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Onto Innovation(ONTO) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter revenue reached 242million,up6242 million, up 6% sequentially and 27% year-over-year, exceeding guidance due to strong demand for advanced packaging and software services [8][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased 12% sequentially to 1.32 and up 67% year-over-year [8] - Operating cash flow was a record 65million,representing2765 million, representing 27% of revenues, with a significant improvement in cash generation compared to the previous year [8][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty device and advanced packaging revenue grew 3% sequentially to a record 164 million, accounting for 68% of total revenue [9] - Advanced nodes revenue increased 21% over Q1 to 32million,representing1332 million, representing 13% of total revenue [9] - Software and services revenue was 46 million, up 6% over Q1, making up 19% of total revenue [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The advanced packaging market, particularly driven by AI packaging, accounted for over half of the revenue in specialty device and advanced packaging markets [4] - Orders from logic customers represented nearly half of the revenue from advanced node customers, indicating strong demand in this segment [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding capabilities in advanced packaging and advanced nodes, with expectations of continued growth in these areas [12][13] - New product introductions, such as a 3D bump metrology sensor, are aimed at addressing the evolving needs of the market [5] - The company anticipates further growth in advanced nodes driven by increasing orders for memory and gate-all-around logic applications [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the second half of 2024, expecting revenue to be 5% to 10% stronger than the first half [13] - The company is encouraged by the demand for AI packaging and the expected increase in HBM content for AI processors [13] - Management noted that supply constraints are still impacting some customers, but overall demand remains strong [15] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with cash and short-term investments of 786millionandplanstoreduceinventorylevelsfurther[10]Avolumepurchasingagreementworthover786 million and plans to reduce inventory levels further [10] - A volume purchasing agreement worth over 300 million was closed with two customers, covering AI packaging and gate-all-around investments through 2025 [13][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: What improved in the outlook for advanced packaging? - Management clarified that the previous pause in AI packaging was specific to a few customers, while overall advanced packaging is expected to grow sequentially [15] Question: How is the 300millionvolumepurchasingagreementsplitamongcustomers?Theadvancedpackagingportionislarger,withmostrevenuerecognitionexpectedtooccurin2025[16][18]Question:WhatimpactdoreducedCapExplansfromanIDMcustomerhave?Managementremainsoptimistic,expectingthatthefocuswillshifttoleadingedgetechnologies,potentiallybenefitingthecompany[22]Question:WhatisdrivingthedeltabetweenAIpackagingandoveralladvancedpackaginggrowth?ManagementnotedthatOSATsarestartingtospendmore,contributingtooveralladvancedpackaginggrowthdespiteapauseinAIspecificspending[23]Question:WhatistheexpecteddeclineinAIpackagingrevenues?Managementestimatedanaggregatedeclineofaround10300 million volume purchasing agreement split among customers? - The advanced packaging portion is larger, with most revenue recognition expected to occur in 2025 [16][18] Question: What impact do reduced CapEx plans from an IDM customer have? - Management remains optimistic, expecting that the focus will shift to leading-edge technologies, potentially benefiting the company [22] Question: What is driving the delta between AI packaging and overall advanced packaging growth? - Management noted that OSATs are starting to spend more, contributing to overall advanced packaging growth despite a pause in AI-specific spending [23] Question: What is the expected decline in AI packaging revenues? - Management estimated an aggregate decline of around 10% to 15% in AI packaging revenues from the first half to the second half of the year [24] Question: How is the gross margin improvement being driven? - Management indicated that improvements in manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies are contributing to the gross margin increase [25] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding China exposure? - Management expects second half revenue from China to be up over the first half, focusing on high-end applications despite local competition [40][41] Question: When will shipments related to the 300 million VPA begin? - Initial shipments are expected in the second half of the year, with the bulk occurring throughout 2025 [42] Question: Where has the company gained the most market share? - The company has maintained a high share in AI packaging and has seen increases in adoption of its Iris planar films for gate-all-around applications [45]