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波司登(03998):动态点评报告:品牌创新驱动增长,期待春夏系列表现
国海证券· 2025-04-24 08:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][12]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on brand innovation to drive growth, with expectations for strong performance in the Spring/Summer collection [3][8]. - The company has been recognized for its sustainable practices, being included in the "Sustainable Development Yearbook (China Edition) 2025" by S&P Global, highlighting its leadership in ESG [5][8]. - The company is actively upgrading its channels and innovating its products, which is expected to enhance brand growth and sales performance [8][11]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 255.6 billion, RMB 288.3 billion, and RMB 325.0 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with net profits of RMB 34.98 billion, RMB 39.88 billion, and RMB 45.20 billion [10][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from RMB 0.30 in FY2025 to RMB 0.39 in FY2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [10][11]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 23% in FY2025 to 24% in FY2026 and FY2027 [10][11]. Market Performance - As of April 23, 2025, the company's stock price is HKD 3.95, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 45.57 billion [4][12]. - The stock has shown a relative performance of -1.0% over the last month, 7.6% over the last three months, and -6.0% over the last year compared to the Hang Seng Index [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its product offerings with the launch of the 2025 Spring/Summer collection, which includes innovative materials and designs aimed at meeting diverse consumer needs [8][11]. - The company has initiated a stock buyback program, demonstrating management's confidence in the company's future prospects, with a total of 69.21 million shares repurchased, representing 0.6% of total shares [9][11].
波司登(03998.HK)4月17日回购1947.71万港元,年内累计回购2.60亿港元
证券时报网· 2025-04-17 13:26
(文章来源:证券时报网) | 2025.01.17 | 123.00 | 3.660 | 3.580 | 445.36 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.01.16 | 300.00 | 3.690 | 3.610 | 1098.54 | | 2025.01.15 | 211.60 | 3.660 | 3.610 | 770.30 | 注:本文系新闻报道,不构成投资建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 证券时报·数据宝统计,波司登在港交所公告显示,4月17日以每股3.850港元至3.930港元的价格回购 500.00万股,回购金额达1947.71万港元。该股当日收盘价3.900港元,上涨1.56%,全天成交额9752.25 万港元。 今年以来该股累计进行23次回购,合计回购6920.60万股,累计回购金额2.60亿港元。(数据宝) 波司登回购明细 | 日期 | 回购股数(万股) | 回购最高价(港元) | 回购最低价(港元) | 回购金额(万港元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.04.17 | 500.00 | 3. ...
波司登(03998):品牌强势能,增长强韧性
长江证券· 2025-03-19 08:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is actively enhancing brand exposure through various strategic initiatives, including collaborations and fashion week events, which are expected to sustain robust growth during peak seasons [2][4]. - The acquisition of Moose Knuckles is aimed at creating a multi-brand matrix, leveraging group brand resources for accelerated growth in the Greater China region [6]. - The company is expected to achieve steady growth despite a high base in FY2025, with a projected net profit of 35 billion, 41 billion, and 46 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 13, 11, and 10 [6][8]. Summary by Sections Brand Strategy - The company has launched several brand-building activities, including the "Tribute to Ice and Snow" strategy, which aims to enhance brand strength and visibility [2][4]. - The introduction of advanced sun protection clothing and stylish designs is expected to boost brand power and sales during the spring and summer off-season [6]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue growth from 23.214 billion in FY2024 to 31.778 billion in FY2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 3.074 billion to 4.595 billion [8]. - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 38% and 44% for FY2024, followed by 11% and 15% for FY2025, indicating a strong financial outlook [8]. Market Position - The company is adjusting its product structure flexibly to maintain growth in a warm winter scenario, with a focus on quick response to sales performance [6]. - The competitive landscape is expected to improve due to conservative order placements by many domestic down jacket brands amid uncertain consumer demand [6].
