Core Viewpoint - China Software (600536.SH) is expected to report a net loss attributable to shareholders of the parent company ranging from -49 million to -41 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, indicating a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The projected net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses for 2025 is estimated to be between -61 million and -51 million yuan [1] - The anticipated loss for 2025 is primarily attributed to the company's focus on its core business and ongoing transformation, which is still in the upgrading phase [1] Business Transformation - The company is experiencing a phase of transformation and upgrading, which is expected to lead to a gradual improvement in profitability [1] - The profitability of the core application solutions for government and party sectors is showing signs of improvement, contributing to the reduced loss forecast for 2025 [1]

Financial Performance Expectations - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company for 2025 to be between -49 million and -41 million RMB, indicating a loss [2]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -61 million and -51 million RMB [2]. - The previous year's net profit attributable to shareholders was -412.64 million RMB, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -576.84 million RMB [4]. Business Transformation and Challenges - The company anticipates a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year, primarily due to improvements in the profitability of its core application solutions for government and party sectors [6]. - The company is currently undergoing a business transformation, which is still in progress, leading to ongoing phase losses [6]. - The company has made provisions for impairment of equity assets, which is a contributing factor to the expected losses [6]. Forecast Accuracy and Audit Status - There are no significant uncertainties affecting the accuracy of this earnings forecast [7]. - The forecast data is preliminary and has not been audited by registered accountants; the final figures will be disclosed in the audited annual report for 2025 [8].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that southbound funds have increased their holdings in China Software International (00354.HK) by 9.304 million shares on January 15, 2026, with a total net increase of 19.77 million shares over the past five trading days [1][2] - Over the last 20 trading days, southbound funds have increased their holdings on 9 days, resulting in a cumulative net increase of 8.768 million shares [1][2] - As of now, southbound funds hold 847 million shares of China Software International, accounting for 31.01% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1][2] Group 2 - China Software International is an investment holding company that provides global technology software and information technology services [2] - The company operates through two main divisions: Technical Professional Services and Internet Information Technology Services [2] - Its primary business includes the development of generative artificial intelligence (AIGC), sales of large model software and hardware, and digital transformation consulting services for enterprise resource planning (ERP) models [2] - The company's main products include the "Question Series" solutions, large model application integrated machines, and Lingxi AI application platforms, serving sectors such as water conservancy, transportation, government platforms, military, energy, education, and finance [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.33% on January 15, with 11 sectors rising, led by the electronics and basic chemicals sectors, which increased by 1.67% and 1.40% respectively. The sectors with the largest declines were comprehensive and defense industries, down by 3.35% and 2.80% respectively. The computer industry dropped by 2.40% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The main funds in the two markets experienced a net outflow of 62.864 billion yuan, with six sectors seeing net inflows. The electronics sector led with a net inflow of 12.083 billion yuan, while the non-ferrous metals sector saw a 1.37% increase and a net inflow of 1.936 billion yuan [1] - A total of 25 sectors experienced net outflows, with the computer industry leading at a net outflow of 18.556 billion yuan, followed by the media sector with a net outflow of 10.642 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included defense, pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financials [1] Computer Industry Performance - The computer industry saw a decline of 2.40%, with a total of 336 stocks in the sector. Out of these, 56 stocks rose, including 2 that hit the daily limit, while 277 stocks fell, with 9 hitting the daily limit. There were 69 stocks with net inflows, with 13 stocks having inflows exceeding 50 million yuan. The top stock for net inflow was Huasheng Tiancheng, with an inflow of 594 million yuan, followed by Guanglian Da and Aerospace Information with inflows of 467 million yuan and 102 million yuan respectively [2] - The outflow list for the computer industry included 54 stocks with outflows exceeding 100 million yuan. The top three stocks for net outflow were Yanshan Technology, Weining Health, and Guiding Compass, with outflows of 1.784 billion yuan, 832 million yuan, and 774 million yuan respectively [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Software and IT Services - **Growth Forecast**: The sector is expected to achieve a revenue growth of **12% YoY in 2026E**, slightly down from **13% YoY in 2025E** due to macroeconomic factors and soft demand in various verticals [18][20]. Core Insights - **AI Monetization**: Accelerated AI monetization is anticipated to drive growth, alongside trends in software import substitution [18][20]. - **Employee Count**: A **5% YoY decline** in employee numbers was observed in 2025, with expectations for a **1% YoY increase** in 2026, leading to an average **4.6 percentage points (ppts)** improvement in operating profit margin (OPM) [2]. - **Valuation**: Current average trading at **5.4x 12-month forward P/S**, which is **1 standard deviation (SD) below historical averages**, indicating an undemanding sector valuation despite solid share price performance [13][14]. Company-Specific Insights - **Top Picks**: - **Kingdee**: Expected to benefit from resilient top-line growth and improved profitability [3][8]. - **Meitu**: Strong earnings growth anticipated due to rising subscription revenue and productivity tools expansion [3][8]. - **Kingsoft Office**: Upgraded to Buy due to better growth outlook driven by WPS 365 and import substitution trends [3][8]. - **Downgrades**: - **Kingsoft Corp** downgraded to Neutral due to weaker game business growth [3]. Financial Performance - **2025 Recap**: Share prices of covered software companies rose by **16% on average** in 2025, underperforming the MSCI China Index which rose by **23%** [11][12]. - **Revenue Estimates**: Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down by **2% on average** for 16 companies under coverage [10]. Sector Spending Breakdown - **Major Sectors**: Software spending is concentrated in manufacturing & natural resources (28%), financials (25%), government (14%), and communications/media/services (12%), collectively accounting for **75% of total software spending in 2026E** [20][21]. Risks and Cautions - **Cybersecurity and Property Software**: Cautious outlook on cybersecurity and property software due to muted demand and declining property sales [1][48]. - **SOE Revenue Growth**: SOE revenue growth was **1.0% YoY** in 11M25, indicating stable demand for software despite slight declines in growth rates [24][25]. Conclusion - The China software and IT services sector is poised for solid growth driven by AI and import substitution, but faces challenges from macroeconomic volatility and sector-specific demand issues. Key companies like Kingdee, Meitu, and Kingsoft Office are highlighted as strong investment opportunities, while caution is advised in areas like cybersecurity and property software.

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Software International (00354) has seen its stock price increase by over 4%, currently trading at 5.45 HKD with a transaction volume of 141 million HKD [1] - On January 12, China Software International announced that its investment platform JointForce Fund I LP has invested in MiniMax Group Inc., which is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, 2026, under the stock code 0100 [1] - The company holds 403,000 shares of MiniMax indirectly through JointForce, with an estimated value change of approximately 89.92 million RMB based on MiniMax's closing price of 345 HKD per share on January 9, 2026 [1] Group 2 - The value of the shares held by the company in MiniMax may fluctuate due to secondary market price changes, leading to uncertainty in the company's performance [1] - Looking ahead, China Software International plans to deepen its strategic layout in full-stack and full-scenario AI products and services, aiming to enhance its independent innovation capabilities with next-generation AI technology [1] - The company is progressing towards becoming a core software service provider in the technology-driven innovation sector [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Software International (00354.HK) announced its investment in MiniMax Group Inc., which is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, 2026, under the stock code 0100 [1] - China Software International holds 403,000 shares of MiniMax through its investment platform JointForce Fund I LP, with an estimated value change of approximately RMB 89.92 million based on MiniMax's closing price of HKD 345 per share on January 9, 2026 [1] - The company plans to continue enhancing its strategic layout in full-stack and all-scenario AI products and services, aiming to improve its independent innovation capabilities with next-generation artificial intelligence technology [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Software International (00354) announced that its investment platform JointForce Fund I LP (JointForce) has invested in MiniMax Group Inc. (MiniMax), which is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, 2026, under stock code 0100 [1] Group 1 - The company indirectly holds 403,000 shares of MiniMax through JointForce [1] - Based on MiniMax's closing price of HKD 345 per share on January 9, 2026, the estimated value change of the company's holdings amounts to approximately RMB 89.92 million (unaudited) [1] - The value of the shares held indirectly by the company may fluctuate due to secondary market price changes, leading to uncertain impacts on the company's performance [1] Group 2 - Looking ahead, the company plans to deepen its strategic layout in full-stack and full-scenario AI products and services [1] - The company aims to