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Southern Company(SO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
SOSouthern Company(SO)2025-05-01 17:00

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EPS of 1.23forQ12025,whichis1.23 for Q1 2025, which is 0.02 higher than Q1 2024 and 0.03aboveestimates[8]AdjustedEPSestimateforQ22025is0.03 above estimates [8] - Adjusted EPS estimate for Q2 2025 is 0.85 per share, reflecting a significant downside compared to Q2 2024 [10][21] - Weather-related impacts contributed 0.08toyearoveryearperformanceduetoamilderQ12024andaslightlycolderQ12025[9]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesRetailelectricitysalesweredown0.30.08 to year-over-year performance due to a milder Q1 2024 and a slightly colder Q1 2025 [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail electricity sales were down 0.3% year-over-year, primarily due to usage impacts on residential customers, partially offset by customer additions [10] - Data center sales increased by 11% year-over-year, while office buildings and the transportation sector saw increases of 4% each [11] - The company has a large load pipeline of over 50 gigawatts of potential incremental load by the mid-2030s, with 10 gigawatts already committed [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Economic development activity in the Southeast was robust, with over 11 billion in capital investment and more than 4,000 new jobs announced [11] - Unemployment rates and population growth in the service territories are better than national averages, indicating a strong economic position [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution and maintaining affordability while navigating potential tariff impacts, estimating a 1% to 3% increase in costs [5][6] - Ongoing investments in existing fleet and modernization of facilities are part of the 2025 integrated resource plan [12] - The company aims to maintain strong investment-grade credit ratings while addressing $4 billion in equity needs over five years [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the financial outlook, emphasizing the resilience of the Southeast economy and customer growth in service territories [4][6] - The company does not expect a material impact from tariffs on its forecast and remains focused on disciplined execution [6] - Management highlighted the importance of regulatory frameworks and customer-centric business models in supporting reliable and affordable energy [7] Other Important Information - The board approved an 8¢ per share increase in the annual common dividend, marking the 24th consecutive annual increase [17] - The company is actively engaging with policymakers regarding tax credits and their benefits to customers [60] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Q2 EPS guidance - Management explained that the guidance reflects significant weather differentials and timing of transactions within the Georgia transmission system [21][22] Question: Update on Georgia Power load pipeline - The pipeline totals about 52 gigawatts, with 4 gigawatts contracted and 8 gigawatts committed, showing increased near-term interest [27][28] Question: Changes in data center activity following rate structure modifications - Management noted that it is early to assess customer reactions to the new tariff framework, but growth in the pipeline continues [78][81] Question: Feedback on RFPs and technology preferences - Management stated that they cannot disclose specifics about the RFP process but emphasized the all-source nature of the RFPs [84][86] Question: Dividend policy and future increases - Management indicated that dividend growth may remain modest due to significant financing needs, with reevaluation possible if capital opportunities change [111]