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Optical Networking Call Series_ Accelink_ Optical transceiver supply lagging vs. demand; competition dynamics a key to watch
TWOAtwo(TWOA) Capgemini·2024-11-18 03:33

Summary of Accelink's Optical Networking Call Industry Overview - Industry: Optical Networking - Company: Accelink Technologies, a major transceiver manufacturer focusing on the Chinese domestic market Key Points 1. Supply Constraints: EML (Electro-absorption Modulated Laser) supplies will remain tight into 2025, impacting transceiver shipments [2][4] 2. Demand Dynamics: The demand for transceivers in China is strong, particularly for 400G products, which are a generation behind the mainstream products in North America [1][4] 3. Shipment Lag: Current shipments are lagging behind demand due to component supply constraints, leading to a portion of the demand in 2024 being pushed into 2025 [1][4] 4. Production Capacity: Accelink has established a new facility with equipment installed in July 2024, aiming for a production capacity of a few hundred thousand units per month, but is hindered by component supply issues [3] 5. Market Competition: Competition in the Chinese transceiver market is expected to intensify as suppliers expand their capacities, which may lead to pricing declines [4][6] 6. Product Demand: The construction of 400G long-haul optical networks by Chinese telecom operators is expected to increase demand for Accelink's products, including fiber amplifiers and coherent transceivers [7] 7. Peer Comparison: Accelink's insights on demand strength and EML supply tightness align with those of HG Tech, a close peer, but the intensifying competition poses a risk [8] Additional Insights - Future Outlook: Accelink anticipates that the demand for transceivers will continue to grow into 2025, despite current shipment challenges [4] - Investment Implications: The findings suggest potential investment opportunities in companies like HG Tech, which are also involved in the optical transceiver market [8][9] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the call regarding Accelink's position in the optical networking industry, highlighting both opportunities and risks associated with supply constraints and competitive dynamics.