2025年年中以来，储能系统大规模落地推动锂需求与价格实质性转变，但在锂价翻倍、新能源汽车销量走弱且生 产商计划恢复供应的背景下，摩根士丹利认为当前锂价涨幅已过度，2026年下半年碳酸锂价格将跌至1.5万美元/ 吨。 核心要点 碳酸锂价格在多年供过于求、价格低迷后，于1月攀升至22350美元/吨的峰值（原文单位笔误修正），创2023 年以来新高。 此轮涨价有合理动因：2025年全球储能系统出货量同比增长76%，2026年预计还将 2025年年中以来，储能系统大规模落地推动锂需求与价格实质性转变，但在锂价翻倍、新能源汽车销量走弱且生 产商计划恢复供应的背景下，摩根士丹利认为当前锂价涨幅已过度，2026年下半年碳酸锂价格将跌至1.5万美元/ 吨。 中国宣布逐步取消电池产品出口增值税退税政策：4月1日起退税比例从9%降至6%，2027年1月1日起完全取 消，该政策短期支撑出口但长期利空，同时造成部分需求提前释放。 新能源汽车行业增长动能消退 全球新能源汽车市场增速明显放缓，激励政策陆续退出、关税政策前需求提前释放效应消退，美国车企缩减 新能源汽车产能，中国出台反内卷措施+补贴缩水，1月新能源汽车销量同比下滑20%。 ...

沪深300ESGETF招商（561900）业绩比较基准为沪深300ESG基准指数收益率，管理人为招商基金管理 有限公司，基金经理为房俊一，成立（2021-07-06）以来回报为-1.65%，近一个月回报为-1.83%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月24日，截止午间收盘，沪深300ESGETF招商（561900）涨1.02%，报0.995元，成交额31.26万元。沪 深300ESGETF招商（561900）重仓股方面，贵州茅台截止午盘跌0.92%，中际旭创涨6.27%，宁德时代 跌0.48%，招商银行涨0.67%，中国平安跌0.75%，美的集团涨1.06%，长江电力涨0.15%，紫金矿业涨 4.16%，兴业银行跌0.43%，比亚迪涨0.49%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 ...

锂电材料商永太科技(002326.SZ)一字板跌停，目前封单金额高达7.23亿元，报25.89元，总市值239.5亿元。消息上，方案推出不到一周，永太科技2月13日公 告，终止收购宁德时代所持子公司股份事项，这也意味着宁德时代反向入股上市公司落空。按照原来的交易方案，宁德时代将让渡永太高新股权，转而持有 永太科技上市公司股份，双方的合作关系将从"子公司股东"升级为"上市公司股东"。在资本市场看来，这标志着双方战略合作关系的升级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the CSI 300 ETF managed by CICC shows a slight increase, with notable movements in its constituent stocks, indicating mixed market sentiment and sector performance [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - As of the midday close on February 24, the CSI 300 ETF (510320) rose by 1.11%, priced at 1.271 yuan, with a trading volume of 2.3848 million yuan [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI 300 Index return, with a total return of 25.57% since its inception on April 16, 2025, and a return of -1.92% over the past month [1] Group 2: Constituent Stocks Performance - Notable declines were observed in major stocks: CATL down 0.48%, Kweichow Moutai down 0.92%, and Ping An Insurance down 0.75% [1] - Conversely, significant gains were recorded in stocks such as Zhongji Xuchuang up 6.27%, Zijin Mining up 4.16%, and NewEase up 3.68% [1] - Other stocks like China Merchants Bank increased by 0.67%, Midea Group by 1.06%, while Industrial Bank decreased by 0.43% and Changjiang Power increased slightly by 0.15% [1]