波司登:暖冬背景下预计稳健增长,积极回购彰显信心-20250318
东方证券· 2025-03-17 14:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth against a backdrop of a warm winter, with active share buybacks reflecting management's confidence [3][5] - Adjustments to earnings forecasts for FY25-27 have been made, with EPS projected at 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40 RMB respectively [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY23A was 16,774 million RMB, with a projected increase to 25,545 million RMB in FY25E, reflecting a 10.0% year-on-year growth [4][8] - Operating profit is expected to rise from 2,826 million RMB in FY23A to 4,762 million RMB in FY25E, indicating an 8.3% growth [4][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 2,139 million RMB in FY23A to 3,515 million RMB in FY25E, a 14.3% increase [4][8] - The company’s gross margin is projected to remain stable around 59% over the forecast period [4][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its brand presence in Northeast China through strategic collaborations, such as the partnership with Harbin [4][5] - The opening of a new flagship store in Beijing aims to elevate brand visibility and consumer engagement [4][5] - The introduction of AI-driven product designs is expected to improve operational efficiency significantly [4][5] Valuation Metrics - The target price is set at 5.26 HKD, based on a 14x PE valuation for FY26 [1][5] - The company’s current market capitalization is approximately 48,913 million HKD [1]
波司登:暖冬背景下预计稳健增长,积极回购彰显信心-20250317
东方证券· 2025-03-17 13:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in the context of a warm winter, with a focus on brand strength and market expansion [3][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for FY25-27 have been slightly adjusted to 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40 RMB respectively, reflecting changes in revenue and expense rates [4][5] - The target price is set at 5.26 HKD, based on a 14x PE valuation for FY26 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY23A was 16,774 million RMB, with a projected growth of 10.0% for FY25E, reaching 25,545 million RMB [4][8] - Operating profit for FY23A was 2,826 million RMB, with an expected increase of 8.3% for FY25E, totaling 4,762 million RMB [4][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for FY23A was 2,139 million RMB, with a forecasted growth of 14.3% for FY25E, amounting to 3,515 million RMB [4][8] - The company has a gross margin of 59.0% and a net margin of 13.8% for FY25E [4][8] Market Strategy and Initiatives - The company is deepening its collaboration with Harbin to enhance its market presence in Northeast China [4][5] - A new concept store was opened in Beijing to elevate brand visibility and consumer engagement [4][5] - The company is leveraging digital innovations, including AI in product design, to improve operational efficiency [4][5] - The management has shown confidence through active share buybacks, totaling 5,621 million shares since January 15, 2025, amounting to 209 million HKD [4][5]
波司登(03998):暖冬背景下预计稳健增长,积极回购彰显信心
东方证券· 2025-03-17 11:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve steady growth despite a warm winter, with a projected close to 10% growth in its down jacket business for FY25 [4][5] - The target price is set at 5.26 HKD, based on a 14x PE valuation for FY26 [4][5] - The company has actively repurchased shares, reflecting management's confidence, with a total of 56.21 million shares repurchased since January 15, amounting to 209 million HKD [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY23A was 16,774 million HKD, with a projected increase to 25,545 million HKD in FY25E, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth [4][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 2,139 million HKD in FY23A to 3,515 million HKD in FY25E, representing a 14.3% increase [4][8] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40 HKD for FY25E, FY26E, and FY27E respectively [4][5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is deepening its strategic cooperation with Harbin to enhance its brand presence in Northeast China [4][5] - A new concept store was opened in Beijing, aimed at boosting brand visibility and consumer engagement [4][5] - The company is leveraging digital innovations such as AI in product design, significantly reducing development time [4][5]
波司登(03998):外部扰动下凸显韧性,提示淡季布局机会
中泰证券· 2025-03-16 02:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 10%+ in the second half of FY2025, despite challenges in the overall consumption environment [5]. - The company has shown resilience in its operations, with a focus on product innovation and brand upgrades, which are anticipated to drive sales during the off-season [5]. - The company's strategic transformation has solidified its position as an expert in down jackets, with a continued emphasis on enhancing product quality and expanding product categories [5]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: 16,774 million - 2024A: 23,214 million (growth rate: 38%) - 2025E: 25,681 million (growth rate: 11%) - 2026E: 28,930 million (growth rate: 13%) - 2027E: 32,426 million (growth rate: 12%) [2]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2023A: 2,139 million - 2024A: 3,074 million (growth rate: 44%) - 2025E: 3,521 million (growth rate: 15%) - 2026E: 4,041 million (growth rate: 15%) - 2027E: 4,562 million (growth rate: 13%) [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 0.18 - 2024A: 0.27 - 2025E: 0.30 - 2026E: 0.35 - 2027E: 0.39 [2]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - P/E: - 2024A: 14.0 - 2025E: 12.3 - 2026E: 10.7 - 2027E: 9.5 - P/B: - 2024A: 3.1 - 2025E: 2.5 - 2026E: 2.0 - 2027E: 1.7 [2][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively integrating new digital technologies with traditional business models to enhance operational efficiency and decision-making accuracy [5]. - The introduction of AI-designed products has significantly reduced the development time for new designs, showcasing the company's commitment to innovation [5]. - The company is focusing on sustainable development across its entire supply chain, achieving a leading ESG rating [5].
