markets fundraising at affiliates like Pantheon and Comvest [18][19] - In the liquid alternatives segment, performance remains strong, with expectations for increased client demand for differentiated return sources [19][57] - Global equities faced net outflows of 6.5billion,withredemptionsconcentratedingrowthorientedstrategies,althoughU.S.equitiesshowedlongtermperformanceresilience[20][54]MarketDataandKeyMetricsChangesNetclientcashoutflowsforthequartertotaled6.5 billion, with redemptions concentrated in growth-oriented strategies, although U.S. equities showed long-term performance resilience [20][54] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net client cash outflows for the quarter totaled 8.8 billion, with 6.5billionexcludingcertainquantitativestrategies[18]Thecompanynotedthatthemarketenvironmenthasshifted,impactingclientbehaviorandportfolioconstructionstrategies[8][10]CompanyStrategyandDevelopmentDirectionAMGsstrategyfocusesoninvestinginadiversifiedgroupofindependentmanagersacrossvariousassetclasses,enhancingearningspowerandstability[7][12]TherecentminorityinvestmentinPeppertreeCapitalManagementalignswithAMGsstrategytoincreaseparticipationinprivatemarketsandrealassets[12][13]Thecompanyemphasizesdisciplinedcapitalallocationandhasreturnedsignificantcapitaltoshareholders,repurchasingover256.5 billion excluding certain quantitative strategies [18] - The company noted that the market environment has shifted, impacting client behavior and portfolio construction strategies [8][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AMG's strategy focuses on investing in a diversified group of independent managers across various asset classes, enhancing earnings power and stability [7][12] - The recent minority investment in Peppertree Capital Management aligns with AMG's strategy to increase participation in private markets and real assets [12][13] - The company emphasizes disciplined capital allocation and has returned significant capital to shareholders, repurchasing over 25% of shares in the past three years [14][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of portfolio construction and diversification in the current market environment, which has been characterized by volatility and geopolitical risks [5][8] - The outlook remains positive, with confidence in the company's strategy and affiliates' positioning to benefit from emerging trends in active management and liquid alternatives [15][28] Other Important Information - AMG's adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was 220 million, including 23millionfromnetperformancefeeearnings[21]ThecompanyexpectsfourthquarteradjustedEBITDAtorangebetween23 million from net performance fee earnings [21] - The company expects fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA to range between 330 million and $380 million, reflecting strong net performance fee earnings [22][23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital deployment opportunities in the current environment - Management noted that the pipeline for new opportunities remains full, with a focus on high-quality independent firms and strategic partnerships [30][34] Question: Outlook for performance fees and future growth - Performance fee earnings are expected to be strong, driven by absolute return products, with increasing client demand for uncorrelated return streams [37][40] Question: Investor sentiment across asset classes - Management indicated mixed sentiment, with strong performance in U.S. equities and challenges in global equities, while private markets and liquid alternatives show strong fundraising and client interest [50][54] Question: Impact of higher interest rates on debt and investments - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a majority of fixed-rate debt, and liquidity is viewed as increasingly valuable in the current market environment [61][66] Question: Fundraising outlook for private markets - Management expects continued strong fundraising in private markets, particularly in infrastructure and real assets, while noting a shift towards quality-focused investments [71][73]