Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU)2025-05-02 15:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales for Q1 2025 were 427 million in the same period last year, primarily due to unfavorable foreign exchange and lower volumes [15][24] - Adjusted EBITDA was 80 million, or 18.8% in the prior period, reflecting improved operational efficiency [16][25] - Adjusted earnings per share increased to 0.60 last year, while adjusted free cash flow improved to 13 million in the prior year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to focus on aftermarket sales, which account for over 80% of revenue, demonstrating resilience despite market challenges [9] - The first fit market is expected to decline, with heavy-duty market projections down 5% to 15% and medium-duty down 10% to 20% [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The overall market outlook remains uncertain, with expectations for total company revenue in 2025 to be flat to up 4% compared to the prior year, with global sales projected between 1.735 billion [22] - The impact of tariffs is estimated to contribute approximately 1.5% to pricing, with additional pricing actions expected to offset input costs [19][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is executing a four-pillar growth strategy focused on growing share in first fit, accelerating aftermarket growth, transforming the supply chain, and expanding into industrial filtration through acquisitions [10][12][14] - The operational separation from Cummins is progressing, with expectations to complete remaining activities in 2025 [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the evolving tariff environment, although the overall impact on end markets remains unclear [16][17] - The company anticipates a flat year-over-year performance in aftermarket revenue, with pricing expected to provide a 3.2% increase [19][20] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased 30 million since the program's announcement, with $120 million remaining under board authorization [5] - The effective tax rate for Q1 2025 was 21.3%, a decrease from 22% in the previous year, driven by a change in the mix of earnings among tax jurisdictions [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Potential manufacturing transitions due to tariffs - Management indicated that while they are monitoring the tariff situation closely, no long-term manufacturing changes are currently planned [33][34] Question: M&A opportunities in the industrial filtration market - Management acknowledged that while the market is challenging, they remain focused on evaluating M&A targets as part of their growth strategy [36] Question: Revenue outlook amidst market changes - Management confirmed that the revenue outlook remains near the midpoint of their guidance, despite softening market conditions [41][42] Question: Pricing expectations for the year - Management expects pricing to ramp up throughout the year, with a gradual increase leading to the anticipated 3.2% for the full year [48] Question: Impact of potential regulatory changes on emissions - Management is closely monitoring EPA reviews and believes they are well-positioned to support customers regardless of regulatory outcomes [70][71]