Core Viewpoint - Longping High-Tech (隆平高科) announced that all guarantees provided by the company are solely for its subsidiaries within the consolidated financial statements, with no external guarantees, overdue guarantees, or guarantees involved in litigation [1] Group 1 - The company confirmed that all guarantees are for its own subsidiaries [1] - There are no external guarantees provided by the company [1] - The company does not have any overdue guarantees [1]

证券代码：000998 证券简称：隆平高科 公告编号：2026-05 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 关于子公司为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 25 日、 2025 年 5 月 16 日分别召开第九届董事会第十八次会议、2024 年度股东大会审议 通过了《关于控股子公司 2025 年度向银行申请综合授信并提供担保的议案》， 同意公司控股子公司隆平农业发展股份有限公司（以下简称"隆平发展"）申请 担保额度 680,000.00 万元人民币（或等值外币），担保方式包括但不限于隆平发 展及其下属子公司之间的连带责任保证担保等，具体以签订的合同为准。本次担 保额度有效期为公司 2024 年度股东大会审议通过之日起至下一年度股东大会审 议通过之日止。具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 4 月 26 日刊登在巨潮资讯网（http: //www.cninfo.com.cn）上的《关于控股子公司 2025 年度向银行申请综合授信并 提供担保的公告 ...

Group 1: Company Performance and Strategy - Longping High-Tech's Brazilian operations have significantly improved, with measures taken to reduce losses despite challenges such as low global grain prices and high loan rates [1] - The company expects an increase in gross margin by over 8 percentage points year-on-year due to comprehensive cost control measures across supply chain, human resources, and taxation [1] - Financial expenses have decreased by over 90% year-on-year, aided by a RMB 4 billion syndicated loan that replaced high-interest debt, and effective management of foreign exchange risks [1] Group 2: Rice Business Outlook - The rice business maintains a market share of over 20% and focuses on high-quality operations, with plans to develop high-value varieties in response to market demand [2] - There is potential for growth in international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, where the company can leverage its advantages in variety and technology [2] - The company aims to expand its specialized and innovative business segments, with steady growth in sunflower and chili seed businesses, while facing challenges in other segments due to market fluctuations [2] Group 3: Corn Business Challenges and Strategies - The corn seed industry is currently in a downturn due to supply-demand imbalances and price declines, with expectations of continued impact in the next couple of years [3] - The company is proactively preparing next-generation corn varieties and has maintained a relatively stable performance compared to peers [3] - The company plans to utilize its strong cash flow and reduced debt ratio to pursue external expansion opportunities, including acquisitions in the fresh corn sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic rice and corn seed industry is performing steadily, with significant improvements expected in the company's performance by 2025, driven by revenue growth and reduced losses in Brazil [1][2]. Group 1: Domestic Seed Industry Performance - The domestic rice and corn seed sectors are stable, with the rice business maintaining a market share of over 20% and steady revenue, while the corn sector is expanding regionally and by variety to mitigate industry downturn risks [1]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 130 to 190 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14% to 67%, with an EPS of 0.09 to 0.13 yuan [1]. Group 2: Brazil Operations and Financial Improvements - The transformation efforts in Brazil are showing results, with revenue and gross margin improvements driven by marketing policy adjustments, cost control, and loan restructuring, leading to an 8 percentage point increase in gross margin and significant loss reduction [1]. - The company has improved its financial expenses through a capital increase and strategic financing, raising 2.2 billion yuan, which has significantly enhanced its capital structure and reduced interest expenses by over 10% year-on-year [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook and International Expansion - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities during the industry's downturn for external expansion, promoting stability in the domestic seed sector [2]. - The rice seed sector has growth potential in international markets, while the corn business in Brazil is gradually stabilizing, with a significantly optimized debt structure, potentially leading to profitability by 2026 [2]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 185 million, 386 million, and 679 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.13, 0.26, and 0.46 yuan [2].

