Core Insights - Auto insurance premiums are rising across the United States, affecting even drivers with clean records, as insurers consider various factors beyond individual driving history [2][3] Industry Analysis - Insurers calculate rates based on regional repair costs, medical expense inflation, litigation trends, and regulatory processes, leading to continuous premium increases regardless of personal driving behavior [3][9][10] - Repair costs are a significant factor in premium growth, as modern vehicles with advanced technology are more expensive to repair after accidents [9] - Medical inflation is another pressure point, with healthcare costs rising faster than general inflation, necessitating higher payouts in insurance rate structures [10] - Litigation trends contribute to rising costs, with some regions experiencing more frequent lawsuits and larger jury awards, resulting in "social inflation" that affects all policyholders [11] Company Performance - Progressive Corp reported a 40.5% return on equity (ROE) with a quarterly earnings growth of 25.2%, while Allstate achieved a 34.5% ROE with an impressive 222% quarterly earnings growth [5][12] - Both companies have successfully passed rising repair and medical costs onto consumers while maintaining high profit margins [5][12] Investment Opportunity - The insurance sector is identified as a profitable investment opportunity due to its strong financial performance despite ongoing cost pressures [8]

Group 1 - The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is recognized as one of the 10 Most Profitable Undervalued Stocks to Buy [1] - Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan raised the price target for Allstate to $228 from $223, maintaining an Equal Weight rating, citing stock movement due to positioning dynamics and outperformance in the property and casualty insurance sector [1][8] - JPMorgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar increased the price target to $263 from $260 while reiterating an Overweight rating, highlighting healthy business trends from the recent quarter [2] Group 2 - For the fourth quarter, Allstate reported revenue of $17.3 billion, slightly exceeding consensus estimates of $17.29 billion, with full-year revenue reaching $67.7 billion and net income totaling $10.2 billion [3] - The total policies in force increased to 210.9 million, reflecting a 3.0% year-over-year growth, supported by broad distribution and product offerings [4] - The company reduced premiums for 7.8 million auto and homeowners customers by an average of 17% through coverage adjustments [4] Group 3 - Allstate provides property and casualty insurance and related products across the United States and Canada, operating through segments including Allstate Protection, Protection Services, Health and Benefits, and other ancillary businesses [5]

Core Viewpoint - Allstate Corporation is experiencing positive momentum in its stock performance following strong earnings, despite some revenue shortfalls, and is committed to returning value to shareholders through increased dividends [1][2][4]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - Allstate reported an impressive earnings per share (EPS) of $14.31, exceeding the consensus estimate of $8.72 by $5.59 [2][3]. - The company's revenue for the quarter was $14.57 billion, which was below analyst estimates of $17.23 billion but still represented a 5.1% increase compared to the same period last year [3]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Allstate's stock reached a new 52-week high of $216.62 following the earnings announcement, with a trading volume of approximately 629,395 shares [2][6]. - The current stock price is $207.55, reflecting a decrease of 3.55% or $7.64, with fluctuations between a low of $205.40 and a high of $215.74 on the same day [5]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs has set a new price target of $238 for Allstate, indicating a potential increase of 14.67% from its current trading price [1][6]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $54.31 billion, with a trading volume of 2,325,151 shares on the NYSE [5]. Group 4: Dividend Announcement - Allstate announced an increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.08 per share, amounting to an annual dividend of $4.32, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [4][6].

