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机械行业2026年度策略报告:与时代共舞,拥抱“科技+出海”-20260213





CMS· 2026-02-13 08:04
Core Viewpoints - The mechanical industry is expected to embrace "technology + going global" as its dual main lines in 2026, focusing on high elasticity growth opportunities and performance certainty from overseas expansion [13][9][7] 2025 Review Market Performance - In 2025, the mechanical sector achieved a 41% increase, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 18%, ranking fifth among A-share sub-industries [6][16] - The sub-sectors that performed well included PCB equipment (+252%), 3C equipment (+129%), controllable nuclear fusion (+119%), data centers (+112%), and humanoid robots (+85%) [20][6] Demand Side - Domestic demand showed signs of bottoming out, with a marginal improvement towards the end of 2025, while external demand began to recover positively [31][35] - The manufacturing PMI in December 2025 rebounded to 50.1, indicating a return to expansion territory, driven by large enterprises and high-tech manufacturing [32][35] Cost Side - The cost structure showed a continuous improvement trend, with PPI declining by 2.6% year-on-year in 2025, reflecting insufficient industrial demand [31][33] 2026 Outlook Macro Perspective - The macro narrative for the next five years is centered around "AI commercialization + global re-industrialization," with expectations of a cyclical recovery driven by proactive fiscal policies [6][7] Mid-level Perspective - Technology - The technology sector is expected to see explosive growth, with key areas including data centers, PCB equipment, semiconductor equipment, humanoid robots, and commercial aerospace [7][9] Mid-level Perspective - Going Global - The overseas production capacity is anticipated to enter a release phase in 2026, with significant revenue and profit growth expected for companies in the machinery and equipment sectors [7][8] Investment Recommendations - Investment strategies should focus on high-certainty directions with strong industry trends and competitive advantages, prioritizing stock selection based on industry trends, competitive positioning, and valuation [7][8] - Long-term investments should consider companies with platform capabilities that offer sustainable value [7][8]
油气ETF汇添富(159309)跌3.58%,半日成交额3377.89万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 03:41
2月13日,截止午间收盘,油气ETF汇添富(159309)跌3.58%,报1.375元,成交额3377.89万元。油气 ETF汇添富(159309)重仓股方面,中国石油截止午盘跌4.53%,中国海油跌3.29%,中国石化跌 3.33%,杰瑞股份跌4.72%,招商轮船跌6.66%,广汇能源跌1.81%,中远海能跌8.06%,洲际油气跌 1.37%,海油工程跌4.70%,招商南油跌6.99%。 来源:新浪基金∞工作室 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布,不代表新浪财经观点,任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问,请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 油气ETF汇添富(159309)业绩比较基准为中证油气资源指数收益率,管理人为汇添富基金管理股份有 限公司,基金经理为晏阳,成立(2024-05-31)以来回报为42.48%,近一个月回报为17.75%。 ...
杰瑞股份市值突破千亿元大关
Da Zhong Ri Bao· 2026-02-13 01:56
近年来,杰瑞在稳健发展油气核心产业的基础上,聚焦新产业,加速构建"第二增长曲线",在数据中心 供电、天然气业务等领域实现多点突破,同时推动国际化战略深入实施,实现了国内外业务协同增长。 有市场观点认为,其市值突破千亿,既得益于传统油气行业的景气周期,也反映了投资者对其新能源转 型战略前景的认可。此次市值突破,被视为市场对其多元化布局与国际化能力的一次集中肯定。 □记者 杨秀萍 通讯员 张妍 报道 本报烟台讯 公开市场数据显示,2月11日9时42分,杰瑞股份(002353)市值正式突破千亿元。这不仅 标志着该公司发展迈入全新阶段,也使其市值规模跻身烟台地区上市公司前列,成为烟台又一家千亿市 值企业。 ...