波司登:期待春夏户外新品-20250314
天风证券· 2025-03-13 16:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price yet to be specified [6]. Core Insights - The company is enhancing its product offerings with innovative urban light outdoor series and stylish functional jackets, catering to the diverse needs of young consumers [1]. - The brand is transitioning from being recognized as a global leader in down jackets to a comprehensive leader in the category, focusing on brand awareness and consumer perception [2]. - The company is leveraging smart logistics and inventory management to ensure efficient operations and quick response to market demands, which is a key competitive advantage [3]. - The revenue forecasts for FY25-27 have been slightly adjusted, with expected revenues of RMB 25.7 billion, RMB 28.6 billion, and RMB 32.2 billion respectively, alongside adjusted net profits and EPS figures [4]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The company is launching a new collection of light outdoor and functional jackets that balance style and protective features, appealing to urban and outdoor consumers [1]. Brand Strategy - The brand is focusing on enhancing its image as a leading down jacket expert through integrated marketing strategies and consumer engagement initiatives [2]. Supply Chain Management - The company has implemented a smart logistics system that manages inventory across various channels, ensuring high availability of popular products and quick replenishment [3]. Financial Projections - Adjustments to financial forecasts reflect a cautious outlook on the macro consumption environment, with revised revenue and profit expectations for the upcoming fiscal years [4].
波司登:期待春夏户外新品-20250313
天风证券· 2025-03-13 14:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set at 4.15 HKD, maintaining the rating despite slight adjustments to profit forecasts [6][4]. Core Insights - The company is enhancing its product offerings with a new urban light outdoor series and innovative designs in sun protection clothing, appealing to younger consumers [1]. - The brand is transitioning from being recognized as a leading down jacket brand to a comprehensive leader in the down apparel market, focusing on brand awareness and consumer engagement [2]. - The company is leveraging smart logistics and inventory management to ensure efficient operations across its distribution channels, which is a key competitive advantage in the industry [3]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The company is introducing a new urban light outdoor series and a fashionable rain jacket line that balances style and functionality, catering to diverse consumer needs [1]. Brand Strategy - The brand aims to deepen consumer recognition and reputation through integrated marketing strategies, enhancing its position as a global leader in down apparel [2]. Supply Chain Management - The company employs a smart logistics system to manage inventory across various sales channels, ensuring quick response times and high operational efficiency [3]. Financial Forecast - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY25-27 to 25.7 billion RMB, 28.6 billion RMB, and 32.2 billion RMB, with net profits projected at 3.5 billion RMB, 3.9 billion RMB, and 4.4 billion RMB respectively [4].
波司登(03998):期待春夏户外新品
天风证券· 2025-03-13 13:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price yet to be specified [6]. Core Insights - The company is enhancing its product offerings with innovative urban light outdoor series and stylish sun protection clothing, catering to the diverse needs of young consumers [1]. - The new line of jackets balances fashion and functionality, featuring water resistance, windproof, and breathability, suitable for both urban and outdoor settings [1]. - The brand is transitioning from being recognized as a global leader in down jackets to a comprehensive leader in the category, focusing on brand awareness and consumer perception [2]. - The company is leveraging smart logistics and inventory management to enhance operational efficiency and maintain a competitive edge in the industry [3]. - Adjustments to revenue forecasts have been made, with projected revenues for FY25-27 at RMB 25.7 billion, RMB 28.6 billion, and RMB 32.2 billion respectively, alongside net profits of RMB 3.5 billion, RMB 3.9 billion, and RMB 4.4 billion [4]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The company is launching a new urban light outdoor series and stylish sun protection clothing, which includes various designs to meet the preferences of young consumers [1]. Brand Strategy - The brand aims to solidify its position as a global leader in down jackets through integrated brand strategies and enhanced consumer engagement [2]. Operational Efficiency - The company employs a smart logistics system to manage inventory across multiple channels, ensuring quick response times and efficient stock management [3]. Financial Projections - The report revises the financial outlook, projecting revenues and net profits for the upcoming fiscal years, indicating a slight decrease from previous estimates [4].