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Private Payrolls Show Weakness as U.S. Government Shuts Down
Youtube· 2025-10-01 13:30
Economic Data Summary - The 30-year mortgage rate increased from 6.34% to 6.46%, leading to a 12.7% decline in mortgage applications, with purchases down 1% and refinances down 20.6% [1][2] - The ADP employment report indicated a loss of 32,000 jobs, with the previous month's figure revised down from an increase of 54,000 to a decrease of 3,000 [2][3] - The annual rebenchmarking of the national employment report resulted in a reduction of 43,000 jobs for September, highlighting ongoing weakness in the labor market [3][4] Labor Market Insights - The ADP data showed that all company sizes except those with 500 or more employees experienced job losses, with larger companies gaining 33,000 jobs [4] - Jobless claims remain relatively strong, but there is a lack of hiring, indicating a stall in the labor market [10][4] - The overall labor market is not improving, with the ADP report suggesting a negative trend in government hiring that may affect future employment numbers [8][9] Market Reactions - The markets are slightly lower but have recovered from pre-market lows, with historical context suggesting that government shutdowns have not significantly impacted market performance [5][7] - Lower dollar values, decreasing yields, and falling crude oil prices indicate a rally in bonds, despite the labor market's stagnation [9][10]
关键时刻“两眼一抹黑”!“小非农”爆冷创两年半最大降幅 政府数据还“停摆”
智通财经网· 2025-10-01 13:22
Core Insights - In September, the U.S. private sector experienced the largest decline in employment in two and a half years, indicating a weakening labor market, exacerbated by a government shutdown that has led to data reporting issues [1][3] - The ADP report revealed a loss of 32,000 jobs in September, contrasting with economists' expectations of an increase of 45,000 jobs [1][3] - The August employment data was revised down from an initial increase of 54,000 to a decrease of 3,000 [1] Employment Sector Analysis - Multiple sectors saw job reductions in September, with the education and healthcare sectors adding 33,000 jobs, partially offsetting the overall decline [3][4] - The leisure and hospitality sector lost 19,000 jobs due to the end of the vacation season, while other service sectors decreased by 16,000 jobs, professional and business services by 13,000, trade, transportation, and utilities by 7,000, and construction by 5,000 [3][4] - Service providers reduced 28,000 jobs, while goods-producing industries saw a decrease of 3,000 jobs [4] Business Size Impact - Small businesses with fewer than 50 employees lost 40,000 jobs, while larger companies with 500 or more employees added 33,000 jobs [4] Economic Growth Context - Despite a strong economic growth rate of 3.8% in Q2, the employment data reflects a cautious hiring attitude among U.S. employers [4] - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tool projects a Q3 growth rate of 3.9% [4] Labor Market Concerns - The current unemployment rate remains relatively low at 4.3%, but concerns about the labor market are increasing, with risks of labor demand falling below supply [6] - The market had anticipated an increase of 51,000 jobs in the upcoming Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) non-farm payroll report, which includes government jobs [6] Wage Growth Insights - Despite the slowdown in hiring, wages grew by 4.5% year-over-year in September, remaining stable compared to August, although the wage growth rate for job switchers fell to 6.6%, down 0.5 percentage points from August [6] Data Reporting Adjustments - The unexpected decline in employment numbers may also be attributed to data analysis issues, with ADP recalibrating past employment statistics based on the BLS's September benchmark data [6][7] - The QCEW data, which is used for annual adjustments of overall employment data, indicated a significant reduction of 911,000 jobs as of March this year [7]
Private sector lost 32,000 jobs in September, ADP says
Fox Business· 2025-10-01 13:01
Group 1: Job Market Overview - Private sector companies lost 32,000 jobs in June, which is below economists' expectations of a gain of 50,000 jobs [1] - The previous month's payrolls were revised down from a gain of 54,000 to a loss of 3,000 [1] - Despite strong economic growth in Q2, U.S. employers remain cautious with hiring [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The education and health services sector gained 33,000 jobs, while leisure and hospitality lost 19,000 positions [3][5] - Other sectors such as natural resources and mining added 4,000 jobs, and information gained 3,000 [3] - Professional and business services lost 13,000 jobs, financial activities shed 9,000, and trade, transportation, and utilities lost 7,000 jobs [5][7] Group 3: Business Size Impact - Large businesses (500 or more employees) added 33,000 jobs, while businesses with 50 to 499 employees lost 20,000 jobs [9] - Establishments with fewer than 50 employees shed 40,000 jobs [9] Group 4: Wage Growth - Wage growth remained little changed, with pay for those staying in their roles climbing 4.5% year-over-year [9] - Pay gains for those remaining in their jobs slowed to 6.6% from 7.1% in August [9] Group 5: Economic Data Release Concerns - The ADP data is released prior to the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show an increase of 50,000 positions [10] - Due to a partial government shutdown, the Labor Department will halt all economic data releases, including jobless claims and nonfarm payrolls data [10] - The Chicago Federal Reserve President indicated that alternate data sources will be considered for the October meeting if official data is not available [11]
ADP report: Private employers unexpectedly shed 32,000 jobs as labor market continues pullback
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-01 12:37
US private employers shed 32,000 jobs in September, the latest sign that the labor market is in a serious pullback. The data out Wednesday from payroll processor ADP was far below economists’ expectations of 51,000 jobs added. Private payrolls for August were also revised sharply lower to a loss of 3,000, after data initially showed a gain of 54,000. “Despite the strong economic growth we saw in the second quarter, this month's release further validates what we've been seeing in the labor market, that ...
