公用事业 2026年02月09日 若研究知 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ● 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全年配额成交量 2.35 亿吨，同比增长 约 24%，交易规模持续扩大。但受价格回落影响，成交均价 62.36 元/吨，成交额 146.3 亿元，同 比下降 19.23%。2025 年，纳入全国碳市场配额管理的重点排放单位共计 3378 家，其中发电、钢 铁、水泥和铝冶炼行业重点排放单位分别为 2087 家、232 家、962 家和 97 家。全国碳市场重点 排放单位碳减排意识持续加强，配额清缴完成情况保持在高水平，全国温室气体自愿减排交易市 场支持领域讲一步扩大，市场迎来快速扩容。自 2025 年 10 月 20 日至 ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - 2026 年 02 月 09 日 碳交易市场规模持续扩大 全球气价 回落 看好 —— 申万公用环保周报(26/2/02~26/2/06) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 电力：2025 年碳市场交易规模持续扩大。截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，全国碳排放权交易市场配额 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全 ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 2026 年 02 月 09 日 成本端缓和电价压力 燃气毛差弥补 销量影响 看好 —— 公用事业行业 2025 年报业绩前瞻 本期投资提示： ⚫ 风险提示：煤炭、天然气价格高波动，电力消纳不及预期，来水不及预期。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - ⚫ 火电：煤价、电价均下行，容量电价稳收益。2025 年煤价走势先降后升，二季度下跌到低点后三四季度价格反 弹。全年秦皇岛 5500 大卡动力煤现货均价为 697 元/吨，同比下降 18.47%。煤价自年初开始下跌，2Q25 煤价 下降至均价 632 元/吨，环比下降 12.36%， ...

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 电量有望稳健增长，新能源装机增速放缓 公用事业行业周报（2026.02.02-2026.02.06） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 08 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 | 2026-02-01 | | --- | --- | | 步完善：公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26- | | | 2026.01.30） | | | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联 ...

华银外延增长主题灵活配置（002123）成立日期2016年5月17日，最新规模1568.75万。今年以来收益 3.96%，同类排名3987/8873；近一年收益17.87%，同类排名5498/8123；成立以来收益62.9%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 从基金十大重仓股角度 责任编辑：小浪快报 数据显示，华银基金管理旗下1只基金重仓桂冠电力。华银外延增长主题灵活配置（002123）四季度减 持2.9万股，持有股数20.19万股，占基金净值比例为10.08%，位居第一大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈 赚取约9.29万元。 2月6日，桂冠电力涨5.43%，截至发稿，报8.93元/股，成交9976.73万元，换手率0.15%，总市值703.90 亿元。 华银外延增长主题灵活配置（002123）基金经理为王玉珏。 资料显示，广西桂冠电力股份有限公司位于广西壮族自治区南宁市青秀区民族大道126号，成立日期 1992年9月4日 ...

格隆汇2月4日丨桂冠电力(600236.SH)涨1.07%，报8.490元，股价创历史新高，总市值669.21亿元。 ...

2020-2025年中国水力发电量产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国水力发电行业市场行情监测及发展趋向研判报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国水力发电量产量为865亿千瓦时，同比增长4.1%；2025年1- 12月中国水力发电量累计产量为13143.6亿千瓦时，累计增长2.8%。 上市企业：长江电力（600900）,华能水电（600025）,国投电力（600886）,川投能源（600674）,桂冠电 力（600236）,黔源电力（002039）,湖北能源（000883）,闽东电力（000993）,乐山电力（600644）,郴 电国际（600969） ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting stable revenue mechanisms and growth potential in consumption and pricing [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a refined capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and ensure fair compensation for various power sources [4][6]. - It notes that natural gas consumption is expected to grow, supported by favorable weather conditions and improved economic indicators, despite short-term price fluctuations [10][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Improved Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new power system [4]. - The new mechanism aims to ensure that different types of power generation, including coal, gas, and new energy sources, receive fair compensation based on their peak supply capabilities [6][7]. - The report highlights that the refined pricing structure will lead to more predictable revenue for power generation companies, reducing volatility in earnings [7]. 2. Natural Gas: Continued Growth in Consumption - The report indicates that the apparent consumption of natural gas in China is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2025, with December consumption reaching 38.57 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [29]. - It notes that the recent cold weather has supported high natural gas prices, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $7.18/mmBtu, while European prices remain elevated due to low inventory levels and geopolitical tensions [10][12]. - The report suggests that the natural gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved pricing mechanisms, leading to a recovery in profitability for city gas companies [31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal-fired power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their stable revenue sources [8]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential to improve profit margins through reduced capital expenditures [8]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested for their growth potential as new units are approved [8]. - The report also recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies like ENN Energy and China Gas Holdings, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and increased sales [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to policy improvements and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent improvements in the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and enhance the profitability of various power sources [6][10]. - It notes a slight increase in natural gas consumption in 2025, with a projected growth of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand outlook for the gas sector [32]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Capacity Pricing Mechanism Improvement - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new energy system [6]. - The new mechanism introduces differentiated pricing for various types of regulatory power sources, ensuring that their capacity value is adequately compensated [7]. - A unified compensation standard for peak capacity across different power sources is established, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [8][10]. 2. Gas Sector: Continued Growth in Natural Gas Consumption - Natural gas consumption in China is expected to reach 385.7 billion cubic meters by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [32]. - The report emphasizes the impact of cold weather on gas prices, with global prices remaining high, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which supports the profitability of gas companies [13][19]. - The report suggests that the gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved demand, particularly for city gas companies, with recommendations for several key players in the market [34]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, power, gas, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 24 to January 30, 2026 [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with significant growth in solar and wind power installations [43]. - The report includes various company announcements, highlighting performance forecasts and operational updates from key players in the energy sector [44].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the power generation sector, including Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and China Power Investment, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [2]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, aimed at addressing the challenges of the new energy transition and ensuring the development of regulating power sources [1]. - The notification highlights the need for a balanced approach to "new energy consumption, power security, and regulating power source profitability," which is crucial for the construction of a new power system [1]. - The report emphasizes the differentiated optimization of capacity pricing for four types of regulating power sources, including independent new energy storage and pumped storage, to ensure fair competition and adequate compensation for capacity [1]. Summary by Sections Capacity Price Mechanism - The notification introduces a differentiated capacity pricing mechanism for various regulating power sources, allowing local authorities to set prices based on factors such as coal power capacity standards and peak contribution [1]. - The policy aims to ensure that the capacity value of regulating power sources is adequately recognized and compensated, addressing previous issues of insufficient cost coverage [1]. Unified Compensation Mechanism - A key breakthrough in the notification is the establishment of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism that standardizes compensation across different types of power generation units, promoting rational investment and resource allocation [1]. - This mechanism aims to avoid inefficient resource allocation by linking compensation to the actual contribution of each unit to the power system [1]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies for investment based on their integrated operations and stable profit potential, including Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng [1]. - It also highlights the potential for hydropower companies to benefit from increased output and stable dividends, recommending companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [1].