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Evolent Health(EVH) - 2024 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics - Revenue for Q1 2024 totaled 639.7million,a49.6639.7 million, a 49.6% year-over-year growth, exceeding the top end of the Q1 revenue guide of 610 million by almost 30million[143]AdjustedEBITDAforQ1was30 million [143] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was 54.1 million, in line with the midpoint of the guidance [118] - The company raised the midpoint of its 2024 revenue guidance by 115millionandreiterateditsadjustedEBITDAoutlookof115 million and reiterated its adjusted EBITDA outlook of 235 million to 265million[33]Q1grossmarginwas16.4265 million [33] - Q1 gross margin was 16.4%, down 185 basis points sequentially versus Q4, driven by growth in performance suite products and higher unit medical expenses [156] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - The company signed seven new revenue agreements year-to-date, including three in Q1, with two being with Molina and one with a long-standing Medicaid health plan on the East Coast [4][23][31] - The performance suite risk business saw increased utilization in Q1, with lower data visibility than typical for this point in the year [6] - The company launched 25 Specialty Go Lives across multiple health plan customers for the performance suite and the technology and services suite [4] - The technology and services suite generated Q1 revenue of 89 million, representing underlying year-over-year growth of nearly 25% [10] Market Data and Key Metrics - The company's specialty care offerings now account for 91% of total revenue, up from 60% three years ago, with specialty care revenue growing approximately 69% year-over-year [139] - The company's presence with Molina will increase to nine states after the implementation of new solutions in South Carolina and Mississippi [29] - The company's average unique members in Q1 were 39.9 million, net of Medicaid redeterminations, with total product members eclipsing 80.6 million [28] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focused on organic growth, expanding profitability, and disciplined capital allocation, with a strong pipeline of new revenue agreements and successful go-lives [23][25] - The company is investing in artificial intelligence and patient navigation solutions to drive efficiency and improve care quality [24][141] - The company believes that the rising utilization environment creates significant opportunities for innovative solutions in specialty care management [121] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident in the company's ability to drive long-term value creation, citing strong customer confidence and the ability to innovate and execute [9] - The company is taking a conservative approach to Q2 adjusted EBITDA guidance, with a range of 48millionto48 million to 62 million, due to lower claims visibility and elevated utilization indicators [13][126] - Management reiterated the 2024 exit run rate adjusted EBITDA target of 300millionandexpectstoachieve300 million and expects to achieve 150 million in cash flow from operations for the year [127][160] Other Important Information - The company successfully wound down the NIA transition services agreement in March, marking an important step towards achieving 15millionofNIAcostsynergies[119]ThecompanyannouncedastrategicpartnershipwithCareology,aUKbaseddigitalcancercareplatform,toenhancepatientnavigationandcarequality[141]ThecompanyexpectstoimplementnewsolutionsinSouthCarolinaandMississippibyQ42024,contributingtothe15 million of NIA cost synergies [119] - The company announced a strategic partnership with Careology, a UK-based digital cancer care platform, to enhance patient navigation and care quality [141] - The company expects to implement new solutions in South Carolina and Mississippi by Q4 2024, contributing to the 4 million quarterly adjusted EBITDA earnings target [153] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the macro payer landscape impacting the company's business? [44] - Answer: The macro payer landscape is creating significant pressure on health plans, driving increased interest in the company's specialty management solutions. This has added more opportunities to the sales funnel but may extend the sales cycle in some cases [44][18] Question: Can you provide more details on the contractual protections and rate adjustments? [131] - Answer: Contractual protections allow for rate adjustments based on population changes, with a 3 to 12-month lag. These adjustments are typically retrospective and vary by contract, depending on patient needs and contract structure [20][41] Question: How does the company view the impact of Medicaid redeterminations? [68] - Answer: Medicaid redeterminations have created a cumulative headwind of 5.5millionperquartertoadjustedEBITDA,consistentwithexpectations.Theprocessisestimatedtobeover805.5 million per quarter to adjusted EBITDA, consistent with expectations. The process is estimated to be over 80% complete as of Q1 2024 [123][68] Question: What is the outlook for gross margins and profitability? [75] - Answer: Gross margins are impacted by the mix between performance suite and tech and services products, with performance suite growth driving lower margins. The company expects gross margins to improve as new go-lives mature and cost efficiencies are realized [75][76] Question: How does the company plan to achieve its 300 million exit run rate adjusted EBITDA target? [82] - Answer: The company plans to achieve this target through performance suite maturation, new growth, and earnings from NIA and IPG. The company is on track to realize 8.75millioninquarterlyNIAsynergiesbyyearend[82][159]Question:Whatisthecompanyscashflowoutlookfor2024?[92]Answer:Thecompanyreaffirmeditsexpectationof8.75 million in quarterly NIA synergies by year-end [82][159] Question: What is the company's cash flow outlook for 2024? [92] - Answer: The company reaffirmed its expectation of 150 million or more in operating cash flow for the year, with Q1 in line with expectations and cash flow expected to build across the year [83][160]