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BCE(BCE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - BCE reported a total revenue growth of 1.3% in Q2 2025, driven by fiber strategy and premium wireless subscriber retention [30] - EBITDA decreased by 0.9% due to higher cost of goods sold, while net earnings and statutory EPS increased due to lower asset impairment charges [31] - Adjusted EPS fell by 19.2%, reflecting noncash mark-to-market losses and higher interest expenses [31] - Free cash flow increased by 5% in Q2 2025 [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Internet revenue grew by 3%, supported by strong fiber service offerings [32] - Wireless service revenue declined by approximately 3%, marking a second consecutive quarter of improvement in the year-over-year decline rate [34] - Bell Media's revenue increased by approximately 4%, driven by strong digital momentum and a significant rise in streaming subscribers [35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - BCE added 94,479 new net mobile phone subscribers in Q2, with postpaid churn improving to 1.06%, marking the first year-over-year improvement in nearly three years [12][13] - The company added 27,000 new FTTH customers in Canada, despite a slowdown in fiber build [11] - Zipline Fiber's acquisition expanded BCE's fiber footprint by 1,400,000 locations, positioning it as the third-largest fiber Internet provider in North America [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - BCE's strategic priorities include putting customers first, enhancing fiber and wireless networks, leading in AI-powered solutions, and building a digital media powerhouse [4][5] - The acquisition of Zipline Fiber is a key milestone in BCE's fiber growth strategy, aimed at diversifying revenue in unregulated markets [10] - The company aims to become the backbone of Canada's AI economy through initiatives like Bell AI Fabric, which includes purpose-built AI data centers [22][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed disappointment over the federal government's decision regarding CRTC's wholesale access but remains focused on executing the strategic plan [28] - The company anticipates continued growth in free cash flow and revenue driven by customer-first initiatives and momentum in wireless and enterprise sectors [29] - Management highlighted the strong demand for AI services and the expected growth in Canadian AI data centers, projecting an annual growth rate exceeding 20% [24] Other Important Information - BCE plans to host an Investor Day on October 14, 2025, to showcase its strategic elements and long-term shareholder value creation [29] - The company is targeting a year-end 2025 net debt leverage ratio of approximately 3.8 times, reflecting the impacts of the Zipline Fiber acquisition [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack guidance regarding Zipline and any adjustments? - Management indicated that Zipline continues to outperform initial financial expectations, and the revised guidance reflects the combined company's performance [48][49] Question: What is the expected free cash flow profile evolution from Zipline? - Management expects continued EBITDA growth from Zipline, with a significant reduction in CapEx due to the PSP partnership, leading to improved free cash flow [56][58] Question: What is the long-term revenue opportunity for Bell AI Fabric? - Management highlighted a large total addressable market (TAM) for AI services and emphasized the integration of various elements of the enterprise strategy to drive growth [61][62] Question: How sustainable are the improvements in wireless churn metrics? - Management noted that churn reduction is a multifaceted approach, with ongoing customer service improvements and a focus on retention strategies [89] Question: How does the new guidance reflect the existing business versus initial expectations? - Management stated that the midpoint of guidance has increased, indicating a more positive view of the existing business compared to earlier in the year [92]
BCE (BCE) Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 12:50
分组1 - BCE reported quarterly earnings of $0.46 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.52 per share, and down from $0.57 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -11.54% [1] - The company posted revenues of $4.4 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.69%, compared to year-ago revenues of $4.39 billion [2] - BCE has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times over the last four quarters and topped consensus revenue estimates two times as well [2] 分组2 - The stock's immediate price movement will depend on management's commentary on the earnings call and the sustainability of earnings expectations [3] - BCE shares have added about 0.3% since the beginning of the year, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.9% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.51 on $4.28 billion in revenues, and $2.03 on $17.61 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] 分组3 - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Diversified Communication Services sector is currently in the top 21% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for the industry [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5] - The estimate revisions trend for BCE was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6]
BCE(BCE) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-07 12:36