【东吴电新】美国储能：对美出口关税边际下降，OBBB总体符合预期，继续看好储能需求爆发！ 1）2月20日，美国最高法院裁决认定特朗普政府依据《 查找图书 》实施的全球关税违法，由此芬太尼关税、对等 关税有望取消实施（储能系统相关税率分别为10 【东吴电新】美国储能：对美出口关税边际下降，OBBB总体符合预期，继续看好储能需求爆发！ 1）2月20日，美国最高法院裁决认定特朗普政府依据《 查找图书 》实施的全球关税违法，由此芬太尼关税、对等 关税有望取消实施（储能系统相关税率分别为10%、10%）；2）随后，特朗普签署行政令，依据《 查找图书 》第 122条对全球商品加征10%关税，原定2月24日生效，特朗普通过社交媒体将税率提高至15%并立即生效。据此测 算，我国储能系统出口美国总税率#有望下降5%（此前总税率为48.4%，此次调整后关税为：基础关税3.4%+301关 税25%+临时关税15%=43.4%），关税压力下降利好我国储能系统集成出口。 2月美国落地OBBB法案储能细则，总体符合预期，但技术授权限制和PFE计算穿透到原材料，较预期略微严格； 新增MACR测算方式，需穿透到原材料。我们认为，OBBB法案 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the renewable energy sector, focusing on solar energy, energy storage, lithium batteries, wind power, and electric power equipment. The overall sentiment is optimistic about the growth potential in these areas, particularly in North America and China [1][2][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments Solar Energy - The North American visits by solar equipment companies and changes in U.S. trade policies are expected to catalyze the space solar and energy storage markets [1] - The Solar Association's January cost analysis provides support for price recovery in the industry, with a need to monitor demand expectations for traditional solar trends [1] - Companies recommended for investment include space solar battery and satellite power firms such as JunDa, RiSheng, MingYang, JingNeng, and TianHe, as well as equipment manufacturers with strong order visibility like MaiWei, AoTeWei, JingSheng, and ShuangLiang [1] Energy Storage - The first implementation guidelines for large-scale energy storage (OBBB) have been released, alleviating the most pessimistic expectations, while the expiration of fentanyl and equivalent tariffs presents a marginal benefit for U.S. energy storage sentiment [2] - Anticipation of increased orders for North American AIDC energy storage and the introduction of provincial pricing regulations in China are expected to stimulate market activity [2] - The household storage sector is showing resilience in Q1, with strong performance in Ukraine, Australia, and the UK, and expectations for significant month-on-month production increases in March [2][3] Lithium Batteries - Post-holiday production is expected to continue rising, potentially reaching new highs, with a favorable window for price negotiations across the supply chain [3] - Long-term recommendations focus on battery segments, particularly companies with alpha potential like Ningde and Yiwei, while also suggesting investments in undervalued separator and copper foil sectors [3] - Companies with price elasticity in the lithium iron phosphate segment, such as PuTaiLai, Enjie, JiaYuan, TianCi, FuLin, YuNeng, and ShangTai, are also recommended [3] Wind Power - Emphasis on the new wind power cycle starting in the 14th Five-Year Plan, with expectations for commercial aerospace developments and profitability recovery in wind turbine manufacturing [4] - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include DaJin, HaiLi, TianShun, and MingYang Intelligent [4] Electric Power Equipment - During the Spring Festival, PJM plans to invest $11.8 billion in the power grid to support data centers, while OpenAI has announced a $600 billion investment plan with $1,000 billion in financing [4] - Continued recommendations for "North America Power Shortage 3+3" include transformers from SiYuan, Igor, and JinPan, as well as AI power solutions from SiFang, MaiMi, and KeShiDa [4] - Focus on high-voltage transformer export expansion with companies like TeBei, WangBian, BaiYun, AnKao, and HongYuan [4] New Directions - Attention is drawn to Tesla's contract situation and upcoming robot version releases, with recommended robotics companies including SanHua, XinQuan, SiLing, FuSai, RongTai, BeiTe, and MingZhi, along with potential suppliers like KeDaLi [4]

#OBBB法案细则落地、总体符合预期 2月美国落地OBBB法案储能细则，总体符合预期，但技术授权限制和PFE计 算穿透到原材料，较预期略微严格；新增MACR测算方式，需穿透到原材料。 我们认为，OBBB法案有一定过渡期，短期对中国企业出货量影响有限，叠加AI数据中心对储能需求拉动，预计今 年美国大储需求仍维持20-30%的增长。 东吴电新】美国储能：对美出口关税边际下降，OBBB总体符合预期，继续看好储能需求爆发！ #出口关税边际下降、利好储能系统出口 1）2月20日，美国最高法院裁决认定特朗普政府依据《国际紧急经济权 力法》实施的全球关税违法，由此芬太尼关税、对等关税有望取消实施（储能系统相关税率分别为10%、10%）； 2）随后，特朗普签署行政令，依据《1974年贸易法》第122条对全球商品加征10%关税，原定2月24日生效，特朗 普通过社交媒体将税 东吴电新】美国储能：对美出口关税边际下降，OBBB总体符合预期，继续看好储能需求爆发！ #出口关税边际下降、利好储能系统出口 1）2月20日，美国最高法院裁决认定特朗普政府依据《国际紧急经济权 力法》实施的全球关税违法，由此芬太尼关税、对等关税有望取消实施（ ...

