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“谷子经济”强势出圈,投资机会在哪里
经济学人·2024-12-23 17:23

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the "stock economy" (股资经济) and its relationship with the gaming sector, focusing on investment opportunities and trends leading up to 2025 [1][2][3]. Core Concepts and Arguments - Stock Economy Definition: The stock economy is defined as a phenomenon emerging from the "二次元" (2D) culture, which includes anime, manga, and gaming, leading to the creation of merchandise such as badges, posters, and figurines [2][3]. - Target Audience: The primary consumers of this economy are identified as Generation Z (Z世代), who are driving the demand for these products through their unique consumption behaviors and cultural engagement [5][6]. - Market Growth: The market for 2D-related products has shown significant growth, with the overall industry size projected to increase from 221.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 590 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% [9][10]. - Sales Performance: Specific products, such as badges from popular games like "Genshin Impact," have seen sales exceeding 500,000 units during promotional events, indicating strong consumer interest [4][10]. Investment Opportunities - Emerging Trends: The stock economy is gaining traction due to the increasing popularity of 2D culture and the unique consumption patterns of younger generations, particularly in urban areas [7][8]. - Retail Expansion: There is a notable increase in the number of retail outlets dedicated to 2D merchandise, with over 300 stores in major cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen, indicating a robust retail environment [12][13]. - Company Performance: Companies like Pop Mart have reported significant revenue growth, with a 120% increase in income year-over-year, showcasing the potential for investment in firms that effectively leverage popular IPs [13][14]. Potential Risks and Challenges - Market Saturation: The stock economy is still in its early stages in China, with many domestic IPs lacking the influence of established international brands, which may limit growth potential [7][8]. - Consumer Behavior: The reliance on specific consumer demographics, such as Generation Z, may pose risks if their preferences shift or if market dynamics change [5][6]. Additional Insights - Cultural Significance: The stock economy not only serves as a commercial venture but also fulfills emotional and social needs for consumers, allowing them to express their identities and connect with like-minded communities [6][7]. - Investment Strategy: For investors, focusing on indices related to the stock economy, such as those covering animation and gaming sectors, may provide a strategic entry point into this emerging market [19][20]. Conclusion - The stock economy, particularly in relation to the gaming industry, presents a promising investment landscape characterized by rapid growth and evolving consumer behaviors. However, potential investors should remain aware of market dynamics and consumer trends to navigate this space effectively [24][25].