Gold comes off highs after ADP says net 32K jobs were lost in September
KITCO· 2025-10-01 12:35
Group 1 - The articles do not provide any relevant information regarding companies or industries [1][2][3][4]
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Shed 32,000 Jobs in September; Annual Pay was Up 4.5%
Prnewswire· 2025-10-01 12:15
Core Insights - Private sector employment decreased by 32,000 jobs in September 2025, with year-over-year pay growth at 4.5% [1][4][8] - The ADP National Employment Report indicates a cautious hiring approach by U.S. employers despite strong economic growth in the previous quarter [2] Employment Changes - Total job loss in September was 32,000, with goods-producing sectors losing 3,000 jobs and service-providing sectors losing 28,000 jobs [5][4] - Job losses were observed across various regions: Northeast gained 21,000 jobs, Midwest lost 63,000, South gained 3,000, and West gained 15,000 [5] - Small establishments saw a loss of 40,000 jobs, while large establishments (500+ employees) gained 33,000 jobs [5] Industry-Specific Changes - Notable job losses by industry included leisure/hospitality (-19,000), professional/business services (-13,000), and financial activities (-9,000) [7] - Education/health services added 33,000 jobs, indicating growth in that sector [7] Pay Insights - Year-over-year pay growth for job-stayers remained stable at 4.5%, while pay growth for job-changers decreased to 6.6% from 7.1% in August [8] - Median annual pay change for job-stayers varied by firm size, with large firms (500+ employees) showing a median change of 4.8% [9] Benchmarking and Revisions - ADP conducted a preliminary rebenchmarking of the National Employment Report, resulting in a reduction of 43,000 jobs compared to pre-benchmarked data [4][11] - The number of jobs created in August was revised from 54,000 to a loss of 3,000 [11]
Comparably Announces 2025 Happiest Employees, Best Perks & Benefits, and Work-Life Balance Awards
Businesswire· 2025-09-30 14:34
Core Insights - Comparably announced the winners of its 2025 awards for Happiest Employees, Best Perks & Benefits, and Best Work-Life Balance, with Adobe and ADP leading in employee happiness and Google achieving the top spot in perks and benefits [1][3][4] Group 1: Employee Happiness Rankings - Adobe and ADP ranked as the top companies for employee happiness, with Adobe leading among large companies [3][6] - The rankings are based on over 20 million ratings from employees across 70,000 companies, reflecting comprehensive insights into workplace satisfaction [4][9] Group 2: Perks & Benefits - Google made a significant improvement, rising from 7th to 1st place in the Best Perks & Benefits category, indicating a renewed focus on employee retention strategies [1][3] - Other notable companies in this category include Radiance Technologies and Adobe, which ranked 2nd and 3rd respectively [7] Group 3: Work-Life Balance - The Work-Life Balance category saw increased diversity, with retailers like Costco and Little Caesars entering the top 10 alongside traditional leaders such as ADP and Elsevier [3][6] - This shift highlights a growing recognition of the importance of work-life balance in employee satisfaction [5]
ADP® Embedded Payroll Gives Partners a Competitive Edge with Integrated HCM Solution
Prnewswire· 2025-09-29 17:00
Core Insights - ADP has launched ADP® Embedded Payroll, a solution designed for SMB software providers to offer integrated payroll solutions tailored to small business clients [1][4] - The platform supports payroll processing, payments, and tax compliance, leveraging ADP's technology and expertise [1][4] Company Overview - ADP has over 75 years of experience in HR and payroll solutions, continuously addressing business challenges for clients [4][6] - The company serves more than 1.1 million clients across over 140 countries, providing a range of services including HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll [6] Product Features - ADP Embedded Payroll integrates payroll directly into existing business platforms, reducing operational friction and saving time for small business owners [2][4] - The solution offers flexible implementation options, including developer-friendly APIs and ready-to-deploy user interfaces, to accelerate time-to-market for partners [4][5] - It includes enterprise-grade APIs for secure, real-time data exchange, an easy-to-use interface for payroll tasks, and dedicated service teams for customer support [5] Market Positioning - The partnership with Clover enhances the platform's capabilities, allowing small businesses to operate more efficiently and meet customer expectations [2][4] - ADP's omni-channel service is available 24/7, providing partners with go-to-market support and sales tools to improve client retention and overall value proposition [2][4]
ADP to Announce First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results on October 29, 2025
Prnewswire· 2025-09-29 12:00
Core Points - ADP is set to release its financial results for the first fiscal quarter ending September 30, 2025, before the Nasdaq opens on October 29, 2025 [1] - A conference call will be held at 8:30 a.m. ET on the same day to discuss the results, featuring key executives including the CEO and CFO [2] - Financial results will no longer be published via news wire but will be available on ADP's Investor Relations website [3] Company Overview - ADP has over 75 years of experience in providing HR and payroll solutions, focusing on innovation and expertise [5] - The company serves more than 1.1 million clients across over 140 countries, leveraging data insights and technology to enhance human potential [5]
Best Dividend Aristocrats For October 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-28 05:00
Group 1 - The ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) experienced a gain of 3.01% in August, indicating a positive performance for Dividend Aristocrats during that month [1] - The article highlights the author's background in analytics and accounting, emphasizing over 10 years of experience in the investment arena, which adds credibility to the insights shared [1] Group 2 - The author holds long positions in several companies including ADP, FAST, HRL, JNJ, O, PEP, SHW, and WST, indicating a personal investment interest in these stocks [2] - The article does not provide specific investment recommendations or advice, maintaining a neutral stance on the suitability of investments for individual investors [3]