Financial Performance - BCE reported consolidated net earnings of CAD 1,200 million for Q2 2025, representing a 5% increase compared to Q2 2024[1]. - The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of CAD 2,500 million, reflecting a 4% year-over-year growth[1]. - Operating revenues for Q2 2025 were CAD 6,000 million, up 6% from the same quarter last year[1]. - Net earnings for Q2 2025 were $644 million, reflecting a 6.6% increase year-over-year, while net earnings attributable to common shareholders rose by 7.8% to $579 million[19][23]. - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 0.9% to $2,674 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 43.9%, down 1.0 percentage points from the previous year[19][24]. - BCE's free cash flow increased by 5.0% to $1,152 million in Q2 2025, supported by lower capital expenditures[21][28]. - Cash flows from operating activities decreased by 8.9% to $1,947 million, primarily due to higher severance and other costs[21][27]. - BCE's adjusted EBITDA margin for Q2 2025 was 43.9%, down from 44.9% in Q2 2024[43]. - BCE's EPS for Q2 2025 was $0.63, an increase of $0.04 compared to the same period last year[83]. Customer Metrics - Customer connections increased by 3% year-over-year, reaching a total of 10 million connections[1]. - BCE's total mobile phone subscribers reached 10.4 million as of June 30, 2025, reflecting a 0.4% increase[18]. - Mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q2 2025 were 94,479, a decline of 27.9% compared to Q2 2024, with postpaid activations down 43.3%[44]. - BCE's total customer connections reached 21,809,935 in Q2 2025, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1% year-over-year[45]. - Retail IPTV subscribers experienced a loss of 15,851 in Q2 2025, contributing to a total decline of 31,822 year-to-date[44]. - Retail high-speed Internet net subscriber activations in Q2 2025 were 4,999, a decline of 79.0% compared to Q2 2024[93]. - Retail IPTV net subscriber losses increased by 14,538 in Q2 2025, with total subscribers down 1.1% year over year[118][119]. Debt and Liquidity - BCE's net debt stood at CAD 20 billion, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.5x[1]. - Net debt decreased by 9.1% to $36.615 billion as of June 30, 2025, from $40.299 billion at the end of 2024[142]. - Cash increased by 67.7% to $507 million, reflecting improved liquidity management[142]. - Total available liquidity at June 30, 2025, was $3.8 billion, down from $4.5 billion at December 31, 2024[198]. - BCE completed the sale of its 37.5% stake in MLSE for gross proceeds of $4.7 billion on July 1, 2025, directing the net proceeds towards the acquisition of Ziply Fiber[199]. - BCE's cash, cash equivalents, and available liquidity are expected to meet 2025 cash requirements for capital expenditures, dividends, and other obligations[200]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to launch Bell AI Fabric, aiming to establish 10 AI data centers by the end of 2026 to support Canada's AI ecosystem[7]. - BCE is in the process of acquiring Northwest Fiber Holdco, LLC, which is expected to enhance its growth prospects in underserved markets[7]. - The proposed sale of BCE's home security assets to a.p.i. ALARM Inc. is anticipated to generate proceeds of approximately CAD 500 million[7]. - BCE entered into an agreement to sell its home security and monitored alarm assets for expected proceeds of $90 million, with additional contingent proceeds of up to $80 million[33]. - Partnership with Zoom to offer "Workplace from Bell and Zoom," enhancing collaboration tools for Canadian enterprises[87]. - A strategic investment in Blink49 Studios aims to enhance production capabilities and is expected to close in the second half of 2025[128]. Market Challenges - The company faces risks from competitive activity and regulatory changes that could impact its operational performance[12]. - The company expects ongoing challenges in the Canadian economy, including slower population growth and trade policy uncertainties impacting consumer spending[40]. - BCE anticipates stable consumer price index (CPI) inflation and ongoing labor market softness affecting its business outlook[40]. Revenue Breakdown - Service revenues decreased by 0.8% to $5,267 million in Q2 2025, and year-to-date service revenues were $10,439 million, down 0.6%[52]. - Wireless revenues decreased by 0.3% in Q2 2025 and by 0.6% year-to-date, impacted by competitive pricing pressures and reduced roaming revenues[100]. - Advertising revenues decreased by 3.1% in Q2 2025, primarily due to lower demand for traditional broadcast TV advertising, partially offset by increased out-of-home advertising revenues[138]. - Digital revenues rose by 8.7% in Q2 2025 and 10.3% year-to-date, contributing to the overall growth in operating revenues[135]. Capital Expenditures - Capital expenditures for BCE were $763 million in Q2 2025, down $215 million (22.0%) from Q2 2024, and $1,492 million year-to-date, down $488 million (24.6%) compared to the previous year[152][153]. - The capital intensity ratio for BCE was 12.5% in Q2 2025, a decrease of 3.8 percentage points from the same period last year[153]. Ratings and Outlook - DBRS downgraded Bell Canada's issuer rating to BBB from BBB (high) due to ongoing debt leverage above thresholds[196]. - S&P revised its outlook on BCE and Bell Canada to negative from stable, citing ongoing debt leverage concerns[195]. - BCE's preferred shares rating was confirmed at Pfd-3, with the outlook associated with DBRS ratings remaining stable[196].
