Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace industry [1] Core Insights - The aerospace sector is transitioning from being viewed as a "cost center" driven by national will to a "growth engine" driven by commercial demand, with significant investments and strategic planning from both the US and China [6][9] - The global aerospace economy is projected to reach $613 billion in 2024, with commercial aerospace contributing 78%, and is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2032 [6][9] - The value chain of commercial aerospace is divided into five core levels: "space, ground, terminal, rocket, and application," each presenting unique market opportunities and technical challenges from 2026 to 2030 [10][29] Summary by Sections 1. Space: Satellite Manufacturing - The satellite manufacturing market in China is expected to grow from approximately 7.1 billion yuan in 2025 to about 39.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a shift from sporadic research models to continuous, batch engineering deliveries [16][18] 2. Ground: Ground Systems - The ground systems market is projected to increase from around 1.2 billion yuan in 2025 to approximately 39.1 billion yuan by 2030, evolving from a supporting role to a core infrastructure essential for stable satellite constellation operations [21][22] 3. Terminal: Key Variable for Commercial Aerospace - The terminal market is anticipated to grow from 500 million yuan in 2025 to about 141.9 billion yuan by 2030, driven by multiple vertical industries and potential consumer scenarios [23][24] 4. Rocket: Core Constraint - The cost of rocket launches is a critical constraint, with reusable technology expected to reduce costs by 80%-90% compared to traditional expendable rockets. The market for rocket launch services is projected to grow from approximately 10.7 billion yuan in 2025 to about 34.3 billion yuan by 2030 [25][26] 5. Application: Final Value Realization - The application market is expected to expand from 200 million yuan in 2025 to 525 billion yuan by 2030, with the revenue share from applications projected to rise from single digits to over 67% by around 2030 [27][28] 6. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in commercial aerospace can be categorized into three main tracks: 1. Launch and manufacturing segments, which are expected to benefit directly from increased orders and visibility 2. Core components and systems, characterized by high technical barriers and critical for long-term competitiveness 3. Downstream applications and operational services, which, while currently limited in scale, hold the greatest long-term potential for value realization [29][30]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01% to close at 4113.65 points, with a daily high of 4128.93 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.97% to 14155.63 points, reaching a high of 14337.12 points [1] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 1.79% to 3277.98 points, with a peak of 3347.94 points [1] Margin Trading and Securities Lending - The total margin trading and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 27003.83 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 26830.44 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 173.39 billion yuan [2] - The margin trading and securities lending balance decreased by 136.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - The Shanghai market's margin trading balance was 13644.95 billion yuan, down by 76.94 billion yuan from the previous day, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 13358.87 billion yuan, a decrease of 59.87 billion yuan [2] Top Margin Buying Stocks - The top three stocks by margin buying amount were: - TBEA Co., Ltd. (特变电工) with 29.12 billion yuan [3] - Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创) with 23.59 billion yuan [3] - Xinyisheng (新易盛) with 20.75 billion yuan [3] Fund Issuance - Two new funds were issued yesterday: Wanjiayuanli Bond C (万家元利债券C) and Wanjiayuanli Bond A (万家元利债券A) [4][5] Top Net Buying on Dragon and Tiger List - The top ten net buying amounts on the Dragon and Tiger list were: - Hunan Silver (湖南白银) with 12554.74 million yuan [6] - Jiayun Technology (佳云科技) with 12306.17 million yuan [6] - Jiangtian Chemical (江天化学) with 12254.26 million yuan [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Haige Communication, is actively involved in the satellite communication sector, positioning itself as a leading supplier in the ground terminal market and has established a comprehensive layout across the entire industry chain, including chips, terminals, gateway stations, and system operations [1] Group 1: Industry Involvement - The company is deeply engaged in the Tiantong satellite communication system and the new generation satellite communication system, which are significant projects under the national satellite internet initiative [1] - The company has become a mainstream supplier and advantageous enterprise in the special institution market for ground terminals [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The company has increased its investment in chip research and development, successfully developing RF and baseband chips that have passed user verification, making it a key supplier of critical chips for satellite internet [1] - The Tiantong chip has been applied to numerous mainstream mobile phone manufacturers, and the company is actively expanding into the "automobile direct connection" market through partnerships with well-known domestic automotive manufacturers [1] Group 3: Product Development and Testing - The company has won bids for user productized narrowband data terminals and narrowband handheld terminals, with several communication and navigation enhancement terminals having passed in-orbit testing verification, and some terminals have been delivered for user trials [1] - The company has completed the construction of a certain gateway station and the deployment and trial operation of an air interface automation testing system, which will strongly support the data landing and system operation management of low-orbit satellites [1] Group 4: Market Expansion - The company is actively exploring new fields in the space segment, leveraging its existing technology and market advantages to expand into the satellite communication payload sector, aiming to open up new markets and profit growth points [1]