油气ETF富国(159148)开盘跌1.36%,重仓股中国石油跌2.17%,中国海油跌2.93%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 01:41
Group 1 - The oil and gas ETF, Fuquo (159148), opened down 1.36% at 1.019 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the ETF saw declines: China National Petroleum Corporation down 2.17%, China National Offshore Oil Corporation down 2.93%, and Sinopec down 1.06% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the National Securities Oil and Gas Index return rate, managed by Fuquo Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - The fund manager is Ge Junyang, and since its establishment on February 3, 2026, it has returned 3.36% [1] - Other notable stock movements include: Jereh Group down 4.79%, Guanghui Energy down 1.45%, and China Merchants Energy down 0.23% [1] - New Hope Group saw a slight increase of 0.26%, while CNOOC Engineering fell by 1.10% [1]
油气概念股走强,油气相关ETF涨超2%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-12 03:31
Group 1 - Oil and gas concept stocks have strengthened, with companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy hitting the daily limit, and Jereh Group rising over 7% [1] - Oil and gas-related ETFs have increased by over 2% [1] Group 2 - Specific ETF performance includes: - Bosera Oil and Gas ETF at 1.383, up 2.98% - Huitianfu Oil and Gas ETF at 1.433, up 2.80% - Yinhua Oil and Gas ETF at 1.369, up 2.55% [2] - Brokerages indicate that despite geopolitical uncertainties, the medium to long-term oil supply and demand dynamics remain favorable, maintaining a positive outlook on the "Big Three" oil companies and the oil service sector [2] - The recovery of the macro economy is expected to boost chemical demand, with long-term benefits for leading companies in the chemical sector, particularly in large-scale refining, coal chemical, and ethylene profitability [2]
原油强劲冲高!油气高歌猛进,油气ETF汇添富(159309)涨超2%,冲击五连阳!美国“披萨指数”再度升高,地缘风险提振原油价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 02:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of oil and gas ETFs, with significant gains in several component stocks, including a 9.98% increase in China Merchants Energy and over 8% in COSCO Shipping Energy [2][4] - The OPEC report maintains its global oil supply and demand forecast for the next two years, with a notable decrease in January's average daily production by 439,000 barrels to 42.448 million barrels, exceeding market expectations [4][5] - The recent geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have contributed to rising oil prices, with US crude oil futures closing at $64.89 per barrel, up 1.45%, and Brent crude at $69.60, up 1.15% [4][5] Group 2 - The marginal improvement in the supply-demand fundamentals is providing solid support for oil prices, with OPEC+ confirming a continued production halt until March 2026, alleviating concerns about oversupply [5][6] - Domestic oil companies are reducing their sensitivity to oil price fluctuations through integrated upstream and downstream operations and diversifying their oil and gas sources [6][7] - The oil and gas ETF focuses on the upstream and downstream sectors of the oil and gas industry, including exploration, equipment, refining, and transportation, emphasizing companies with quality reserves and stable dividend capabilities [6][7]
石油ETF鹏华(159697)深度受益,美伊紧张局势升级推动油价,OPEC1月产量减少超预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 01:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that international oil prices are rising due to escalating tensions between the US and Iran, which outweighs the impact of a significant increase in US crude oil inventories [1] - OPEC's latest monthly report maintains its forecast for global oil supply and demand for the next two years, with a notable decrease in OPEC+ daily production in January, down by 439,000 barrels to 42.448 million barrels, exceeding market expectations [1] - Current international oil prices are characterized by a tendency to rise rather than fall, with various bullish catalysts emerging, leading to a greater potential for price increases compared to declines [1] Group 2 - The Guozheng Oil and Gas Index (399439) has seen an increase of 0.94%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as CNOOC Engineering (up 9.97%) and Zhongman Petroleum (up 5.90%) [1] - The Penghua Oil ETF (159697) closely tracks the Guozheng Oil and Gas Index, which reflects the price changes of publicly listed companies in the oil and gas sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Oil and Gas Index account for 66.76% of the index, including major companies like China National Petroleum, CNOOC, and Sinopec [2]
油气ETF博时(561760)开盘涨0.52%,重仓股中国海油涨0.55%,中国石油涨0.37%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 01:37
