还点研究报告 会用李业 | : 力 公司点开 2024 牛 07 A 26 A 买入 (上调) 省委会长寿 2 $1350524060004 zhahaolhuayuanstock.com 对联宁 $1350523120003 l i ux i aon i ng thuayuans tock. com आ 似好 $1350524070004 zoupe i xuan01 inuayuanstock. com II X 不 $1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 坏充丈朴 RAY 7日本日: 40% ess CP X X X X 自然事免 龙源电力 (0916.HK) 获国有险资增持举牌 看好新能源运营商长期价值 校友友友： > 事件： 据香港联交所消息， 7 月 22 日，瑞众人寿保险有限责任公司（简称"瑞众保险"） 增 持龙源电力（00916）526 万股，每股作价 7.45 港元，总金额约 3919 万港元，增持后持股 约 1.66 亿股，持股比例 5%， v 新锐国有保险公司增持公司股份至 5%，公司价值获得深度认可，根据公开资料，瑞众保险成 立于 2023 ...

公司点评 证券研究报告 公用事业|电力 证券分析师 查浩 S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 邹佩轩 S1350524070004 zoupeixuan01@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 研究支持 联系人 市场表现： 相关研究 2024 年 07 月 26 日 龙源电力 (0916.HK) 买入（上调） ——获国有险资增持举牌 看好新能源运营商长期价值 投资要点： ➢ 事件：据香港联交所消息，7 月 22 日，瑞众人寿保险有限责任公司（简称"瑞众保险"）增 持龙源电力（00916）526 万股，每股作价 7.45 港元，总金额约 3919 万港元，增持后持股 约 1.66 亿股，持股比例 5%。 ➢ 新锐国有保险公司增持公司股份至 5%，公司价值获得深度认可。根据公开资料，瑞众保险成 立于 2023 年 6 月，是一家国有制全国性人寿保险公司，九州启航（北京）股权投资基金（有 ...

研究报告 Research Report [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$7.16 目标价 HK$10.81 HTI ESG 4.4-3.3-3.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$117.10bn / US$15.00bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$46.97mn 发行股票数目 3,318mn 自由流通股 (%) 100% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$8.13-HK$4.42 注:现价 HK$7.16 为 2024 年 7 月 12 日收盘价 40 60 80 100 120 Price Return MSCI China Jul-23 Nov-23 Mar-24 Volume 资料来源: Factset 1mth 3mth 12mth 绝对值 -4.9% 25.3% -6.1% 绝对值(美元) -4.8% 25.7% -5.8% 相对 MSCI China -3.9% 18.4% -1.8% [Tabl ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 新能源 2024 年 7 月 2 日 收盘价 目标价 潜在涨幅 港元 7.49 港元 9.03 +20.6% 龙源电力 (916 HK) 1 年股价表现 7/23 11/23 3/24 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10%916 HK 恒生指数 资料来源: FactSet 开展收购母公司新能源资产,应支持估值提升 个股评级 买入 | 股份资料 | | |------------------------|-----------| | 52 周高位 (港元 ) | 8.24 | | 52 周低位 (港元 ) | 4.42 | | 市值 ( 百万港元 ) | 24,850.92 | | 日均成交量 (百万) | 76.77 | | 年初至今变化 (%) | 26.52 | | 200 天平均价 (港元 ) | 5.91 | | | | 财务数据一览 | 年结 12月31 日 | 2022 | 2023 | 2025E | 2026E | | |--------------------------------|----------|----------|------- ...

买入 母公司资产注入启动,利好公司盈利估值双提升 龙源电力(0916.HK) 2024-07-02 星期二 | 目标价: | 10.36 港元 | |-------------|----------------| | 现 价: | 7.02 港元 | | 预计升幅 : | 48% | 投资要点 ➢ 母公司分批注入新能源资产,利好公司盈利估值双提升: | 重要数据 | | |-----------------------------------------|------------| | 日期 | 2024-06-28 | | 收盘价(港元) | 7.02 | | 总股本(百万股) | 8,360 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 1,220 | | 净资产(百万元) | 82,026 | | 总资产(百万元) | 239,915 | | 52 周高低(港元) | 8.13/4.23 | | 每股净资产(港元) | 9.23 | | 数据来源: Wind 、国元证券经纪(香港)整理 | | 公司公告,近期接到控股股东国家能源集团通知,为落实《国家能源投 资集团有限责任公司关于避免与龙源电力集团股份有限公司同业竞争 ...