证券日报网讯1月20日，海格通信（002465）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，经公司财务部门初步 测算，受行业客户调整及周期性波动影响，以及创新业务的持续加大投入等原因影响，预计2025年年度 公司归属于上市公司股东的净利润为负值，公司2025年年度经营业绩将出现亏损。公司将严格遵循《深 圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等相关规定，加快推进财务核算工作，尽快披露2025年年度业绩预告。最 终财务数据请以公司正式披露的2025年年度报告为准。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Haige Communication plans to invest in an intelligent manufacturing base in Xi'an to enhance its capabilities in the research and manufacturing of large aircraft components and complete drones [1] Group 2 - The company’s subsidiary, Xi'an Chida Aircraft, will be responsible for the investment and development of this new manufacturing facility [1] - This strategic move is aligned with the company's future business layout and operational development needs [1]

Group 1 - The terahertz concept sector experienced a decline of 3.15%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with major declines seen in companies like Shenglu Communication, Tianyin Machinery, and Leike Defense [1] - Among the terahertz concept stocks, only four saw price increases, with Hengtong Optic-Electric rising by 2.58%, Changfei Fiber by 0.48%, and Phoenix Optical by 0.28% [1] - The terahertz concept sector faced a net outflow of 3.063 billion yuan, with 15 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 10 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The leading stock in terms of net outflow was ZTE Corporation, with a net outflow of 781 million yuan, followed by Haige Communication, Tianyin Machinery, and Saiwei Electronics with net outflows of 560 million yuan, 445 million yuan, and 407 million yuan respectively [2] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Hengtong Optic-Electric, Changfei Fiber, and Taihao Technology, with net inflows of 253 million yuan, 71.9 million yuan, and 7.57 million yuan respectively [2] - The terahertz concept stocks with significant declines included ZTE Corporation (-2.43%), Haige Communication (-6.70%), Tianyin Machinery (-7.74%), and Leike Defense (-7.67%) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of main funds from various stocks, particularly in the communication equipment and renewable energy sectors, suggesting a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Outflows - The top stock with the largest fund outflow is Xinye Technology, with a decrease of 20.21 billion yuan and a drop of 5.01% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang follows with an outflow of 18.09 billion yuan and a decline of 3.22% [2] - Yangguang Electric Power experienced an outflow of 15.07 billion yuan, with a decrease of 5.25% [2] - Shenghong Technology saw a fund outflow of 14.52 billion yuan and a drop of 5.02% [2] - China Satellite had an outflow of 13.92 billion yuan, with a significant decline of 7.84% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The communication equipment sector is notably affected, with multiple companies like Xinye Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Fenghuo Communication experiencing substantial fund outflows [2][3] - The photovoltaic equipment sector, represented by Yangguang Electric Power and Longi Green Energy, also shows significant outflows, indicating potential challenges in this industry [2][3] - The electronic components sector, including Shenghong Technology and Huadian Co., is facing similar trends with notable fund withdrawals [2][3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Haige Communication has hit the daily limit down, marking its fourth consecutive day of decline [1] Group 2 - The stock has experienced significant downward pressure, indicating potential concerns among investors regarding the company's performance or market conditions [1] - The continuous limit down may reflect broader market trends or specific issues within the telecommunications sector that could impact investor sentiment [1] - The situation warrants close monitoring as it may present both risks and opportunities for potential investors in the telecommunications industry [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Haige Communication's stock has hit the daily limit down, marking its fourth consecutive day of decline [1] Group 2 - The article indicates that the stock's performance has been notably poor, reflecting a significant downturn in investor sentiment [1] - The continuous drop in stock price may suggest underlying issues within the company or broader market conditions affecting investor confidence [1] - The situation warrants close monitoring as it could present potential investment opportunities or further risks depending on future developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector experienced a decline in early trading on January 20, with the military ETF Huabao (512810) dropping by 3.85%, and several commercial aerospace stocks falling over 7% [1][3]. Market Performance - The A-share market saw a shift in market sentiment, with all three major indices declining, indicating a rapid change in risk appetite among investors [1]. - As of January 19, the financing balance in the A-share market was reported at 2.7059 trillion yuan, a decrease of 8.5 billion yuan, marking the first decline since December 31 of the previous year [3]. Industry Analysis - The military sector is characterized by high volatility and is significantly influenced by short-term sentiment, although the fundamental outlook remains positive [4]. - According to Fangzheng Securities, the military industry is expected to enter a new upward cycle driven by domestic demand and foreign trade, with ongoing orders anticipated due to the transition to mass production of new models [4]. - The military trade market in China is evolving from a focus on cost-effectiveness to becoming a technology benchmark and a rule-maker in the global arms race, presenting historical opportunities for growth [4]. Investment Opportunities - The military industry is expected to enter a long-term prosperous phase, with traditional military sectors showing advantages in positioning, event catalysts, and improving fundamentals [4]. - The Huabao military ETF (512810) covers various hot themes such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, satellite navigation, military informationization, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core military assets [4][6].