大商股份20250218

Summary of Dashiang Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Dashiang Co., Ltd. is a leading offline retail company in Northeast China, primarily engaged in department stores, supermarkets, and electronics [3][5]. Key Points and Arguments Investment Value - Dashiang is currently undervalued with a PE ratio of 12-13 times for 2024, expecting a net profit of approximately 600 million yuan, a nearly 20% year-on-year increase [3][10]. - For 2025, the net profit is projected to grow by about 10% to over 650 million yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of less than 12 times. After deducting 3.5 billion yuan in cash, the PE ratio drops to around 6 times [3][10]. - The company's PB ratio is approximately 0.85, indicating a low valuation compared to its net asset value of about 9 billion yuan [3][10]. Management Changes - The recent management change, with Chen Deli as the new general manager, is expected to enhance governance and operational efficiency, acting as a catalyst for positive transformation [4][6]. Business Structure - Dashiang operates primarily in three segments: department stores, supermarkets, and electronics, with department stores being the main profit source [5][8]. - The company owns two major department store brands, Maike and Xinmate, primarily located in Northeast China, contributing to stable overall profitability [5][8]. Competitive Advantage - The competitive landscape in Northeast China is relatively mild, allowing Dashiang to leverage its strong foundation and bargaining power, achieving a commission rate of around 20%, higher than the industry average [5][7]. - Approximately 70% of Dashiang's property is self-owned, with a total retail space of about 3.3 million square meters, of which 1.7 million square meters are self-owned, mainly in department stores [7][8]. Future Development Strategy - Dashiang plans to enhance existing stores and improve management through brand upgrades and the introduction of higher-priced brands to increase revenue and rental levels [9][10]. - The company aims to learn from successful cases to transform underperforming stores, targeting a profit of 650 million yuan in 2025 and over 700 million yuan in 2026 [9][10]. Financial Outlook - Profit forecasts indicate a net profit of nearly 600 million yuan in 2024, 650 million yuan in 2025, and over 700 million yuan in 2026, suggesting strong investment appeal [10][11]. - The historical dividend payout ratio has been around 30%, with a potential dividend yield of 2.5% to 3%, indicating room for future increases in dividends [11]. Overall Investment Evaluation - Dashiang is considered a compelling investment target due to its undervaluation and attractive growth prospects within the retail sector [12].