[Tabl 2024e_StockInfo 年 06 月 24 日] 证券研究报告•公司研究报告 买入 (首次) 当前价:7.07 港元 龙源电力(0916.HK)公用事业 目标价:8.52 港元 风电龙头装机高增,"以大代小"提升效率 推荐逻辑:1)国务院多举措助力绿电消纳,未来价格机制完善有望保证绿电企 业合理收益;2)资源储备充足,2024-2025 年或迎来投产高峰,分别投产 7.5GW 和 11.5GW,国能集团 21.4GW 新能源资产有望注入;3)发电量平稳增长,"以 大代小"有利于提升运营效率。 多举措助力绿电消纳,价格机制有望完善。国务院印发《2024-2025 年节能降 碳行动方案》,采取多项举措助力绿电消纳。近年来特高压建设提速,预计 2024 年线路长度超过 5万公里,储能装机容量高增,政策目标到 2027年抽蓄投运规 模达到 8000万千瓦以上,需求侧响应能力达到最大负荷的 5%以上,消纳能力 持续改善。新能源入市交易大势所趋,价格机制有望进一步完善,以保障绿电 企业合理收益。同时绿电环境价值逐步凸显,国家电网公司经营区成交绿电的 环境溢价呈现逐年提升。 装机量保持高增,资源分布优质 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Longyuan Power with an "Outperform" rating [1] Core Views - Longyuan Power is a pioneer in China's new energy development and is dual-listed on A+H markets [3] - The company has a total installed capacity of 35,590 MW as of December 2023, with wind power accounting for 27,750 MW, solar for 5,960 MW, and thermal power for 1,875 MW [3] - The company plans to add 30,000 MW of new energy capacity during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, excluding assets to be injected by the parent company [3] - The parent company, China Energy Group, has committed to injecting 21,406.7 MW of wind power assets into Longyuan Power, which will increase its installed capacity by approximately 60% [14] - The company's profitability has been stable, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 6.249 billion yuan in 2023, a 22.27% YoY increase [14] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders (excluding perpetual bond interest) for 2024-2026 to be 6.730 billion, 7.439 billion, and 8.089 billion yuan, respectively [6] - The current H-share price corresponds to a PE ratio of 8x, 7x, and 6x for 2024-2026 [6] - The company is expected to add 2,000 MW of wind power and 3,000 MW of solar power annually from 2024 to 2026 [7] Industry Analysis - The new energy sector faces challenges such as subsidy delays, grid absorption pressure, and spot market electricity price risks [7] - However, the long-term growth potential of the sector remains intact, driven by China's dual-carbon strategy [7] - The industry is expected to transition from scale expansion to high-quality development, with leading companies like Longyuan Power benefiting from this shift [20] Key Investment Highlights - Longyuan Power is a benchmark company in the green power sector, with its stock performance closely tied to the industry's development [7] - The company's early-stage projects have a higher proportion of "certified" projects, which are less likely to face subsidy recovery issues [17] - The company's receivable recovery situation is better than its peers, with significant improvement in 2022 [16] Valuation and Peer Comparison - The company's A-share valuation has remained stable, with a PB ratio consistently above 2x [15] - The H-share valuation is at a historical low, with a PB ratio of only 0.65x [15] - Compared to peers like China Three Gorges Renewables, Jiaze New Energy, and Datang New Energy, Longyuan Power is considered a leading company in the green power sector [25]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Longyuan Power (0916.HK) as a first coverage, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the renewable energy sector [3][6]. Core Insights - Longyuan Power is recognized as a pioneer in China's renewable energy development, being the first A+H dual-listed renewable energy platform in the country. The company has a total installed capacity of 35.59 million kilowatts as of December 2023, with wind power accounting for 27.75 million kilowatts, solar power for 5.96 million kilowatts, and thermal power for 1.875 million kilowatts [3][12]. - The company plans to add 30 million kilowatts of new renewable energy capacity during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with a commitment from the State Energy Group to inject additional wind power assets totaling 21.41 million kilowatts into Longyuan Power [3][14]. - The report highlights that accounts receivable are a key constraint on the valuation expansion of green power companies, particularly in the Hong Kong market, with Longyuan Power's accounts receivable reaching 35.7 billion yuan by the end of 2023 [3][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Pioneer in Renewable Energy Development - Longyuan Power has played a significant role in the history of wind power development in China, having entered the wind power operation industry in 1999 and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2009. The company achieved A+H dual listing by merging with ST Ping Energy in 2022 [3][12]. 2. Long-term Growth Potential - The company aims to increase its renewable energy capacity by 30 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with the State Energy Group's commitment to inject additional assets confirming Longyuan's strategic importance in the group's renewable energy strategy [3][14]. 3. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts that Longyuan Power's net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders will be 6.73 billion, 7.44 billion, and 8.09 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 8, 7, and 6 for the respective years [3][24].

龙源电力（0916） 更新报告 买入 2024年5月14日 风电盈利平稳增长， “以大代小”蓄势待发 陈晓霞  2023 年业绩平稳增长：2023 年公司实现收入 376 亿人民币, 受煤炭销售 + 852-25321956 量与价格下行影响，同比减少 5.6%。实现归母利润 62 亿元，同比增长 xx.chen@firstshanghai.com.hk 26.5%。由于售电补贴款回款减少，2023 年经营活动的现金流入净额为 138.84 亿元，同比减少 53%。公司拟派息每股 0.2225 元人民币，分红比例 李羚玮 提升至30%。 + 852-25321539 David.li@firstshanghai.com.hk  弃电和市场化交易提升拖累短期业绩：公司 2024 年一季度新增新能源 装机562MW。截至3月底，公司控股风电装机达到27.78GW，同比增长6%， 主要数据 光伏和其他可再生能源装机 6.5GW，同比增长 114%。受市场化交易规模扩 行业 电力 大以及售电结构变化的影响，公司一季度风电售电收入同比减少 4.7%。受 新能源装机加速导致弃电率有所上升以及风速的影响，公司一季度风电 ...

股 票 研 [Table_Title] Peter Shao 邵俊樨 Company Report: Longyuan Power (00916 HK) 究 (852) 2509 5464 公司报告： 龙源电力 (00916 HK) peter.shao@gtjas.com.hk 30 April 2024 风[Ta电ble短_S期um承mar压y] ；远期成长可期  维持“买入”：考虑到龙源电力（“公司”）的丰富项目储备和远期增长潜力， 公 我们维持其2024-2026年每股盈利预测分别为人民币0.95元/ 人民币1.13元/ [RTaabtlien_gR:a nk] Buy 司 人民币1.28元。基于7.5倍2024年市盈率，我们的目标价现为7.75港元。 Maintained 报  2024年第一季度业绩符合预期：公司公布2024年第一季度营收为人民币98.8 评级： 买入 (维持) 告 亿元，同比增长0.1%，股东净利为人民币23.9亿元，同比增长2.5%（基于中 国会计准则）。 [6T-a1b8lem_ PTrPic e目] 标价: HK$7.75  2024年第一季度业绩增长主要受益于投资收 ...