Summary of China Jushi Conference Call Company Overview - Company: China Jushi - Industry: Glass Fiber Industry Key Points Impact of US Tariffs - The direct impact of US tariffs on China Jushi's performance is minimal, with exports accounting for 25% of total sales in 2024, and only 5% to 6% of overall demand being affected by tariffs [3][5] - The company expects a potential performance impact of approximately 100 million yuan if tariff costs are shared equally between Jushi and overseas customers [3] - Jushi plans to leverage its Egyptian facility to mitigate tariff impacts, as it is more economically viable to export from Egypt to the US [3][5] Market Performance and Trends - The glass fiber market showed strong performance in Q1 2025 due to several factors, including no inventory accumulation during the Spring Festival and clear demand for wind power installations [6] - The market faces uncertainties in H2 2025, particularly from wind power demand and export challenges due to US tariffs [7] Wind Power Fiber Market - The wind power fiber market is highly concentrated, with a CR3 of 100%, dominated by Jushi, SMIC, and OC [8] - Jushi has made significant breakthroughs in this sector and can adjust production schedules effectively [8] Export Expectations - Export growth is expected to slow to single digits in 2025, down from 10%-13% in 2024, with wind power and new energy vehicles being the main export products [9] European Infrastructure Demand - Increased infrastructure demand in Europe, driven by significant investment plans from Germany and the EU, is expected to boost demand for excavation equipment [10] - Jushi has a market exposure of approximately 12%-13% in Europe, with its Egyptian plant contributing about 20% to total profits [10] Inventory and Price Trends - As of March 2025, glass fiber inventory decreased to 797,000 tons, indicating a healthy market environment with limited supply pressure [11] - The net profit per ton is expected to exceed 800 yuan for the year, supported by stable demand and limited supply [11] Electronic Fabric Market - The production of electronic fabric is projected to increase from 875 million meters last year to between 900 million and 1.1 billion meters this year, with price increases expected due to limited supply [12] Overall Performance Expectations - For 2025, Jushi anticipates total revenue of 3.2 to 3.3 billion yuan, driven by stable demand and potential price increases in high-end products [13]
中国巨石20250408