Core Insights - Allstate reported a significant increase in net income for Q4 2025, reaching $3.8 billion compared to $1.9 billion in Q4 2024, indicating strong financial performance [1] - The company's total revenue for Q4 2025 was $17.3 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.1% [1] - Diluted earnings per share rose to $14.37 from $7.07 in the same quarter last year, showcasing improved profitability [1] Financial Performance - Total expenses decreased to $12.4 billion from $14.05 billion in the previous year, contributing to the increase in net income [1] - For the full year 2025, net income applicable to common shareholders was $10.2 billion, up from $4.6 billion in 2024, with annual total revenue at $67.7 billion, a 5.6% increase [4] Insurance Premiums and Underwriting - Property-Liability written premiums totaled $14.5 billion, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, driven by growth in auto and homeowners' insurance [2] - Underwriting income for the property-liability segment rose to $4 billion from $1.8 billion a year ago, while catastrophe losses decreased by 49% to $209 million [2] - Auto insurance written premiums grew by 3.1% to $9.34 billion, with earned premiums up 2.9% [2] Combined Ratio and Homeowners Insurance - The combined ratio for auto insurance improved to 80.8, a 12.7-point improvement from the previous year, attributed to higher earned premiums and lower loss costs [3] - Homeowners insurance written premiums increased by 13.4% to $4.1 billion, influenced by higher average premiums and policy growth [3] Protection Services and Shareholder Returns - Protection Services revenue reached $917 million, up 3.1% year-on-year, primarily due to gains in protection plans and roadside services [4] - The company returned over $2.2 billion to shareholders through repurchases and dividends during 2025 [4] Dividend and Share Repurchase Program - Allstate announced an increase in its dividend to $1.08 per share, payable on April 1, 2026, for shareholders on record as of March 2, 2026 [5] - A new share repurchase program valued at $4 billion will commence after the completion of the current $1.5 billion program [5] Customer Engagement and Cost Management - The company improved customer interactions and issued nearly $38 billion in support and financial resources during claims and unexpected events in 2025 [6] - Allstate proactively reduced premiums for 7.8 million auto and homeowners insurance customers by an average of 17% to address cost inflation [6]

Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation reported a fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted net income of $14.31 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 45.7% and showing an 86.6% year-over-year increase [1][9] - Operating revenues reached $17.3 billion, reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year growth, although it fell short of the consensus estimate by 1.4% [1][2] Financial Performance - Property and casualty insurance premiums increased by 6.3% year over year to $15.5 billion, while net investment income rose 7.1% year over year to $892 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $875 million [3][4] - Total costs and expenses decreased by 11.6% year over year to $12.4 billion, attributed to lower claims and operating costs, with catastrophe losses dropping 49% year over year to $209 million [4][9] - The pretax income doubled year over year to $4.9 billion [4] Segment Performance - The Property-Liability segment earned premiums of $14.8 billion, a 6.1% year-over-year increase, although it missed the consensus estimate [6] - Underwriting income in the Property-Liability unit more than doubled year over year to $4 billion, with an improved combined ratio of 76.6% [6][9] - The Protection Services segment's revenues grew 3.1% year over year to $917 million, but also fell short of estimates [7] Capital Deployment - In 2025, Allstate returned over $2.2 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends, with a new $4 billion share repurchase program authorized [10] - A quarterly dividend increase of 8% was approved, raising the dividend to $1.08 per share, payable on April 1, 2026 [11] Annual Overview - For the full year 2025, Allstate's revenues totaled $67.7 billion, a 5.6% increase year over year, with adjusted net income soaring 90.1% to $34.83 per share [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues increased to $17.3 billion for the fourth quarter and $67.7 billion for the year [4] - Net income applicable to common shareholders was $3.8 billion for the quarter and $10.2 billion for the year [4] - Adjusted net income was $3.8 billion, or $14.31 per common share for the fourth quarter, and $9.3 billion for 2025, $34.83 per share [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Premiums earned increased 4.4% in auto insurance and 15% in homeowners insurance [17] - Auto policy growth was 2.3% and homeowners policy growth was 2.5% [17] - The auto combined ratio improved by 10 points compared to the prior year, while the homeowners insurance combined ratio was 84.4 [17][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Protection Services segment grew policies in force by 3.3% to 172 million, while revenue increased 11.7% to $3.3 billion for the year [15] - Domestic revenue in the Protection Services segment increased 8.1% over the prior year quarter, while international revenue increased 39.7% [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Allstate's