【重点推荐】 证券研究报告 | 2026年02月24日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2026-02-13 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 4082.07 | 14100.18 | 4660.40 | 15387.66 | 4134.99 | 1470.33 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -1.25 | -1.27 | -1.25 | -0.94 | -1.19 | -0.71 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 8468.08 | 11358.71 | 4528.78 | 3880.66 | 5421.16 | 615.92 | 宏观与策略 策略专题:策略专题研究-决胜 26 年牛市的三大行业机遇 行业与公司 公用环保行业专题:可控核聚变系列研究（一）-聚变启航，未来已来 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 宏观快评:1 月金融数据解读-居民信贷"破冰" 宏观快评:美国 1 月 CPI 点评-通胀回落，降息时点仍靠后 固定收益投 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that solid-state batteries are expected to enter a critical phase in 2026, with vehicle-grade packs beginning road tests in H1 and mass production lines expected to be established in H2, driven by GWh-level production line tenders and new vehicle models appearing in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology directory [1] - In 2025, the industrialization of solid-state batteries is accelerating, with vehicle-grade cells expected to be produced in H1 and pilot lines established in H2, leading to two major market surges [1] - The key catalysts for 2026 are the tenders for GWh-level production lines and the road testing of solid-state related vehicle models, which may lead to significant market movements similar to those in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Solid-state batteries are naturally suited for space applications due to their wide temperature range, high safety, and energy density, making them ideal for extreme conditions such as vacuum and high radiation [2] - The annual demand for solid-state batteries in satellite applications is expected to reach tens to hundreds of GWh, with additional potential in deep space exploration and lunar bases [2] - Investment recommendations include focusing on four main lines: battery segment led by CATL, equipment segment with companies like Xianhui Technology, materials segment with lithium sulfide and electrolytes, and new technologies with firms like Zhongyi Technology [2]

Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is experiencing significant price increases, with lithium carbonate rising to 170,000 yuan/ton (+42% MoM) and lithium hydroxide to 165,000 yuan/ton (+62% MoM) [1] - In December, China's wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.42 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 26% [1] Group 1: Lithium Battery Market - The lithium battery sector has shown strong performance since January 2026, outperforming major indices like the CSI 300 and SSE 50 [2] - The lithium-related sectors have seen monthly transaction values increase, with the low-altitude economy segment rising by 44% [2] - The market is currently focused on the lithium battery sector, with many segments at historically high valuation levels [2] Group 2: Carbonate Lithium Cycle and New Technologies - The lithium carbonate market is undergoing a cyclical reversal, driven by inflation in the supply chain and the emergence of new technologies like sodium batteries [3] - Historical analysis indicates that from 2015 to 2025, lithium carbonate has experienced two complete cycles, with the next upturn expected to be driven by domestic energy storage capacity subsidies and new energy vehicle replacement policies [3] Group 3: New Energy Vehicle Sales - December saw a mixed performance in the new energy vehicle market, with China and Europe showing strong growth while the U.S. market faced challenges [4] - In December, new energy vehicle sales in China, Europe, and the U.S. were 1.42 million, 300,000, and 80,000 units respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +3%, +35%, and -35% [4] Group 4: Energy Storage Developments - In December, China's energy storage installations reached 63 GWh, a significant increase of 95% MoM and 441% YoY, driven by year-end project completions [5] - The U.S. energy storage market saw a total installation of 39 GWh for the year, with a year-on-year growth of 39%, although this was below expectations due to uncertainties from the Inflation Reduction Act [5] Group 5: Price Trends and New Technologies - Lithium salt and cathode materials have seen strong price increases due to policy changes, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 74% and 95% respectively [6] - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with significant advancements in production and technology expected by 2025 [7] Group 6: Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is poised for a price and volume surge in 2026, with a focus on companies involved in lithium, separators, and solid-state technology [8]