Investment Rating - The report gives an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural industry, indicating that it is expected to outperform the overall market [3][10]. Core Insights - The 2026 Central Document emphasizes food security and agricultural modernization, reiterating the importance of "new agricultural productivity" and the continuous focus on seed industry revitalization, particularly in biological breeding [4]. - In livestock, there is a shift towards "strengthening" comprehensive regulation of pig production capacity, with a focus on stabilizing the beef and dairy industries, and promoting dairy product consumption [4]. - The document highlights the importance of grain security, aiming to stabilize grain production at around 14 trillion jin, and introduces measures to enhance grain circulation efficiency [4]. - The report outlines the implementation of agricultural technology, including the integration of artificial intelligence with agriculture, and identifies key application scenarios such as drones, IoT, and robotics [4]. - The report suggests three main investment focuses: the recovery of the beef and dairy industries, the expected rebound in the pig cycle, and the continued advancement of the seed industry and biological breeding [4]. Summary by Sections Livestock Industry - The report indicates a comprehensive approach to regulating pig production capacity and acknowledges the success of measures taken to support the beef and dairy industries [4]. - It also mentions the introduction of multiple measures to promote dairy product consumption for the first time [4]. Crop Production - The focus remains on food security, with a commitment to stabilize grain production and enhance the efficiency of grain circulation [4]. - The report introduces a new round of initiatives aimed at increasing grain production capacity, particularly for oilseed crops like soybeans [4]. Seed Industry - The report emphasizes the ongoing implementation of seed industry revitalization actions and the acceleration of biological breeding industrialization [4]. - It notes the continuous mention of biological breeding in the Central Document over the past six years, highlighting its growing importance [4]. Agricultural Technology - The report outlines the path for implementing new agricultural productivity, emphasizing the need for technology integration, particularly in AI applications [4]. Agricultural Trade - The report advocates for the coordination of agricultural trade and production, promoting diversification of agricultural imports and supporting the export of competitive agricultural products [4].

农林牧渔行业：提升农业综合生产 力，强化生猪产能综合调控 ——2026 年中央一号文件点评 风险提示：极端天气影响，动物疫病影响，转基因推广进度不及预期，生猪产 能去化不及预期等。 2026 年 2 月 5 日 看好/维持 农林牧渔 行业报告 事件：2026 年中央一号文件 2 月 3 日发布，这也是"十五五"首个中央一号 文件。《中共中央 国务院关于锚定农业农村现代化 扎实推进乡村全面振兴的 意见》提出锚定农业农村现代化，以推进乡村全面振兴为总抓手，以学习运用 "千万工程"经验为引领，以改革创新为根本动力，提高强农惠农富农政策效 能，守牢国家粮食安全底线，持续巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果，提升乡村产业发展 水平、乡村建设水平、乡村治理水平，努力把农业建成现代化大产业、使农村 基本具备现代生活条件、让农民生活更加富裕美好，为推进中国式现代化提供 基础支撑。 提升农业综合生产能力和质量效益。一号文强调要坚持产量产能、生产生态、 增产增收一起抓。从前几年侧重保障供给的数量和安全，转向产量、产能、效 益协同发展，强调综合能力的全面提升。除了生产端之外，政策也在持续关注 全产业链的提质增效。一号文表示要"推动粮食品种培优和品 ...

证券研究报告 农林牧渔 中央一号文件强调加快推进智慧农业 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 04 日│中国内地 动态点评 (6) 3 12 20 29 Feb-25 Jun-25 Oct-25 Feb-26 (%) 农林牧渔 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华泰研究 农林牧渔 增持 (维持) | 姚雪梅* | 研究员 | | --- | --- | | SAC No. S0570525100001 | yaoxuemei@htsc.com | +(86) 21 2897 2228 樊俊豪 研究员 SAC No. S0570524050001 SFC No. BDO986 季珂* 研究员 SAC No. S0570525080003 jike@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 王煜坤* 联系人 SAC No. S0570125120001 wangyukun@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 行业走势图 重点推荐 | | | 目标价 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 股票代码 | (当地币种) | 投资评级 | | 温氏股份 ...