strategy focuses on increasing personal property-liability market share and expanding protection provided to customers [3] - The Transformative Growth initiative has lowered expenses and improved pricing models, allowing for competitive pricing [11] - New products like Affordable, Simple, Connected auto insurance are being rolled out to enhance customer value [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasized the need for regulatory changes to improve affordability for consumers, particularly regarding bodily injury claims [8][28] - The company is optimistic about its competitive position in both auto and homeowners insurance markets, citing growth potential [33] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong underwriting performance and cost control to support future profitability [19][21] Other Important Information - Allstate returned $2.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2025, with a new $4 billion share repurchase program announced [24] - The company has increased its quarterly stock dividend by 8% to $1.08 per share [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regulatory and legislative changes regarding rate relief - Management acknowledged the complexity of predicting regulatory changes but expressed hope for improvements in affordability through legislative action [27][28] Question: Competitive landscape in auto and home insurance - Management noted that competition remains strong, with key players like Progressive, GEICO, and State Farm, but emphasized Allstate's differentiated products and pricing strategies [31][32] Question: Impact of legacy policies on auto PIF - Management confirmed that the reported figures include inactive brands and are focused on overall growth, not just active brands [44][45] Question: New business penalty trends - Management indicated that increased pricing sophistication has reduced the new business penalty, allowing for better profitability [54][56] Question: Growth in independent agents channel - Management highlighted significant growth in both direct and independent agent channels, driven by the Transformative Growth initiative [58][60] Question: Autonomous driving technology impact - Management views autonomous driving as a long-term trend that could reduce frequency of accidents but may increase severity due to higher repair costs [68][70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues increased to $17.3 billion for the fourth quarter and $67.7 billion for the year [4] - Net income applicable to common shareholders was $3.8 billion for the quarter and $10.2 billion for the year [4] - Adjusted net income was $3.8 billion, or $14.31 per common share for the fourth quarter, and $9.3 billion for 2025, $34.83 per share [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Premiums earned increased 4.4% in auto insurance and 15% in homeowners insurance [17] - Auto policy growth was 2.3% and homeowners policy growth was 2.5% [17] - The auto combined ratio improved by 10 points compared to the prior year, while the homeowners insurance combined ratio was 84.4 [17][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The protection services segment grew policies in force by 3.3% to 172 million, while revenue increased 11.7% to $3.3 billion for the year [15] - Domestic revenue in the protection services segment increased 8.1% over the prior year quarter, while international revenue increased 39.7% [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Allstate's strategy focuses on increasing personal property-liability market share and expanding protection provided to customers [3] - The Transformative Growth initiative has lowered expenses and improved pricing models, allowing for competitive pricing [11] - New products such as Affordable, Simple, Connected auto insurance are being rolled out to enhance customer value [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasized the need for regulatory changes to improve affordability for consumers, particularly regarding bodily injury claims [8][28] - The company is optimistic about its competitive position in both auto and homeowners insurance markets, citing growth potential in homeowners insurance [33] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong margins while addressing affordability [6] Other Important Information - Allstate returned $2.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2025, with a new $4 billion share repurchase program authorized [24] - The company has seen significant growth in direct sales and improved agent productivity [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regulatory and legislative changes regarding rate relief - Management acknowledged the complexity of predicting regulatory changes but emphasized the need for affordability improvements across all states [27][28] Question: Competitive landscape in auto and home insurance - Management noted that competition remains high, with key competitors being Progressive, GEICO, and State Farm, but expressed confidence in Allstate's growth strategy [31][32] Question: Impact of legacy policies on auto PIF - Management confirmed that the chart includes inactive brands and is focused on overall growth, including transitioning to the Allstate brand [44][46] Question: New business penalty and its impact on margins - Management indicated that pricing sophistication has reduced new business penalties, allowing for growth while maintaining target margins [54][56] Question: Growth in independent agents channel - Management highlighted the significant growth in both direct and independent agent channels, driven by the Transformative Growth initiative [58][60] Question: Autonomous driving technology impact - Management views autonomous driving as a potential opportunity for safer driving but acknowledges challenges related to hardware costs and severity of accidents [68][70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues increased to $17.3 billion for Q4 2025 and $67.7 billion for the year, with net income applicable to common shareholders at $3.8 billion for the quarter and $10.2 billion for the year [4] - Adjusted net income was $3.8 billion, or $14.31 per common share for Q4, and $9.3 billion, or $34.83 per share for 2025, compared to $1.9 billion in 2024 [4] - The primary drivers of increased income included better underwriting losses, lower catastrophes, and reserve releases from prior years [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Property-Liability business generated strong results, with premiums earned increasing by 4.4% in auto insurance and 15% in homeowners insurance [15] - Auto policy growth was 2.3% and homeowners policy growth was 2.5%, with the auto combined ratio improving by 10 points compared to the prior year [15] - Homeowners insurance recorded a combined ratio of 84.4, reflecting strong underlying performance and lower catastrophe losses [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The protection services segment grew policies in force by 3.3% to 172 million, with revenue increasing by 11.7% to $3.3 billion for the year [13] - Domestic revenue in the protection services segment increased by 8.1% year-over-year, while international revenue surged by 39.7% [14] - The auto insurance growth accelerated geographically, with 20 states growing policies by at least 4% and representing over 70% of countrywide written premium [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase personal property-liability market share and expand customer protection, focusing on affordability and operational excellence [3] - The Transformative Growth initiative has reduced the adjusted expense ratio by 6.6 points since 2018, allowing for competitive pricing while maintaining margins [10] - New products like the Affordable, Simple, Connected auto insurance have been introduced in multiple states to enhance customer value [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of addressing insurance affordability through cost reductions rather than profit increases, emphasizing the need for legislative changes to control costs [5][6] - The competitive landscape remains challenging, with key competitors being Progressive, GEICO, and State Farm, but the company believes its Transformative Growth strategy is effective in gaining market share [30][31] - Management expressed optimism about the future, citing strong growth potential in homeowners insurance and the effectiveness of new product offerings [32] Other Important Information - The company returned $2.2 billion to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases, with a new $4 billion share repurchase program authorized [22] - The investment portfolio performed well, with net investment income rising to $3.4 billion, reflecting strong risk discipline and higher fixed income yields [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regulatory and legislative changes regarding rate relief - Management acknowledged the complexity of predicting regulatory changes but emphasized the need for cost reductions to improve affordability for consumers [25][26] Question: Competitive landscape in auto and home insurance - Management noted that competition is intense but believes their differentiated products and pricing strategies position them well in the market [28][30] Question: Impact of legacy policies on auto PIF - Management confirmed that the slide includes inactive brands and is focused on overall growth rather than just active brands [43][44] Question: New business penalty and its impact on margins - Management indicated that increased pricing sophistication has reduced the new business penalty, allowing for growth while maintaining target margins [53][54] Question: Capital priorities and share repurchase program - Management stated that the priority is to maximize shareholder returns through organic growth and share repurchases, with M&A being a secondary consideration [81][84] Question: Premium per policy trends and retention - Management clarified that while price impacts retention, they do not consider their retention weak and are actively working to improve it through initiatives like the SAVE program [91][92]

The Allstate Corporation Investor Supplement Fourth Quarter 2025 The condensed consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits included herein are unaudited and should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in the most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year. Measures used in these financial ...

The Allstate Corporation published its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, reporting $17.3 billion in total revenues, 5.1% higher than the prior year quarter, and a net income of $3.8 billion, which compares to the $1.9 billion seen in the same period last year.The insurer also reported its financial results for the full year 2025, with total revenues seeing a 5.6% increase, to $67.7 billion, compared to the year prior. Net income stood at $10.2 billion, which compares to the $4.6 billion repo ...