Summary of Autodesk FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Autodesk (NasdaqGS:ADSK) - **Event**: FY Conference on December 10, 2025 Key Points Industry Performance - Autodesk's business is performing well in absolute terms and compared to competitors [8][9][10] - The company is years ahead of competitors in AI development [12] Financial Guidance and Models - Guidance for fiscal 2029 goals will be influenced by macroeconomic factors and sales/marketing optimization [8] - Transition to a new transaction model will create incremental headwinds for margins, making the path to fiscal 2029 non-linear [9] - The switch to annual billing has provided a tailwind for billings and free cash flow growth in fiscal 2025 and 2026, but growth will normalize in fiscal 2027 [10] AI and Technology Development - Autodesk Research, a 300-person organization, focuses on staying 5 to 10 years ahead in technology, including AI and robotics [17][20] - The AI lab was established in 2018, focusing on geometry and structures relevant to Autodesk's customers [20] - The cycle time between research and product development has significantly decreased, now taking 3 to 6 months [21][24] Generative AI Impact on Architecture - Generative AI will radically change architecture through: 1. **Outcome-based design**: AI helps in conceptual design by simulating project goals early [35] 2. **Improved communication**: AI facilitates better interaction between architects and engineers [39] 3. **Automation of repetitive tasks**: AI can automate 70%-80% of design work, freeing up time for creative tasks [40][45] Economic Considerations - The seat-based model will remain relevant due to a mismatch between available work and workforce [49] - Expansion into adjacent verticals will increase the addressable ecosystem [51] - AI will enhance productivity, potentially leading to fewer seats but greater value for Autodesk [46][52] Construction Cloud Growth - Autodesk Construction Cloud (ACC) is gaining market share due to strategic acquisitions and re-platforming efforts [88][90] - The integration of design and construction workflows is a key strategy for growth [92] AI in Construction - AI tools like Construction IQ help manage vast amounts of data on construction sites, predicting issues and improving efficiency [101][103] - AI can provide early simulations to avoid costly problems later in the construction process [106] Revenue and Margin Outlook - The transition to the new transaction model will have a cumulative impact on margins, with the most significant effects expected in fiscal 2027 [161][162] - Billings and revenue growth are expected to align more closely post-transition [178] Future Innovations - Autodesk aims to create a vibrant ecosystem of AI tools for architects and engineers, enhancing efficiency and product quality [200] Investment Focus - Continued investment in platform development, data systems, and AI capabilities is crucial for future growth [141][145][155] Additional Insights - The company emphasizes the importance of centralization in AI investments to avoid inefficiencies [26] - Autodesk is preparing for a shift towards consumption-based pricing models as AI capabilities expand [52][62] This summary captures the essential insights from the Autodesk FY Conference, highlighting the company's strategic direction, technological advancements, and market positioning.

Core Insights - Autodesk Inc. has shown strong operating consistency and is expected to sustain low-teens growth, supported by solid demand visibility and improved margins [1][2] - The company reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 results with an 18% constant-currency revenue growth, reaching $1.85 billion, and an adjusted EPS of $2.67 [2][3] - For the fourth quarter, Autodesk is guiding for approximately 11% adjusted revenue growth and 18% adjusted billings growth [2][3] Financial Performance - The company increased its fiscal 2026 operating margin guidance by 50 basis points to 37.5%, indicating strengthened margin performance due to efficiency improvements [4] - The demand momentum remains intact, with expectations that billings growth will initially remain elevated before normalizing [3][4] Analyst Perspective - UBS analyst Taylor McGinnis raised the price target for Autodesk from $385 to $400 while maintaining a Buy rating, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [1] - The analyst's review of the third-quarter results suggests that Autodesk's operational performance is robust and well-positioned for future growth [3][4]

Core Insights - Autodesk Inc. is recognized as a highly profitable tech stock, with Baird raising its price target to $377 from $367 while maintaining an Outperform rating following strong earnings results [1] Financial Performance - Autodesk's revenue for FQ3 2026 increased by 18% year-over-year to $1.85 billion, with non-GAAP EPS reported at $2.67 [2] - Billings rose by 21% to $1.85 billion, and free cash flow surged by 116% year-over-year, reaching $430 million [2] - The Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations (AECO) segment experienced a robust growth of 23%, totaling $921 million [2] Strategic Developments - Autodesk is undergoing a transformation in enterprise software, enhancing its offerings with cloud-based platforms and AI capabilities [3] - The Autodesk Construction Cloud is gaining traction, evidenced by significant customer migrations and increased project penetration [3] - The Fusion platform is also showing strong growth, characterized by higher extension attached rates and increased average sales prices [3] Revenue Visibility - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) grew by 20% year-over-year to $7.4 billion, indicating strong revenue visibility [3] - For the full fiscal year 2026, Autodesk projects revenue between $7.15 billion and $7.165 billion, billings between $7.465 billion and $7.525 billion, and non-GAAP EPS between $10.18 and $10.25 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in identifying long-term investment opportunities across various industries, including energy, technology, and homebuilding [1]. Group 1: Company Insights - The company, Mina Vista Capital Management, is co-founded by experienced analysts who focus on equity investments and fundamental research [1]. - The firm is actively seeking to expand its knowledge base and engage in constructive discussions with other analysts, particularly when differing views are presented [1]. Group 2: Industry Focus - The article highlights the sectors of energy, technology, and homebuilding as areas of extensive research and potential investment opportunities [1].