enhance its independent innovation capabilities through next-generation artificial intelligence technology [1] - The company is progressing towards becoming a core software service provider in the technology-driven information and communication industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Software International (00354) announced that its investment platform JointForce Fund I LP has invested in MiniMax Group Inc., which is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, 2026, under stock code 0100 [1] Group 1: Investment Details - China Software International indirectly holds 403,000 shares of MiniMax through JointForce [1] - Based on MiniMax's closing price of HKD 345 per share on January 9, 2026, the estimated value change of the shares held by the company is approximately RMB 89.92 million (unaudited) [1] Group 2: Market Impact - The value of the shares held by the company may fluctuate due to secondary market price changes, leading to uncertainty in the company's performance [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company plans to deepen its strategic layout in full-stack and full-scenario AI products and services, aiming to enhance its independent innovation capabilities with next-generation AI technology [1] - The company is progressing towards becoming a core software service provider in the technology-driven innovation sector [1]

Group 1 - China Software (600536) is a leading enterprise in electronic government and cybersecurity, aligning with the national "Digital China" strategy, focusing on the core scenarios of e-ID in government services [1][25] - The company has developed a foundational platform for electronic identity authentication, enabling seamless data communication between e-ID and various government systems such as social security and taxation [1][25] - It has participated in the formulation of national electronic government informatization standards and is adapting to upcoming national security standards for e-ID, providing technical support for standardized access [1][25] Group 2 - Newland (000997) has over 20 years of experience in identity recognition technology and is a benchmark enterprise in e-ID hardware and core technology development [2][26] - The company has developed a secure QR code system for online and offline verification of e-IDs, significantly improving efficiency in high-frequency scenarios like hotel check-ins [2][26] - Newland is integrating multi-modal recognition technologies and blockchain anti-counterfeiting technology to expand the application of e-IDs in various sectors [2][26] Group 3 - Aerospace Information (600271) is a key player in the e-ID field, having participated in the development of critical identity documents and systems [3][27] - The company is leveraging its market channels to integrate e-IDs with tax, social security, and military sectors, simplifying processes significantly [3][27] - It is incorporating AI and big data technologies into e-ID applications for dynamic risk assessment and anomaly detection [3][27] Group 4 - Qiming Star (002439) focuses on the full-process security protection of e-IDs and has developed a comprehensive security system to prevent identity theft and information breaches [4][29] - The company has adapted its security products to comply with upcoming national standards and provides customized security solutions for sensitive sectors like finance and government [4][29] - Qiming Star is expanding its solutions into industrial internet and vehicle networking, addressing identity authentication challenges in IoT devices [4][29] Group 5 - Hengbao Co., Ltd. (002104) has been deeply involved in the e-ID sector for years, focusing on data security and identity authentication solutions [5][30] - The company is integrating blockchain technology with digital identity to create a trustworthy storage and traceability system for e-IDs [5][30] - Hengbao is also exploring applications of digital currency in conjunction with e-IDs, enhancing service models that combine identity and payment [5][30] Group 6 - Nanwei Software (603636) is a leading provider of smart policing and government information solutions, with a focus on e-licenses including e-IDs [6][31] - The company has developed a system that enables interoperability between e-IDs and other government licenses, facilitating quick verification processes [6][31] - It is actively upgrading its e-ID verification terminals to support features for the elderly, enhancing accessibility [6][31] Group 7 - Digital Certification (300579) is a core support enterprise in the e-ID security certification field, providing essential cryptographic products for the CTID platform [7][33] - The company has participated in the formulation of national identity authentication standards, ensuring compliance with data protection laws [7][33] - Digital Certification is expanding its services to include cross-border digital identity authentication, aligning with international trade facilitation needs [7][33] Group 8 - Shen Si Electronics (300479) is a leader in the offline identity authentication terminal market, focusing on multi-modal biometric recognition technologies [8][34] - The company has developed a terminal that supports multiple verification modes, significantly improving service efficiency in high-frequency scenarios [8][34] - Shen Si Electronics is actively participating in the construction of a "10-minute government service circle," enhancing its market penetration [8][34]