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Banco Santander(SAN) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a record profit of €12.6 billion, supported by strong revenue growth and an increase of 8 million customers [9][11] - Revenue growth was reported at 10% in constant euros, with fee income up 11% [12][10] - The return on tangible equity (RoTE) increased to 16.3%, and the capital ratio reached an all-time high of 12.8% [10][11][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail and Consumer businesses showed double-digit growth, contributing significantly to net interest income (NII) [41][50] - Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB) revenues grew by 14%, while Wealth revenues increased by 15% [41][24] - Payments volume rose by 11%, with a target EBITDA margin close to 30% for 2025 [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market is expected to be a major contributor to earnings growth in 2025, with corporate banking fees increasing by 21% [24][100] - The company noted that higher interest rates benefit the retail franchise in Europe, while other markets may perform better with lower rates [16][41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on becoming the best open financial services platform, leveraging its global scale and local leadership [29][30] - The ONE Transformation initiative aims to simplify operations and improve efficiency, with expectations of continued cost reductions and revenue growth [10][46] - The company plans to distribute €10 billion in share buybacks to shareholders for 2025 and 2026, reflecting strong capital generation [64][66] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates a challenging macro environment in 2025, including lower euro rates and potential volatility [61][62] - The outlook for 2025 includes stable revenue expectations around €62 billion, with a focus on reducing costs in absolute terms [62][63] - The company remains confident in achieving or exceeding its financial targets set in 2023 [59][60] Other Important Information - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 41.8%, the best in 15 years, with expectations for further improvements [48][49] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 3.05%, reflecting stable credit quality across the footprint [50][51] Q&A Session Summary Question: Trade-offs between organic and inorganic growth - Management prioritizes profitable organic growth, followed by ordinary dividends and share buybacks, with inorganic growth being complementary to strategic aims [71][75] Question: Cost-to-income improvement potential - The ONE Transformation initiative has significant upside potential, especially in retail and consumer areas, which represent 70% of costs [77][78] Question: UK market sustainability - The UK retail business is expected to perform well, with asset quality remaining resilient and improvements from the ONE Transformation [94][96] Question: U.S. market contribution to earnings growth - The U.S. is expected to be a significant contributor to earnings growth, with a focus on consumer banking and corporate investment banking [100][102] Question: Capital distribution and CET1 target - The CET1 target for 2025 is set at 13%, with excess capital being returned to shareholders through buybacks and dividends [113][117]