Core Insights - The article discusses the investment philosophy of a hedge fund co-founder, emphasizing a focus on long-term investment opportunities based on fundamental analysis [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company seeks long-term investment opportunities, particularly in sectors such as energy, technology, and homebuilding [1] - Extensive research is conducted on various industries to identify potential investments [1] - Constructive discussions with other analysts, especially those with opposing views, are valued for enhancing investment theses [1] Group 2: Analyst Engagement - The company encourages engagement with other analysts and welcomes differing opinions on covered companies [1]

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the AI energy sector, owning critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI technologies [3][7] Investment Landscape - Wall Street is investing hundreds of billions into AI, but there is a pressing concern regarding the energy supply needed to sustain this growth [2] - AI data centers, such as those powering large language models, consume energy equivalent to that of small cities, indicating a looming energy crisis [2] - The company in focus is positioned to capitalize on the surge in demand for electricity driven by AI advancements [3][6] Company Profile - The company is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, collecting fees from energy exports and benefiting from the onshoring trend due to tariffs [5][6] - It possesses significant nuclear energy infrastructure assets, making it a pivotal player in the U.S. energy strategy [7] - The company is noted for its ability to execute large-scale engineering, procurement, and construction projects across various energy sectors, including oil, gas, and renewables [7] Financial Position - The company is completely debt-free and has a substantial cash reserve, amounting to nearly one-third of its market capitalization [8] - It also holds a significant equity stake in another AI-related company, providing investors with indirect exposure to multiple growth opportunities [9] Market Sentiment - There is a growing interest from hedge funds in this company, which is considered undervalued and off the radar compared to other AI and energy stocks [9][10] - The company is trading at less than seven times earnings, indicating a potential for significant upside as the market begins to recognize its value [10] Future Outlook - The convergence of AI, energy infrastructure, and tariffs presents a unique investment opportunity, with the potential for substantial returns as the demand for energy continues to rise [14][15] - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive rapid advancements, further solidifying the importance of energy infrastructure in supporting this growth [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Autodesk Inc. is recognized as a leading augmented reality stock, with Baird raising its price target to $377 following strong Q3 results that surpassed expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - Autodesk reported robust third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenue increasing by 18% year over year to $1.85 billion, and billings rising by 21% to $1.855 billion [2]. - The company anticipates fourth-quarter revenue between $1.90 billion and $1.92 billion, with earnings per share projected between $2.59 and $2.67 [3]. Business Segments - The exceptional performance in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AECO) sector significantly contributed to Autodesk's strong results [2][3]. - Autodesk's tools, such as Construction Cloud and Fusion 360, integrate augmented reality into workflows, enhancing collaboration and project management across various industries [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Autodesk has enhanced its augmented reality capabilities through acquisitions and partnerships, positioning itself as a key enabler of AR in professional settings [4].

Core Insights - Autodesk, Inc. is a leading provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions with a market cap of $64.7 billion, operating globally across various regions [1][2] Financial Performance - Autodesk's stock reached a three-year high of $329.09 on September 8 and is currently trading 5.7% below that peak, with a 2.8% decline over the past three months, underperforming the SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF's 1.6% dip [3] - Year-to-date, Autodesk's stock has gained nearly 5%, with a 4.6% return over the past 52 weeks, contrasting with the XSW's 1.7% dip in 2025 and 4.8% decline over the past year [4] - Following the release of Q3 results on November 25, Autodesk's stock prices increased by 2.4%, with revenues soaring 18% year-over-year to $1.9 billion, surpassing expectations by 2.7% [5] Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Autodesk has underperformed compared to its peer ANSYS, Inc., which saw an 11% surge in 2025 and 13.3% gains over the past 52 weeks [6] - Among 26 analysts covering Autodesk, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with a mean price target of $370.72, indicating a 19.5% upside potential from current price levels [6]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]

Core Insights - The article compares Five9 (FIVN) and Autodesk (ADSK) to determine which stock offers better value for investors [1] - FIVN has a stronger Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) compared to ADSK's 3 (Hold), indicating a more favorable earnings outlook for FIVN [3] Valuation Metrics - FIVN has a forward P/E ratio of 6.78, significantly lower than ADSK's forward P/E of 29.88, suggesting FIVN is undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for FIVN is 0.42, while ADSK's PEG ratio is 1.76, indicating FIVN's earnings growth is more attractive relative to its price [5] - FIVN's P/B ratio is 1.98, compared to ADSK's P/B of 22.36, further highlighting FIVN's undervaluation [6] Investment Outlook - FIVN's improving earnings outlook positions it as a superior value option compared to ADSK, supported by its strong valuation metrics [7]