Core Insights - The 2026 Central Document emphasizes the transition from "ensuring quantity" to "improving quality" in agriculture, marking the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][27] - The document sets a target for grain production at approximately 1.4 trillion jin (around 700 million tons) and initiates a new round of actions to enhance grain production capacity [2][27] - The focus shifts to "new agricultural productivity," indicating a transition from resource input to technology-driven development [2][27] Policy Highlights - The document introduces a "bottom line" and "action" plan, ensuring stable grain production and enhancing agricultural capacity, which will create sustained demand in the planting industry [2][27] - It upgrades the policy on pig production from "monitoring" to "comprehensive capacity regulation," aiming to balance supply and demand in the pork market [2][28] - The document proposes a financial mechanism to support agriculture, utilizing special bonds and long-term bonds to lower financing costs for agricultural enterprises [2][28] Industry Confidence - The document reflects four types of confidence in agriculture: technological confidence, trade confidence, subject confidence, and strategic confidence, which collectively aim to strengthen the agricultural sector [5][30] - The emphasis on technological advancements and international competitiveness in agriculture is expected to benefit leading agricultural enterprises [5][30] ETF Insights - The Agricultural, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with its top holdings aligned with the key areas highlighted in the document [6][31] - The ETF's top ten holdings include major companies in pig farming and feed production, which are expected to benefit from the new policies [6][31] - The ETF is viewed as a strategic investment tool for gaining exposure to the core agricultural industry chain, especially at a time when the industry cycle is at a low point [34][45] Market Performance - Following the release of the document, the Agricultural ETF saw a 1.12% increase, indicating rising investor interest [19][40] - Key stocks within the ETF, such as Haida Group and Muyuan Foods, experienced notable price increases, reflecting heightened market attention [19][42] Future Outlook - Short-term policy benefits and seasonal trends may lead to a surge in ETF performance, while mid-term prospects depend on pig prices and capacity adjustments [44][45] - Long-term agricultural modernization is a national strategy, with leading companies expected to capture more market share as industry concentration increases [45][46]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][4]. Core Views - The report anticipates a reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly benefiting Hong Kong dairy farming stocks [1]. - The monthly recommended stock portfolio includes leading companies in various segments: Yuran Agriculture, Modern Farming, Muyuan Foods, Dekang Agriculture, and Lihua Co., among others [1][3]. - The report highlights the expected upward trend in domestic beef and milk prices, driven by a recovery in the livestock cycle and improved cash flow for leading companies [1][14]. Summary by Sections Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to experience a significant turnaround, with recommendations for Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming as key beneficiaries [1][14]. - The report notes that domestic beef production capacity is decreasing, which may lead to price increases through 2028 [14]. - The improvement in raw milk prices is anticipated to benefit dairy farming companies, with a projected profit increase for Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming [17]. Swine Sector - The swine sector is highlighted for its potential recovery, with leading companies like Huazhong, Dekang Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods recommended for investment [1][14]. - The report indicates that the industry is moving towards a more stable price center, supported by a reduction in production capacity and improved cash flow for leading firms [15][20]. Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with recommendations for Lihua Co. and Shengnong Development [1][18]. - The report notes that the supply of white feather chickens is increasing, but demand is expected to improve, leading to potential price recovery [22][24]. Pet Sector - The pet food market is identified as a growing segment, with a focus on domestic brands like Guibao Pet [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the pet sector, driven by rising consumer sentiment and market expansion [16]. Feed Sector - The feed sector is expected to benefit from deeper industrialization in livestock farming, with leading companies like Haida Group recommended [1][18]. - The report notes that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a strong support level for future price recovery [18].

Group 1 - The Central Document No. 1 emphasizes the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, focusing on tasks such as protecting arable land, revitalizing seed industry, and developing industries that benefit farmers [1][2] - The document highlights the importance of soil protection and quality improvement, including high-standard farmland construction and comprehensive utilization of saline-alkali land [1] - Companies in the agricultural sector, such as Yongqing Environmental Protection, are positioned to benefit from the emphasis on soil protection, leveraging their technical expertise in soil remediation and quality enhancement [2] Group 2 - The document outlines the direction for high-quality development in the seed industry, promoting the industrialization of biological breeding and the acceleration of breakthrough variety selection [2] - Leading companies like Longping High-Tech are utilizing capital and technological innovation to achieve self-sufficiency in seed sources, enhancing their competitiveness and supporting national food security [2] - Companies like Zoomlion are integrating high-end agricultural machinery and smart agricultural solutions to empower rural revitalization, focusing on efficiency and reducing labor intensity through advanced technologies [2][3] Group 3 - The agricultural modernization and rural revitalization depend on market entities, represented by listed companies, actively integrating resources and promoting the transformation of results [3] - Companies are encouraged to focus on technological innovation, developing core products such as smart agricultural equipment and breakthrough varieties, while enhancing industry efficiency through models like "company + farmers" [3]