BCE(BCE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-07 12:00
Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 1.3% year-over-year to $6,085 million[23] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 0.9% year-over-year to $2,674 million[23] - Free cash flow increased by 5.0% to $1,152 million in Q2[26] - Bell Media's digital revenues increased by 9% year-over-year, representing 43% of total media revenue[18, 37] Strategic Priorities & Acquisitions - Ziply Fiber acquisition was successfully completed on August 1st[12] - BCE expects revenue from Ziply Fiber to be approximately US$710 million in 2025[44, 45] - BCE anticipates adjusted EBITDA from Ziply Fiber to be approximately US$335 million in 2025[44, 45] - BCE expects approximately 1.5 million fibre passings from Ziply Fiber by the end of 2025[44, 45] Subscriber Growth & Network Expansion - Retail FTTH Internet net additions were 26,583, with 69% of end-of-period subscribers on fibre[20] - Crave subscribers increased by 29% year-over-year to 4.1 million[20] - Approximately 40% of new retail Internet activations are subscribing to a service bundle with wireless[13] Financial Targets - BCE updated its revenue growth guidance for 2025 to 0% to 2%[46] - BCE updated its adjusted EBITDA growth guidance for 2025 to 0% to 2%[46]
BCE reports second quarter 2025 results
Prnewswire· 2025-08-07 10:30
Core Insights - BCE Inc. reported a consolidated revenue increase of 1.3% year-over-year for Q2 2025, with net earnings rising by 6.6% to $644 million, attributed to improved customer service and strategic investments [3][15][16]. Financial Performance - Operating revenues reached $6,085 million in Q2 2025, up from $6,005 million in Q2 2024, while service revenue decreased by 0.8% to $5,267 million [15][16]. - Net earnings attributable to common shareholders increased by 7.8% to $579 million, translating to an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63, a 6.8% rise [15][16]. - Adjusted net earnings fell by 16.9% to $592 million, resulting in a 19.2% decrease in adjusted EPS to $0.63 [15][16]. - Free cash flow increased by 5.0% to $1,152 million, despite cash flows from operating activities declining by 8.9% to $1,947 million [15][19]. Subscriber Metrics - Total mobile phone net subscriber activations were 94,479, with postpaid churn improving to 1.06%, marking the first year-over-year improvement since Q3 2022 [7][22][23]. - Consumer fibre Internet net subscriber activations totaled 26,583, contributing to a 3% growth in Internet revenue [7][34]. - The mobile phone customer base reached 10,382,457, a 0.4% increase year-over-year, with postpaid subscribers up by 1.3% [24][25]. Strategic Developments - BCE completed the acquisition of Ziply Fiber, enhancing its fibre growth strategy in North America [13]. - The company announced a strategic partnership with Cohere to provide AI solutions, aiming to create Canada's largest AI compute capacity project [13]. - BCE's Bell Media segment saw a revenue increase of 3.8% to $843 million, driven by subscriber growth and acquisitions [34][36]. Capital Expenditures - Capital expenditures in Q2 2025 were $763 million, down 22.0% from $978 million in Q2 2024, reflecting a planned reduction in spending [19][15]. - The capital intensity ratio decreased to 12.5% from 16.3% in the previous year [19]. Updated Guidance - BCE updated its 2025 financial guidance, projecting revenue growth of 0% to 2% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 0% to 2% [40].