Group 1 - The oil and gas ETF Bosera (561760) opened with a gain of 0.52%, priced at 1.350 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) up 0.55%, China Petroleum up 0.37%, and China Petrochemical down 0.15% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Oil and Gas Resource Index return rate, managed by Bosera Fund Management Co., with a return of 34.44% since its establishment on April 19, 2024, and a return of 16.23% over the past month [1] Group 2 - Notable stock performances include Jerry Holdings up 1.27%, China Merchants Energy up 3.49%, and CNOOC Engineering up 1.81% [1] - The ETF's performance reflects the overall trends in the oil and gas sector, indicating a mixed performance among its key holdings [1]
燃气轮机专题汇报:供给变革、需求共振与核心环节国产化机遇
2026-02-11 15:40
Summary of Conference Call on Gas Turbine Industry Industry Overview - The conference focused on the gas turbine industry, particularly in the context of North America's electricity shortage and the increasing demand for power generation technologies [2][4]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Global Demand and Supply Dynamics**: - In 2022, the global demand for gas turbines was 40 GW, increasing to 44 GW in 2023 and projected to reach 58 GW in 2024. By 2025, new orders are expected to be around 85 GW, with a long-term demand forecast exceeding 200 GW by 2030 [3][4]. - Current supply is constrained, with only 57 GW available against a demand of 87 GW for new orders in 2025, leading to a significant supply-demand gap [3][4]. 2. **Technological Adjustments**: - The industry is experiencing a dynamic adjustment in technology paths due to supply chain constraints and regional demand imbalances. Gas turbines remain the primary technology, but there is a shift towards other technologies as well [4][5]. 3. **Investment Opportunities**: - The investment focus should be on segments with the tightest supply constraints, such as gas turbine hot-end components and large-bore engines. There is also potential in domestic and export replacements, as well as companies that are well-positioned within global supply chains [7][12]. 4. **Service Market Growth**: - The global gas turbine service market is projected to grow from $38 billion in 2023 to approximately $87 billion by 2033, indicating a significant compound annual growth rate [8]. 5. **Gas Internal Combustion Engines**: - Gas internal combustion engines, particularly medium-speed engines, are gaining traction due to their cost-effectiveness and shorter delivery times compared to gas turbines. The cost per kilowatt-hour for medium-speed engines is competitive, making them attractive for specific applications [9][10]. 6. **Diesel Generators**: - Diesel generators are recognized as essential backup power sources, especially in data centers. The demand for diesel generators is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size increase from over $11 billion in 2025 to approximately $16.5 billion by 2029 [10][11]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Concentration**: - The gas turbine market is highly concentrated, with a few key players dominating the supply chain. This concentration leads to rigid supply constraints, particularly in the production of critical components like hot-end blades [6][7]. - **Company Recommendations**: - Key companies highlighted include: - **Jereh**: Strong performance in gas turbine manufacturing and global supply chain advantages [12]. - **Inflow**: Focused on hot-end components with strong order visibility and partnerships with major global players [13]. - **Haomai**: A leading supplier of cold-end components with stable growth prospects [14]. - **Dongfang Electric**: A major domestic player with a significant market share and potential for valuation appreciation [15]. - **LianDe**: Positioned well across multiple segments with a focus on efficiency and cost reduction [16]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the gas turbine industry and its investment landscape.
石油ETF鹏华(159697)涨近1%,1月布伦特原油均价创阶段性新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 05:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the Brent crude oil price reached $67 per barrel in January, the highest since September 2025, driven by global supply disruptions and tensions in Iran. However, prices are expected to decline in 2026 and 2027 due to rising global oil production exceeding demand, with forecasts of $58 and $53 per barrel respectively for those years [1] - The EIA's report indicates that global oil inventories are projected to continue increasing until 2027, suggesting a bearish outlook for oil prices in the medium term [1] - Regional factors remain a significant driver in the current oil market, with potential for unexpected price increases if geopolitical issues in Iran escalate beyond expectations [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index (399439) include major companies such as China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec, collectively accounting for 66.76% of the index [2] - The National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index reflects the price changes of publicly listed companies related to the oil and gas industry on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [1][2] - The Penghua Oil ETF (159697) closely tracks the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index and has shown a recent increase of 0.74%, indicating positive market sentiment [1]