July Dividends, 1 Raise And 1 Cut
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-06 12:15
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Insights Into BCE (BCE) Q2: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 14:15
Core Insights - Analysts forecast BCE will report quarterly earnings of $0.52 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 8.8% and revenues of $4.32 billion, a decrease of 1.5% compared to the previous year [1] - There has been a 1.5% upward revision in the consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days, indicating a reappraisal of initial projections by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Financial Metrics - Estimated 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Gross Subscriber Activations - Postpaid' is 360,735, down from 389,213 year-over-year [5] - 'Wireline voice - Retail residential NAS lines' is estimated at 1,728,052, compared to 1,924,456 in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Gross Subscriber Activations - Total' is projected at 532,751, down from 575,334 year-over-year [6] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Net Subscriber Activations - Postpaid' is expected to be 33,740, compared to 78,500 in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Net Subscriber Activations - Prepaid' is estimated at 28,457, down from 52,543 year-over-year [7] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Subscribers End of Period - Postpaid' is forecasted to reach 9,554,578, compared to 9,440,775 last year [8] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Subscribers End of Period - Total' is expected to be 10,328,670, slightly down from 10,337,500 year-over-year [9] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Blended churn - Prepaid' is projected at 5.2%, up from 4.6% last year [9] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Mobile Connected Device Subscribers - Net Subscriber Activations' is expected to be 83,582, compared to 87,917 last year [10] - 'Mobile Phone Subscribers - Mobile Connected Device Subscribers - Subscribers EOP' is projected at 3,162,996, up from 2,886,871 year-over-year [10] Market Performance - Over the past month, BCE shares have recorded a return of +0.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed by +1% [11] - BCE holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting it is likely to outperform the overall market in the upcoming period [11]
BCE completes acquisition of Ziply Fiber, accelerating its fibre growth strategy
Prnewswire· 2025-08-01 13:37
Core Points - BCE Inc. has completed the acquisition of Ziply Fiber for C$5.0 billion (U.S. $3.65 billion) in cash, along with assuming approximately C$2.6 billion in net debt [2][10] - The acquisition is part of BCE's strategy to expand into the U.S. market, potentially reaching up to 8 million fiber locations, making it the third-largest fiber Internet provider in North America [3][10] - Ziply Fiber will operate as a separate business unit, maintaining its headquarters in Kirkland, Washington, and its existing management team [5][11] Financial Impact - BCE will update its 2025 financial guidance to reflect the acquisition when reporting Q2 2025 results on August 7 [6] - The acquisition financing was supported by the proceeds from the sale of BCE's minority stake in MLSE, completed on July 1, 2025 [4] Strategic Partnership - BCE and PSP Investments have formed a strategic partnership to create Network FiberCo, aimed at developing fiber infrastructure through Ziply Fiber [3][10] - This partnership is expected to enhance Bell's capabilities in the U.S. fiber market and support long-term growth [7][10]
BCE (BCE) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q2 Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 15:09
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in BCE's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates to influence stock price movements [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BCE is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.52 per share, reflecting an 8.8% decrease year-over-year, with revenues projected at $4.32 billion, down 1.5% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.47% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that BCE's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.97%, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. - BCE currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, which further supports the expectation of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, BCE exceeded the expected earnings of $0.44 per share by delivering $0.48, resulting in a surprise of +9.09% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, BCE has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Conclusion - While BCE is positioned as a strong candidate for an earnings beat, other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].
Why BCE (BCE) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 17:11
Core Viewpoint - BCE is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, supported by a strong history of performance in the telecommunications industry [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - BCE has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, achieving an average beat of 10.55% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, BCE reported earnings of $0.44 per share against an expectation of $0.48, resulting in a surprise of 9.09% [3]. - For the previous quarter, BCE exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.50 per share by reporting $0.56, marking a surprise of 12.00% [3]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable adjustment in earnings estimates for BCE, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [6]. - BCE currently has an Earnings ESP of +3.52%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data indicating that nearly 70% of stocks with this combination achieve positive surprises [7][9]. Group 3: Importance of Earnings ESP - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate being more reflective of recent analyst revisions [8]. - A negative Earnings ESP can diminish predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [10]. - Utilizing the Earnings ESP metric is crucial for identifying stocks with a higher probability of beating consensus estimates prior to earnings releases [11].